Cynthia Frelund · Sep 26, 2025

Per Rosenthal, Frelund's model picks the Jets over the Dolphins, the Packers over the Cowboys (her top confidence pick), and the Commanders to win in Atlanta.

said on air or in an interview · read the original →

3 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

Game Outcome PicksSep 26, 2025
“me and Cynthia and her computer model are agreeing... these are our favorite confidence picks of the week, which is Packers minus seven.”
Scored 50a naive guess scored 50+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
tie
score:
40-40
skill:
0
they picked:
GB
season:
2025
accuracy:
50
baseline:
50
naive pick:
DAL
difficulty:
1.83
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
15
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome PicksSep 26, 2025
“So Cynthia's third pick, by the way, the Washington Commanders... She has them as a road favorite in Atlanta.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-183 skill
How this was scored
won:
ATL
score:
27-34
skill:
-183
they picked:
WAS
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
100
naive pick:
ATL
difficulty:
1.83
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
15
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome PicksSep 26, 2025
“Again, she has the Jets and the Packers Jets plus two and a half.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?