Nick Wright· Oct 19, 2025
Nick Wright maintains the Bills will still win the AFC East and win at least 11 games, that New England makes the playoffs, and that he'd still pick a Chiefs–Bills AFC Championship Game, likely at Arrowhead. He also calls Josh Allen the second-best QB in football and reiterates his preseason NFC playoff seven.
“I still think they're gonna win the division?”
said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
13 checkable claims — 8 playoff picks, 1 conference champion, 1 division winner, 1 positional finishe, 1 season win total and 1 seeding, byes and home field — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 11 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 13 have settled, averaging 46.5 out of 100, against 34.6 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
13 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Division WinnersBuffalo BillsOct 19, 2025
Buffalo Bills to win the division
“I still think they're gonna win the division? By the way, Like I don't get me wrong”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- method:
- division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
- they picked:
- BUF
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- BUF
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- the naive guess:
- last season's winner of the same division
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 12
- won the division:
- no
- Seeding, Byes and Home FieldTampa Bay BuccaneersOct 19, 2025
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to take the top seed
“I said I thought Tampa was going to be the one seed.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- TB
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- checked as:
- the number one seed is the bye, which the bracket names exactly
- actual tier:
- missed the playoffs
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- the naive guess:
- where they finished last season (host)
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- claimed seed:
- 1
- claimed tier:
- bye
- weeks left when called:
- 12
- Conference ChampionsKansas City ChiefsOct 19, 2025
Kansas City Chiefs to reach the Super Bowl
“if I had to pick it, Demonse, I would still say Chiefs Bills AFC Championship game”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- KC
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- champions:
- NE,SEA
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- the naive guess:
- last season's conference champions
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 12
- reached the Super Bowl:
- no
- lost the conference final:
- no
- Playoff PicksPhiladelphia EaglesOct 19, 2025
Philadelphia Eagles to make the playoffs
“It was Eagles, Commanders, Lions, Bears, Packers, Bucks, Rams.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- PHI
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive guess said:
- yes
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- yes
- weeks left when called:
- 12
- Season Win TotalsBuffalo BillsOct 19, 2025
Buffalo Bills to finish with 11 wins
“I just think Buffalo is still going to win eleven games at least.”
Hit · 80Scored 80a naive guess scored 75+8.35 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- BUF
- naive:
- 10.75
- skill:
- 8.35
- what happened:
- 12
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 5
- accuracy:
- 80
- baseline:
- 75
- predicted:
- 11
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 12
- Playoff PicksLos Angeles RamsOct 19, 2025
Los Angeles Rams to make the playoffs
“It was Eagles, Commanders, Lions, Bears, Packers, Bucks, Rams.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- LAR
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive guess said:
- yes
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- yes
- weeks left when called:
- 12
- Playoff PicksTampa Bay BuccaneersOct 19, 2025
Tampa Bay Buccaneers to make the playoffs
“It was Eagles, Commanders, Lions, Bears, Packers, Bucks, Rams.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- TB
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive guess said:
- yes
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- no
- weeks left when called:
- 12
- Playoff PicksGreen Bay PackersOct 19, 2025
Green Bay Packers to make the playoffs
“It was Eagles, Commanders, Lions, Bears, Packers, Bucks, Rams.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- GB
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive guess said:
- yes
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- yes
- weeks left when called:
- 12
- Playoff PicksChicago BearsOct 19, 2025
Chicago Bears to make the playoffs
“It was Eagles, Commanders, Lions, Bears, Packers, Bucks, Rams.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+167 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- CHI
- skill:
- 167
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive guess said:
- no
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- yes
- weeks left when called:
- 12
- Positional FinishesJosh AllenBuffalo BillsOct 19, 2025
Josh Allen to finish top 2 at his position, by passing yards
“I still think he's the second best quarterback in football.”
Miss · 25Scored 25a naive guess scored 75-83.5 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- -83.5
- player:
- Josh Allen
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 25
- baseline:
- 75
- position:
- QB
- ranked by:
- passing yards
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- the naive guess:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 14
- actual finish:
- 11
- weeks left when called:
- 12
- predicted finish:
- 2
- Playoff PicksDetroit LionsOct 19, 2025
Detroit Lions to make the playoffs
“It was Eagles, Commanders, Lions, Bears, Packers, Bucks, Rams.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- DET
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive guess said:
- yes
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- no
- weeks left when called:
- 12
- Playoff PicksWashington CommandersOct 19, 2025
Washington Commanders to make the playoffs
“It was Eagles, Commanders, Lions, Bears, Packers, Bucks, Rams.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- WAS
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive guess said:
- yes
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- no
- weeks left when called:
- 12
- Playoff PicksNew England PatriotsOct 19, 2025
New England Patriots to make the playoffs
“I picked New England make the playoffs.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+167 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- NE
- skill:
- 167
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive guess said:
- no
- difficulty:
- 1.67
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- yes
- weeks left when called:
- 12
What others said about the same people
- Ethan HurwitzRoster Spot Calls · Jeremiah Pharms Jr.Miss · 0Hurwitz writes that the elevations of Jeremiah Pharms Jr. and Mike Brown likely mean Leonard Taylor III stays a healthy scratch and Joshua Farmer could be one too for the Week 3 game at Jacksonville, and that both elevated players will revert to the practice squad after Sunday.
- Randy GurziRoster Spot Calls · Te'Cory CouchMiss · 0Gurzi predicts the Buffalo Bills' final 53-man roster ahead of Week 1 against Houston, naming every player who makes it, who gets cut, and a few depth-chart outcomes (Damar Hamlin as backup safety, Alec Anderson as a new starter on the offensive line, Shane Buechele back on the practice squad).
- Joe MarinoRoster Spot Calls · Te'Cory CouchMiss · 0Joe Marino gives his final projection of the Buffalo Bills' initial 53-man roster after the preseason finale, naming who makes it, who gets cut, and who lands on injured reserve/PUP, along with several starting-job calls (Kyle Allen as QB2, TJ Sanders starting over Landon Jackson, Maxwell Hairston starting opposite Christian Benford, and Tommy Doman winning the punting job).
- Blaine GrisakRoster Spot Calls · Dean ConnorsMiss · 0Grisak argues Wesley Bailey has essentially played his way onto the Rams' roster after a 10-pressure preseason game, suggests Dean Connors and Tim Keenan III could be cut and stashed on the practice squad, and makes a case for Jarquez Hunter making the 53 despite bubble status.
- Blaine GrisakRoster Spot Calls · Dean ConnorsHit · 100After the Rams' first preseason game, Grisak predicted the full 53-man roster, naming three quarterbacks, four running backs, five receivers, five tight ends, nine offensive linemen, four linebackers, six defensive linemen, four edge rushers, five cornerbacks, five safeties and three special teamers, with Dean Connors headed for the practice squad instead.
- Blaine GrisakRoster Spot Calls · Dean ConnorsMiss · 0Reviewing the Rams' preseason win, Grisak predicted roster outcomes: Dean Connors likely lands on the practice squad rather than the 53, Xavier Smith's roster chances look poor, Nick Andersen is a strong practice squad candidate, and Mark Redman is likely a practice squad candidate.
More playoff picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Ross JacksonPlayoff Picks · New Orleans SaintsMiss · 0Jackson projects a big sophomore jump for Saints QB Tyler Shuck, laying out a Drake May-style stat line (17 starts, 72% completions, ~4,601 passing yards, 24 TDs, 9 INTs) or a Bo Nix-style consistency line (over 4,000 yards, over 20 TDs, ~10 INTs), and says either path means a playoff season for New Orleans in 2026.
- Rich EisenPlayoff Picks · Minnesota VikingsMiss · 0Eisen argues Ohio State will produce multiple top-10 picks — Sonny Styles, Arvell Reese and Caleb Downs — becoming the first school with three defensive players in the top 10, and that Styles will not be available at No. 12 to the Cowboys. He also thinks Fernando Mendoza is worthy of the No. 1 overall pick and expects the Raiders to draft him, and picks Trey Lance over Anthony Richardson to start a game first, Micah Parsons to fetch a bigger trade return than Maxx Crosby, Kirk Cousins as the released QB most likely to reach the playoffs, and J.J. McCarthy as the Vikings' Week 1 starter.
- Dwaine BoardPlayoff Picks · San Francisco 49ersHit · 100Board argues the 49ers can still make the playoffs even if Trent Williams leaves, expects Williams to be brought back, and favors drafting a wide receiver at No. 27 over an offensive tackle.
- Rich EisenPlayoff Picks · Carolina PanthersHit · 100Eisen forecast the Week 18 results and the entire wild-card field: Buccaneers over Panthers but Carolina still gets in as the 5 seed when Atlanta beats New Orleans, 49ers over Seahawks, Ravens over Steelers, Jaguars beating Tennessee to win the AFC South, and six wild-card matchups (Seahawks-Panthers, Bills-Jaguars, Texans-Ravens, Packers-Bears, Chargers-Patriots, Rams-Eagles), with Houston upsetting Baltimore. He also tabbed Saints rookie Tyler Shough as a possible Offensive Rookie of the Year.
- Chris BrockmanPlayoff Picks · Pittsburgh SteelersHit · 100Brockman argued the road to the Super Bowl in the AFC goes through Foxborough, meaning the Patriots will finish as the No. 1 seed, and called his shot that the Chargers beat Denver in Week 18. He also declared the Bears a team of destiny who will win the NFC, said the Steelers will end their playoff win drought, and that Trevor Lawrence is playing like a top-five quarterback.
- Rich EisenPlayoff Picks · Pittsburgh SteelersHit · 100Eisen agreed the Bears are a team of destiny who will win the NFC, insisted the Packers will make the playoffs and won't lose at home to the Ravens, said the Steelers should make the playoffs, and endorsed the view that Trevor Lawrence is playing like a top-five quarterback.