Ross Jackson· Mar 2, 2026
In a post-combine seven-round Saints mock draft, Ross Jackson has New Orleans taking Notre Dame RB Jeremiah Love at No. 8, Louisville WR Chris Bell at 42, UCF edge Malachi Lawrence at 73, then Jalen Kilgore and Jalen Farmer in the fourth, Bryce Boecher and Bryce Lance in the fifth, and Lorenzo Styles Jr. in the sixth. He also projects Fernando Mendoza at No. 1 overall, Texas Tech edge David Bailey inside the top 10 and Morgan Freleng as a possible top-10 offensive lineman.
“If Jeremiah Love is there, he should be the absolute pick.”
said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Saints (podcast) · read the original →
11 checkable claims — 11 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 12 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 11 have settled, averaging 60.6 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Where this call stands in the room
Fernando Mendoza · 2026 season · overall pick7 calls from 7 pundits between 1 overall pick and 2 overall pick. Ross Jackson said 1 overall pick. the room's median is 1 overall pick. what happened: 1 overall pick
Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question, before the answer existed. The bar is what actually happened. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.
Their call against what happened
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Who this take is about
11 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
Jalen Farmer to be picked “fourth round” (picks 101–140)
“In the fourth round, we doubled up with Jalen Kilgore, the cornerback out of South Carolina, as well as Kentucky offensive lineman, Jalen Farmer.”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 95 against a shuffle’s 50+45 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 45
- player:
- Jalen Farmer
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 113
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- fourth round (picks 101–140)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 95
Lorenzo Styles to be picked “sixth or seventh round” (picks 182–257)
“I think that four two seven, though, is gonna create a situation like this where somebody's gonna take that swing in the sixth or seventh round.”
Close · 65Scored 64.84 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 95 against a shuffle’s 50+45 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 45
- player:
- Lorenzo Styles
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 64.84
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 172
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 64.84
- predicted pick:
- sixth or seventh round (picks 182–257)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 95
Bryce Boettcher to be picked “fifth round” (picks 141–181)
“Round five, I went with Oregon... Oregon linebacker, Bryce Bochum.”
Close · 77Scored 77.11 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 95 against a shuffle’s 50+45 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 45
- player:
- Bryce Boettcher
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 77.11
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 135
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 77.11
- predicted pick:
- fifth round (picks 141–181)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 95
Jalon Kilgore to be picked “early on in the fourth round” (picks 101–140)
“you knew I had to get one more impact player in here early on in the fourth round... South Carolina cornerback, Jalen Kilgore”
Miss · 31Scored 31.05 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 95 against a shuffle’s 50+45 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 45
- player:
- Jalon Kilgore
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 31.05
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 167
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 31.05
- predicted pick:
- early on in the fourth round (picks 101–140)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 95
- Mock Draft PicksDavid BaileyMar 2, 2026
David Bailey to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)
“just one hundredth of a second slower than, David Bailey, who's gonna go in the top 10 as an edge rusher out of Texas Tech”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 95 against a shuffle’s 50+45 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 45
- player:
- David Bailey
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 2
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- top 10 (picks 1–10)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 95
- Mock Draft PicksMonroe FreelingMar 2, 2026
Monroe Freeling to be picked “a potential top 10 pick” (picks 1–10)
“a Morgan Freleng who has been, you know, taking over all of the draft conversation right now as a potential top 10 pick”
Close · 68Scored 67.71 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 95 against a shuffle’s 50+45 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 45
- player:
- Monroe Freeling
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 67.71
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 19
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 67.71
- predicted pick:
- a potential top 10 pick (picks 1–10)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 95
- Mock Draft PicksChris BellNew Orleans SaintsMar 2, 2026
Chris Bell to be picked at number 42
“Chris Bell, the wide receiver out of Louisville, who we're taking in our mock draft today at round two, pick 42”
Miss · 11Scored 10.51 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 95 against a shuffle’s 50+45 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 45
- player:
- Chris Bell
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 10.51
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 94
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 10.51
- predicted pick:
- 42
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 95
Malachi Lawrence to be picked at number 73
“Let's go to round three. Pick 73... is UCF edge rusher Malachi Lawrence.”
Miss · 11Scored 11.46 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 95 against a shuffle’s 50+45 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 45
- player:
- Malachi Lawrence
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 11.46
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 23
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 11.46
- predicted pick:
- 73
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 95
Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 8
“Round one, pick number eight. I have the New Orleans Saints in our post combine mock draft taking Jeremiah Love, the running back out of Notre Dame.”
Hit · 81Scored 80.52 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 95 against a shuffle’s 50+45 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 45
- player:
- Jeremiyah Love
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 80.52
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 3
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 80.52
- predicted pick:
- 8
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 95
- Mock Draft PicksFernando MendozaMar 2, 2026
Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
“But with Fernando Mendoza going pick one, that's gonna help.”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 95 against a shuffle’s 50+45 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 45
- player:
- Fernando Mendoza
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 95
Bryce Lance to be picked at number 170
“at pick one seventy in the fifth round, I went with North Dakota State University wide receiver, Bryce Lance”
Miss · 23Scored 22.93 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 95 against a shuffle’s 50+45 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 45
- player:
- Bryce Lance
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 22.93
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 136
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 22.93
- predicted pick:
- 170
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 95
What others said about the same people
- Nick WrightScore Predictions · New Orleans SaintsMiss · 33On his Week 3 pick show, Nick Wright gave straight-up final-score predictions for five games, calling blowouts by Seattle over Washington and Kansas City over Miami, a Jacksonville home win over New England, a narrow New Orleans win over the Raiders and a low-scoring Baltimore win over Dallas in Brazil. He also called Seattle the best team in the NFL with the league's best defense.
- Dan BeyerGame Outcome Picks · New Orleans SaintsMiss · 0For his Week 3 survivor pick, he took the Saints to beat the Raiders at home, saying he doesn't see Las Vegas staying unbeaten.
- Darrion GrayScore Predictions · New Orleans SaintsClose · 45Predicted the Saints beat the Raiders 27-17 at home.
- John HendricksScore Predictions · New Orleans SaintsClose · 43Predicted a lower-scoring Saints win over the Raiders, 24-19, with the defense carrying them.
- Lance MooreScore Predictions · New Orleans SaintsClose · 48Called for a Saints victory over the Raiders by a score of 27-20.
- Dylan SandersScore Predictions · New Orleans SaintsMiss · 36Picked the Saints to beat the Raiders at home in Week 3 by a score of 31-17, with New Orleans getting off to a fast start.
More mock draft picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Nick ShookMock Draft Picks · Max IheanachorHit · 88Shook walks through his full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three.
- Gregg RosenthalMock Draft Picks · K.C. ConcepcionClose · 68Rosenthal disagrees most with Casey Concepcion being left out of the first round, arguing he could go as high as the top 15 and certainly won't last past receiver-needy teams in the late twenties.
- Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks · Keyron CrawfordHit · 81In discussing teams without first-round picks, Jeremiah projected specific Day 2 picks: Clemson WR Antonio Williams to the Falcons at 48, Texas Tech LB Jacob Rodriguez to the Colts in the second round, Oklahoma edge R Mason Thomas to the Packers at 52, and Auburn edge Keiroon Crawford to the Broncos at 62. He also expects Riley Leonard to open as the Colts' starting QB and Travis Hunter to play cornerback full time in Jacksonville.
- Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks · Carnell TateHit · 92Jeremiah says Denver, not Kansas City, will be the clear favorite in the AFC West this season; he also puts Carnell Tate sixth and Monroe Freeling twentieth on his prospect board, mocks Tate to Cleveland at No. 6, and expects Georgia receiver Branch to be a Day 2 pick after a strong pro day.
- Bucky BrooksMock Draft Picks · Carnell TateHit · 81In a mock draft covering the first 14 picks, Brooks made the odd-numbered selections: Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders at No. 1, a Miami offensive lineman to Arizona at No. 3, Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5, Ohio State's Arvell Reese to Washington at No. 7, Carnell Tate to Kansas City at No. 9, tight end Kenyon Sadiq to Miami at No. 11, and Spencer Fano to the Rams at No. 13.
- Scott BogmanMock Draft Picks · Olaivavega IoaneClose · 71He gave David Bailey to Tennessee at 4, Sonny Styles to Washington at 7, Caleb Downs to Cincinnati at 10, Carnell Tate to the Rams at 13, Denzel Boston to the Jets at 16, Kayden McDonald to Carolina at 19, Vega Ioane to the Chargers at 22, Peter Woods to Chicago at 25, Emmanuel Pregnon to Houston at 28 and Romello Height to Denver at 31, and insisted both Bailey and Downs are top-10 locks.