Nick Ferguson· Sep 8, 2026
Ferguson sets Denver's floor at 10 wins, picks the Broncos to win in Kansas City, forecasts a Broncos-Rams Super Bowl at SoFi, and says David Montgomery will be Houston's RB1.
“But it's still going to be 10 wins or more for the Denver Broncos.”
said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Broncos (podcast) · read the original →
5 checkable claims — 2 conference champions, 1 depth chart call, 1 game outcome pick and 1 season win total — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
1 of 5 have settled so far, averaging 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Of the 2 unsettled calls enough other pundits have weighed in on, this one lands below the rest of the room on every one.
Where this call stands in the room
David Montgomery · 2026 season20 calls from 13 pundits between 1 and 1. Nick Ferguson said 1. the room's median is 1. not settled yet
Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question. Where the dots land says where this take sits, not whether it is right — nothing here is settled yet. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.
Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →
Who this take is about
The game in this take
- Broncos at Chiefs 45 calls
5 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Game Outcome PicksDenver BroncosSep 8, 2026
Denver Broncos to win
“Yeah. I got the Broncos definitely, winning this game, but it's not gonna be a easy one.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- KC
- score:
- 10-31
- skill:
- -200
- they picked:
- DEN
- season:
- 2026
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- KC
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Season Win TotalsDenver BroncosSep 8, 2026
Denver Broncos to finish with 10 wins
“I have the bottom at or the floor at 10 wins. ... But it is not gonna be the same, but it's still going to be 10 wins or more for the Denver Broncos.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Conference ChampionsLos Angeles RamsSep 8, 2026
Los Angeles Rams to reach the Super Bowl
“this is the same team that the Broncos will face in the Super Bowl and SoFi ... Denver Broncos, Los Angeles Rams in the Super Bowl”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
David Montgomery to be 1st on the depth chart
“what they decided to do to help CJ Shroud was they brought in David Montgomery ... but now he would be the the the RB one”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Conference ChampionsDenver BroncosSep 8, 2026
Denver Broncos to reach the Super Bowl
“So far, Denver Broncos, Los Angeles Rams in the Super Bowl for the battle for it all.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Jared DubinScore Predictions · Denver BroncosMiss · 2Dubin picks Denver to win narrowly in Kansas City, 21-20.
- Tyler SullivanScore Predictions · Denver BroncosMiss · 10Sullivan picks Denver to beat Kansas City 24-20.
- Jordan DajaniScore Predictions · Denver BroncosMiss · 7Dajani picks the Broncos over the Chiefs, 17-14.
- John BreechScore Predictions · Denver BroncosMiss · 5In the Pick Six newsletter, Breech picks the Broncos to upset the Chiefs on Monday night, 23-21.
- Jared DubinScore Predictions · Denver BroncosMiss · 2The unbylined CBS Sports preview picks Denver to win at Arrowhead in Week 1, 21-20, and expects Kenneth Walker III to be Kansas City's lead back while Jaylen Waddle serves as Bo Nix's top receiving target in Denver.
- Danny ParkinsGame Outcome Picks · Denver BroncosMiss · 0Parkins picked the Giants to upset Dallas, the Steelers to beat Atlanta by two scores, the Bears to beat Carolina, the Bills to beat Houston and Denver to beat Kansas City outright; he also said Justin Herbert will win an MVP and had the Bengals as AFC North champs.
More conference champions
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Chris BrockmanConference Champions · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Brockman argues the Seahawks are at the start of a dynasty, predicting they will win multiple Super Bowls over the next five years, and that they are set up to return to the Super Bowl the following season in Los Angeles.
- Damonza ByrdConference Champions · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100The co-host picks the Seahawks to beat the Rams in the NFC Championship game, and says he believes New England will win in Denver even though he is taking the Broncos with the points.
- Nick WrightConference Champions · New England PatriotsHit · 100The host picks the Rams to beat the Seahawks in the NFC Championship game and believes the winner of that game wins the Super Bowl, i.e. that this is the Rams' year; he also picks New England to win in Denver despite taking the Broncos with the points, and says Stafford is winning MVP. He calls Sean McVay the second-best coach in the NFL.
- Derek MurphyConference Champions · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Bone said after watching film that Seattle will handle the Rams in the NFC Championship Game, and that the Seahawks are going to the Super Bowl.
- Connor "Boston Connor" CampbellConference Champions · New England PatriotsHit · 100Connor expects a tight first half in Denver before New England pulls away in the second half and advances to the Super Bowl.
- Gregg RosenthalConference Champions · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Rosenthal picks the Patriots to beat the Broncos in a close, low-scoring AFC Championship in Denver (while liking Denver to cover the 4.5 points), takes the Seahawks over the Rams in a defensive NFC Championship he pegs around 23-19, and forecasts a Patriots-Seahawks Super Bowl.