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Gregg Rosenthal· Jan 2, 2026

Rosenthal's three official Week 18 picks were the Broncos over the Chargers' backups, the Vikings over the Packers and the Jaguars over the Titans, with side leans toward the Texans, Bears, Dolphins, Browns and Eagles. He also predicted Clayton Tune, not Malik Willis, would start at quarterback for Green Bay.

“I just think this is a team in Denver that is going to swarm.”

said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast) · read the original →

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

6 checkable claims — 5 game outcome picks and 1 depth chart call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 7 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 6 have settled, averaging 97.2 out of 100, against 81.9 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

6 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Game Outcome PicksMinnesota VikingsJan 2, 2026

    Minnesota Vikings to beat Packers

    “I'm taking the Vikings minus six and a half.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    MIN
    score:
    3-16
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    MIN
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    MIN
    difficulty:
    1.06
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    1

    Think this is wrong?

  • Game Outcome PicksCleveland BrownsJan 2, 2026

    Cleveland Browns to beat Cincinnati Bengals

    “Do I trust the Cincinnati Bengals... to be favored by seven and a half when you're going up against one of the best defense league, I really don't. So the Browns are just one a little extra.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+106 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    CLE
    score:
    20-18
    skill:
    106
    they picked:
    CLE
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    CIN
    difficulty:
    1.06
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    1

    Think this is wrong?

  • Game Outcome PicksJacksonville JaguarsJan 2, 2026

    Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Titans

    “The Jaguars are playing for their division championship against a really bad Titans one... I like the Jags minus twelve and a half a little more than the Bills”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    JAX
    score:
    7-41
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    JAX
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    JAX
    difficulty:
    1.06
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    1

    Think this is wrong?

  • Game Outcome PicksHouston TexansJan 2, 2026

    Houston Texans to beat Indianapolis

    “Are the Texans a team that you can trust to cover ten and a half at home against Riley Leonard? I think they are.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    HOU
    score:
    30-38
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    HOU
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    HOU
    difficulty:
    1.06
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    1

    Think this is wrong?

  • Game Outcome PicksDenver BroncosJan 2, 2026

    Denver Broncos to beat Chargers

    “we're gonna both go in on the Broncos minus twelve and a half to beat the Chargers backups”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    DEN
    score:
    3-19
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    DEN
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    DEN
    difficulty:
    1.06
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    1

    Think this is wrong?

  • Depth Chart CallsClayton TuneGreen Bay PackersJan 2, 2026

    Clayton Tune to be 1st on the depth chart

    “we might not know until game time who's starting at quarterback, but I feel pretty good that it's gonna be Clayton Tune, not Malik Willis”

    Hit · 83Scored 83.33a naive guess scored 91.67-8.83 skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    GB
    skill:
    -8.83
    player:
    Clayton Tune
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    83.33
    baseline:
    91.67
    position:
    QB
    naive slot:
    2
    actual slot:
    3
    difficulty:
    1.06
    measured by:
    passing yards
    the naive guess:
    where he sat last season
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted slot:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    1

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Discussed alongside these

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