David Harrison · Mar 23, 2026
In his Mock Draft Monday, Harrison projects the top nine picks of the 2026 NFL Draft, with Fernando Mendoza first overall to the Raiders, two trades in the top 10, and the Commanders trading back from No. 7 to select LSU cornerback Mansoor Delaine at No. 9; he then lays out Washington's full class from Round 3 on.
“Mansourde Lane is the pick for Washington, but it's not at number seven.”
said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Commanders (podcast) · read the original →
18 checkable claims from this
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Mock Draft PicksArvell ReeseNew York JetsMar 23, 2026
Arvell Reese to be picked at number 2
“the best player available on the board to me is Ohio State linebacker slash edge, whatever you wanna call him, R. Vell Reese. So that is the number two pick in this mock draft.”
Hit · 88Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 93.71 against a shuffle’s 50+43.71 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 43.71
- player:
- Arvell Reese
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 87.81
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 5
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 87.81
- predicted pick:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 93.71
Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
“Number one, Las Vegas Raiders... The pick, Fernando Mendoza, quarterback out of Indiana.”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 94.55 against a shuffle’s 50+44.55 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 44.55
- player:
- Fernando Mendoza
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 94.55
- Mock Draft PicksFrancis MauigoaArizona CardinalsMar 23, 2026
Francis Mauigoa to be picked at number 3
“I think the pick here is a rare top three right tackle. Francis Maui Goa, right tackle out of Miami, Florida.”
Close · 74Scored 73.84 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 94.55 against a shuffle’s 50+44.55 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 44.55
- player:
- Francis Mauigoa
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 73.84
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 10
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 73.84
- predicted pick:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 94.55
- Mock Draft PicksJeremiyah LoveTennessee TitansMar 23, 2026
Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 4
“Number four... Jeremiah Love, running back Notre Dame to the Tennessee titans.”
Hit · 96Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 94.55 against a shuffle’s 50+44.55 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 44.55
- player:
- Jeremiyah Love
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 95.76
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 3
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 95.76
- predicted pick:
- 4
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 94.55
- Mock Draft PicksSonny StylesNew York GiantsMar 23, 2026
Sonny Styles to be picked at number 5
“They're at number five for the New York Giants linebacker out of Ohio State... here, they go Sonny Styles in the first round.”
Miss · 0Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 94.55 against a shuffle’s 50+44.55 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 44.55
- player:
- Sonny Styles
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- undrafted
- outcome:
- went undrafted in 2026; later signed with WAS
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- undrafted
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0
- predicted pick:
- 5
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 94.55
- Mock Draft PicksDavid BaileyKansas City ChiefsMar 23, 2026
David Bailey to be picked at number 7
“They send number nine... to the Washington match for pick number seven... They take David Bailey.”
Miss · 0Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 94.55 against a shuffle’s 50+44.55 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 44.55
- player:
- David Bailey
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- undrafted
- outcome:
- went undrafted in 2026; later signed with NYJ
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- undrafted
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0
- predicted pick:
- 7
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 94.55
- Mock Draft PicksRueben BainDallas CowboysMar 23, 2026
Rueben Bain to be picked at number 6
“they trade up with the Cleveland Browns... for the number six overall pick... they take Miami Edge, Reuben Bain Junior”
Close · 68Scored 67.71 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 94.55 against a shuffle’s 50+44.55 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 44.55
- player:
- Rueben Bain
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 67.71
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 15
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 67.71
- predicted pick:
- 6
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 94.55
- Mock Draft PicksCarnell TateNew Orleans SaintsMar 23, 2026
Carnell Tate to be picked at number 8
“The New Orleans Saints take wide receiver Carnell Tate out of Ohio State”
Hit · 84Scored 84.09 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 94.55 against a shuffle’s 50+44.55 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 44.55
- player:
- Carnell Tate
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 84.09
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 4
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 84.09
- predicted pick:
- 8
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 94.55
Mansoor Delane to be picked at number 9
“at number nine, the Washington mayor's draft. Man, Stewart Delaney, cornerback out of LSU in this week's mock draft.”
Hit · 88Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 94.55 against a shuffle’s 50+44.55 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 44.55
- player:
- Mansoor Delane
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 87.81
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 6
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 87.81
- predicted pick:
- 9
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 94.55
Antonio Williams to be picked at number 71
“with the seventy first overall pick in the NFL draft... we go and get Antonio Williams wide receiver”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 94.55 against a shuffle’s 50+44.55 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 44.55
- player:
- Antonio Williams
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 71
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- 71
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 94.55
Romello Height to be picked at number 74
“Third round, seventy fourth overall pick... Romello height edge rusher out of Texas Tech.”
Hit · 84Scored 84.09 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 94.55 against a shuffle’s 50+44.55 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 44.55
- player:
- Romello Height
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 84.09
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 70
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 84.09
- predicted pick:
- 74
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 94.55
Austin Barber to be picked at number 147
“Pick number one forty seven. We go offensive line here. Austin Barber offensive tackle out of Florida”
Miss · 7Scored 7.12 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 94.55 against a shuffle’s 50+44.55 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 44.55
- player:
- Austin Barber
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 7.12
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 86
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 7.12
- predicted pick:
- 147
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 94.55
Ar'maj Reed-Adams to be picked at number 187
“Pick number one eighty seven, Armaje Reed Adams, guard out of Texas A and M”
Miss · 0Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 94.55 against a shuffle’s 50+44.55 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 44.55
- player:
- Ar'maj Reed-Adams
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- undrafted
- outcome:
- went undrafted in 2026; later signed with BUF
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- undrafted
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0
- predicted pick:
- 187
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 94.55
Zavion Thomas to be picked at number 209
“Number 209, our second pick in the sixth round, wide receiver, Zavion Thomas.”
Miss · 1Scored 0.55 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 94.55 against a shuffle’s 50+44.55 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 44.55
- player:
- Zavion Thomas
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 0.55
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 89
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0.55
- predicted pick:
- 209
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 94.55
Deven Eastern to be picked at number 223
“Final final pick, two twenty three, seventh round, Devin Eastern, defensive lineman out of Minnesota.”
Close · 44Scored 43.91 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 94.55 against a shuffle’s 50+44.55 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 44.55
- player:
- Deven Eastern
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 43.91
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 242
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 43.91
- predicted pick:
- 223
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 94.55
- Team Draft Slot CallsWashington CommandersMar 23, 2026
Washington Commanders to pick at number 9
“they end up with him at pick number nine. Two trades happening in the top 10 here in my latest mock draft Monday”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Team Draft Slot CallsKansas City ChiefsMar 23, 2026
Kansas City Chiefs to pick at number 7
“So the Kansas City Chiefs... They send number nine. In the first round, they send number 74... to the Washington match for pick number seven.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Team Draft Slot CallsDallas CowboysMar 23, 2026
Dallas Cowboys to pick at number 6
“So they trade up with the Cleveland Browns. The cowboys said number 12 and number 96 in 2026... to Cleveland for the number six overall pick.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.