What's Wright with Nick Wright · Oct 19, 2025

Nick Wright maintains the Bills will still win the AFC East and win at least 11 games, that New England makes the playoffs, and that he'd still pick a Chiefs–Bills AFC Championship Game, likely at Arrowhead. He also calls Josh Allen the second-best QB in football and reiterates his preseason NFC playoff seven.

“I still think they're gonna win the division?”

said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →

13 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

Playoff Picks Philadelphia EaglesOct 19, 2025
“It was Eagles, Commanders, Lions, Bears, Packers, Bucks, Rams.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
PHI
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
naive said:
true
difficulty:
1.67
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
true
weeks left when called:
12
Think this is wrong?
Season Win Totals Buffalo BillsOct 19, 2025
“I just think Buffalo is still going to win eleven games at least.”
Scored 80a naive guess scored 75+8.35 skill
How this was scored
team:
BUF
naive:
10.75
skill:
8.35
what happened:
12
season:
2025
zero at:
5
accuracy:
80
baseline:
75
predicted:
11
difficulty:
1.67
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
12
Think this is wrong?
Playoff Picks Los Angeles RamsOct 19, 2025
“It was Eagles, Commanders, Lions, Bears, Packers, Bucks, Rams.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
LAR
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
naive said:
true
difficulty:
1.67
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
true
weeks left when called:
12
Think this is wrong?
Playoff Picks Tampa Bay BuccaneersOct 19, 2025
“It was Eagles, Commanders, Lions, Bears, Packers, Bucks, Rams.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
TB
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
naive said:
true
difficulty:
1.67
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
false
weeks left when called:
12
Think this is wrong?
Playoff Picks Green Bay PackersOct 19, 2025
“It was Eagles, Commanders, Lions, Bears, Packers, Bucks, Rams.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
GB
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
naive said:
true
difficulty:
1.67
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
true
weeks left when called:
12
Think this is wrong?
Playoff Picks Chicago BearsOct 19, 2025
“It was Eagles, Commanders, Lions, Bears, Packers, Bucks, Rams.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+167 skill
How this was scored
team:
CHI
skill:
167
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
naive said:
false
difficulty:
1.67
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
true
weeks left when called:
12
Think this is wrong?
Positional Finishes Josh Allen Buffalo BillsOct 19, 2025
“I still think he's the second best quarterback in football.”
Scored 25a naive guess scored 75-83.5 skill
How this was scored
skill:
-83.5
player:
Josh Allen
season:
2025
zero at:
12
accuracy:
25
baseline:
75
position:
QB
ranked by:
passing yards
difficulty:
1.67
naive basis:
where he finished last season
weeks in the season:
18
naive finish:
14
actual finish:
11
weeks left when called:
12
predicted finish:
2
Think this is wrong?
Playoff Picks Detroit LionsOct 19, 2025
“It was Eagles, Commanders, Lions, Bears, Packers, Bucks, Rams.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
DET
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
naive said:
true
difficulty:
1.67
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
false
weeks left when called:
12
Think this is wrong?
Playoff Picks Washington CommandersOct 19, 2025
“It was Eagles, Commanders, Lions, Bears, Packers, Bucks, Rams.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
WAS
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
naive said:
true
difficulty:
1.67
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
false
weeks left when called:
12
Think this is wrong?
Playoff Picks New England PatriotsOct 19, 2025
“I picked New England make the playoffs.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+167 skill
How this was scored
team:
NE
skill:
167
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
naive said:
false
difficulty:
1.67
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
true
weeks left when called:
12
Think this is wrong?
Seeding, Byes and Home Field Tampa Bay BuccaneersOct 19, 2025
“I said I thought Tampa was going to be the one seed.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Conference Champions Kansas City ChiefsOct 19, 2025
“if I had to pick it, Demonse, I would still say Chiefs Bills AFC Championship game”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Division Winners Buffalo BillsOct 19, 2025
“I still think they're gonna win the division? By the way, Like I don't get me wrong”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?