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A limited sample — under 30 graded articles.
99.62% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where FantasyPros’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 13 of 14 articles (1 higher, 12 lower) · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 13 of 16 articles (1 higher, 12 lower) · the strays aren’t settled yet
626–650 of 3,270
14 / 3,270
graded
3,256 still pending
Outside the room in 10 of 11 articles — always lower · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 10 of 10 articles (2 higher, 8 lower) · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 10 of 16 articles (1 higher, 9 lower) · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 10 of 17 articles (3 higher, 7 lower) · the strays aren’t settled yet
Rhamondre Stevenson to be 1st on the depth chart
Rhamondre Stevenson is a quality back positioned for a lead role for the Patriots.
Rhamondre StevensonNew England Patriots
Chris Godwin Jr. to be 2nd on the depth chart
You can sell him as if he's the Buccaneers' No. 1 WR, when he's much more likely to be the second target with injury risk.
Chris Godwin Jr.Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Rhamondre Stevenson to fall short of his draft cost
Why should you trade Stevenson before Week 1? The answer is simple: To secure a profit.
Rhamondre StevensonNew England Patriots
MarShawn Lloyd to fall short of his draft cost
But with Jacobs likely facing a 6-8 game suspension rather than an entire season, it's probably a good idea to try to move off Lloyd before the season starts.
MarShawn LloydGreen Bay Packers
Chris Godwin Jr. to fall short of his draft cost
To that end, it's not a bad idea to capitalize on Godwin optimism before the season starts.
Chris Godwin Jr.Tampa Bay Buccaneers
MarShawn Lloyd to be 1st on the depth chart
MarShawn Lloyd is set to take over the lead back role for the Packers with Josh Jacobs facing a suspension.
MarShawn LloydGreen Bay Packers
TreVeyon Henderson to be 2nd on the depth chart
Word out of camp has been overwhelmingly positive, with TreVeyon Henderson looking more like a change-of-pace back.
TreVeyon HendersonNew England Patriots
Malik Nabers to fall short of his draft cost (being drafted as a WR1)
Having said the young receiver being drafted as a WR1, and we can’t subscribe to that.
Xavier Worthy to outplay his draft cost (at the end of your drafts)
You’re probably better off drafting Xavier Worthy at the end of your drafts, and leaving someone else choose to grab Rashee Rice inside the top 20 receivers.
Xavier WorthyKansas City Chiefs
Rashee Rice to fall short of his draft cost (inside the top 20 receivers)
Rice is being drafted before the likes of Ladd McConkey, Tetairoa McMillan, Emeka Egbuks, and Jameson Williams... leaving someone else choose to grab Rashee Rice inside the top 20 receivers.
Drake London to fall short of his draft cost (amongst the top-10 receivers and a top-25 player overall)
London is being drafted amongst the top-10 receivers and a top-25 player overall. It’s very difficult to envision the talented receiver returning that type of production
Davante Adams to fall short of his draft cost
Adams is more or less being drafted for the stats he recorded last season, and that’s not a good enough argument to overlook the other alerts that are contrary to the preseason predictions.
Mike Evans to fall short of his draft cost
the veteran receiver’s time as a WR1 fantasy option may be coming to an end... There’s just not enough offense to go around to support Evans being an elite fantasy option this season.
George Pickens to fall short of his draft cost
I expect Lamb to be the clear-cut top target in this offense once again, making Pickens slightly overvalued. I'd rather draft DeVonta Smith.
Luther Burden III to outplay his draft cost (at cost)
I'd rather take someone like Luther Burden III at cost. He provides more upside on a Bears offense that looks ready to explode.
Luther Burden IIIChicago Bears
Emeka Egbuka to outplay his draft cost
I'd much rather invest in a younger player, especially a falling one like Emeka Egbuka, as fantasy managers panic over his minor toe injury.
Tetairoa McMillan to fall short of his draft cost
While I'll still take McMillan if he falls past ADP, he feels more like a floor pick. I'd rather take someone like Luther Burden III at cost.
Tetairoa McMillanCarolina Panthers
Chris Godwin Jr. to fall short of his draft cost
Godwin has risen in ADP lately due to Emeka Egbuka's injury concerns. That makes Godwin a clear-cut fade.
Chris Godwin Jr.Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Davante Adams to fall short of his draft cost (a fourth- or fifth-round pick)
I'm not willing to pay a fourth- or fifth-round pick for him.
Malik Nabers to fall short of his draft cost (as high as the second round)
There's a lot of injury optimism here, which has bumped Nabers up as high as the second round in drafts. That's too rich for me... I'm fully out on Nabers.
CeeDee Lamb to be 1st on the depth chart
Now fully healthy, I expect Lamb to be the clear-cut top target in this offense once again
Dak Prescott to finish top 5 at his position, by fantasy points
Even if Prescott doesn’t increase his touchdown production, we still get a top-five or better quarterback option in the 10th round.
Chase Brown to record 220 fantasy points
Chase Brown is one of the more exciting players to roster this year, and projects to finish the season with over 220 fantasy points.
Rachaad White to be 3rd on the depth chart
If the volume is there, White would make for a very valuable RB2. As it stands, it looks more likely White will be a serviceable RB3/FLEX.
Rachaad WhiteWashington Commanders
Quentin Johnston to outplay his draft cost
Johnston has to be in the argument for a breakout season with the Chargers bringing in Mike McDaniel as their offensive coordinator.
Quentin JohnstonLos Angeles Chargers