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Kyle Brandt· Sep 3, 2025

Brandt picks Jalen Hurts as 2025 NFL MVP, predicts the Seahawks win the NFC West, has the Steelers, Patriots and Chargers in the AFC playoffs and the Lions as an NFC wild card, and takes Maxx Crosby as Defensive Player of the Year. He also says Saquon Barkley won't reach 2,000 rushing yards again but will score more.

The NFL's best player leads the NFL's best team.

said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast) · read the original →

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

10 checkable claims — 6 playoff picks, 2 award picks, 1 division winner and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 11 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 10 have settled, averaging 40 out of 100, against 20 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

10 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Seattle Seahawks to win the division

    But I have the Seahawks... Somebody finally picked the Seahawks win the NFCUS

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    200
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    LAR
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    won the division:
    yes

    Think this is wrong?

  • Baltimore Ravens to make the playoffs

    I think I'm accurate in saying that we all three have the Bucks and the Ravens in the playoffs.

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    BAL
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive guess said:
    yes
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    no
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers to make the playoffs

    I think I'm accurate in saying that we all three have the Bucks and the Ravens in the playoffs.

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    TB
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive guess said:
    yes
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    no
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Detroit Lions to make the playoffs

    I had the Lions as a wild card

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    DET
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive guess said:
    yes
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    no
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Los Angeles Chargers to make the playoffs

    I also have the Chargers.

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    LAC
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive guess said:
    yes
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    yes
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • New England Patriots to make the playoffs

    These are my AFC picks. Mantay mentioned the Steelers and the Patriots.

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    NE
    skill:
    200
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive guess said:
    no
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    yes
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Pittsburgh Steelers to make the playoffs

    So I would say probably the Steelers because I refer to them as the free space and the Bingo card

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    PIT
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive guess said:
    yes
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    yes
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Philadelphia Eagles to win the Super Bowl

    Well, now I'm the MVP and a Super Bowl champion. That would just be perfect. And I think it's going to happen.

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    PHI
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    champion:
    SEA
    runner up:
    NE
    the naive pick:
    PHI
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Jalen Hurts to win MVP

    I think this is the year, Jalen Hurts says, oh no, let me cook... and I think he wins the MVP.

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    award:
    mvp
    naive:
    the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Jalen Hurts
    season:
    2025
    winner:
    Matthew Stafford
    correct:
    no
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Maxx Crosby to win Defensive Player of the Year

    when that guy is rushing the passer for the Las Vegas Raiders... Defensive Player of the Year, Mad Max

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    award:
    defensive_player_of_the_year
    naive:
    the naive pick was Pat Surtain II, who won it the year before
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Maxx Crosby
    season:
    2025
    winner:
    Myles Garrett
    correct:
    no
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

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