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A limited sample — under 30 graded articles.
99.4% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where FantasyPros’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 13 of 14 articles (1 higher, 12 lower) · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 12 of 15 articles — always lower · the strays aren’t settled yet
1651–1675 of 2,179
15 / 2,179
graded
2,164 still pending
Outside the room in 10 of 11 articles — always lower · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 10 of 18 articles (1 higher, 9 lower) · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 9 of 9 articles (2 higher, 7 lower) · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 9 of 16 articles — always lower · the strays aren’t settled yet
David Montgomery to outplay his draft cost (Rounds 1-5 | Picks 1-60)
Early-Round Values (Rounds 1-5 | Picks 1-60): David Montgomery
Caleb Williams to fall short of his draft cost (at Top 7 cost)
Caleb Williams (at Top 7 cost)
Tyler Warren to outplay his draft cost (Rounds 1-5 | Picks 1-60)
Early-Round Values (Rounds 1-5 | Picks 1-60): Tyler Warren
Ja'Kobi Lane to outplay his draft cost (Outside Top 200)
Deep-League Values (Outside Top 200): Ja’Kobi Lane
Emeka Egbuka to outplay his draft cost (Rounds 1-5 | Picks 1-60)
Early-Round Values (Rounds 1-5 | Picks 1-60): Emeka Egbuka
Nicholas Singleton to outplay his draft cost (Outside Top 200)
Deep-League Values (Outside Top 200): Nicholas Singleton
CeeDee Lamb to fall short of his draft cost (at Top 5 cost)
CeeDee Lamb (at Top 5 cost)
Emmett Johnson to outplay his draft cost (Rounds 11+ | Outside Top 120)
Late-Round Values (Rounds 11+ | Outside Top 120): Emmett Johnson
Malik Washington to outplay his draft cost (Rounds 11+ | Outside Top 120)
Late-Round Values (Rounds 11+ | Outside Top 120): Malik Washington
Jaylen Waddle to outplay his draft cost (Rounds 1-5 | Picks 1-60)
Early-Round Values (Rounds 1-5 | Picks 1-60): Jaylen Waddle
Matthew Golden to outplay his draft cost (Rounds 11+ | Outside Top 120)
Late-Round Values (Rounds 11+ | Outside Top 120): Matthew Golden
De'Zhaun Stribling to outplay his draft cost (Rounds 11+ | Outside Top 120)
Late-Round Values (Rounds 11+ | Outside Top 120): De’Zhaun Stribling
Mike Evans to outplay his draft cost (Rounds 1-5 | Picks 1-60)
Early-Round Values (Rounds 1-5 | Picks 1-60): Mike Evans
Antonio Williams to outplay his draft cost (Outside Top 200)
Deep-League Values (Outside Top 200): Antonio Williams
Omarion Hampton to outplay his draft cost (Rounds 1-5 | Picks 1-60)
Early-Round Values (Rounds 1-5 | Picks 1-60): Omarion Hampton
Tank Dell to outplay his draft cost (Outside Top 200)
Deep-League Values (Outside Top 200): Tank Dell
Rico Dowdle to outplay his draft cost (being drafted behind Warren)
pegging Rico Dowdle as one of my breakout players at the running back position
Rico Dowdle to be 1st on the depth chart
pegging Rico Dowdle as one of my breakout players at the running back position ... Warren should remain in his current role rather than ascend to being the featured back for Pittsburgh.
J.K. Dobbins to fall short of his draft cost (being drafted in near-identical positions)
J.K. Dobbins and RJ Harvey are being drafted in near-identical positions ... I'll just pass on this situation completely
RJ Harvey to fall short of his draft cost (being drafted in near-identical positions)
If Dobbins is on the field, Harvey's upside is dramatically lowered ... I'll just pass on this situation completely
Jaylen Warren to fall short of his draft cost (being drafted ahead of Dowdle)
Considering that Warren is being drafted ahead of Dowdle, I'm happy to take the discount.
Bucky Irving to fall short of his draft cost (currently ranked as the RB21)
Considering that Irving is currently ranked as the RB21 and Gainwell the RB36 in our expert consensus rankings (ECR), I'd honestly rather wait and take the value.
Travis Etienne to fall short of his draft cost (Currently ranked as the RB18 atop the fourth tier at the position)
Currently ranked as the RB18 atop the fourth tier at the position, I'd pivot elsewhere for upside.
Stefon Diggs to outplay his draft cost (ADP 49)
Stefon Diggs WAS 45 49
Stefon DiggsWashington Commanders
Omar Cooper to outplay his draft cost (ADP 62)
Omar Cooper Jr. NYJ 59 62