Jason McIntyre · Jan 9, 2026
McIntyre predicts a Jaguars blowout of the Bills (31-10) and floats Sean McDermott being fired; his mock draft has Mendoza first, Dante Moore to the Jets, Caleb Downs 10th to the Bengals and Jeremiah Love to Baltimore.
“Jaguars thirty one to ten, Bills fire their coach”
said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →
4 checkable claims from this
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Score PredictionsJacksonville JaguarsJan 9, 2026
“Jaguars thirty one to ten, Bills fire their coach”
Scored 7.14a naive guess scored 47.69-40.54 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 27-24
- skill:
- -40.54
- they picked:
- JAX
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 7.14
- baseline:
- 47.69
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- naive home margin:
- 2.03
- predicted margin:
- 21
- Mock Draft PicksFernando MendozaJan 9, 2026
“drop mock draft one point, Oh, yesterday got my guy Mendoza up top.”
Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 100 against a shuffle’s 50+50 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 50
- player:
- Fernando Mendoza
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 100
- Mock Draft PicksCaleb DownsJan 9, 2026
“What do you think about Caleb Downs? The Ohio State stud have him ten to the Bengals.”
Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 100 against a shuffle’s 50+50 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 50
- player:
- Caleb Downs
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 95.76
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 11
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 95.76
- predicted pick:
- 10
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 100
- Mock Draft PicksMatt MooreNew York JetsJan 9, 2026
“Obviously Dante Moore to my Jets”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.