Skip to main content
MissedTakes
Menu

Tucker Franklin· Feb 16, 2026

Tucker predicted edge David Bailey comes off the board before Ruben Bain Jr., that Peter Woods won't last until the Chiefs' pick at 40 (i.e. goes in round one), and that the Chiefs will cut Mike Danna and Jawaan Taylor.

“And David Bailey is probably going off the board before Ruben Bane is.”

said on air, transcribed by us · KC Sports Network (podcast) · read the original →

4 checkable claims — 2 trade and signing calls, 1 mock draft pick and 1 prospect vs prospect call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 4 have settled, averaging 100 out of 100, against 75 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

4 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Trade and Signing CallsMichael DannaKansas City ChiefsFeb 16, 2026

    Michael Danna to move to Kansas City Chiefs

    “Mike Dana's probably gonna you're probably gonna have to cut bait with Mike Dana just because of the, cap casualty.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Michael Danna
    season:
    2025
    claimed:
    KC
    was with:
    KC
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    difficulty:
    1
    the naive guess:
    he stays where he is
    weeks in the season:
    18
    ended up with:
    KC
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Trade and Signing CallsJawaan TaylorKansas City ChiefsFeb 16, 2026

    Jawaan Taylor to move to Kansas City Chiefs

    “obviously, they're gonna, like, cut you on Taylor to save some money”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Jawaan Taylor
    season:
    2025
    claimed:
    KC
    was with:
    KC
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    difficulty:
    1
    the naive guess:
    he stays where he is
    weeks in the season:
    18
    ended up with:
    KC
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Prospect vs Prospect CallsDavid BaileyFeb 16, 2026

    David Bailey to be drafted ahead of Ruben Bane

    “And David Bailey is probably going off the board before Ruben Bane is.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50+50 skill
    How this was scored
    claim:
    David Bailey drafted ahead of Rueben Bain
    draft:
    2026
    skill:
    50
    what happened:
    David Bailey went 2, Rueben Bain went 15
    player:
    David Bailey
    season:
    2025
    correct:
    yes
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    compared to:
    Rueben Bain
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Mock Draft PicksPeter WoodsFeb 16, 2026

    Peter Woods to be picked “probably won't make it to the second round” (picks 33–64)

    “Peter Woods is another guy that I think he probably won't make it to the second round when the Chiefs pick up 40.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Peter Woods
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    29
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    probably won't make it to the second round (NOT picks 33–64)
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More trade and signing calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Discussed alongside these

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span of it for attribution — we never republish their article. If we have misread you, tell us and we will look at it.