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A limited sample — under 30 graded articles.
95.96% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where First Things First (podcast)’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 2 of 11 articles — always higher · the strays aren’t settled yet
176–200 of 525
241 / 525
graded
284 still pending
Los Angeles Chargers to finish with 9 wins
I think they win nine games
Seattle Seahawks to take the top seed
So I think Seattle, fourteen and three and the number one seed again.
Kansas City Chiefs to win the division
So the Chiefs back atop the AFC West.
Buffalo Bills to finish with 11 wins
And if I've got them winning 11 games, which is what I have the Bills winning
Philadelphia Eagles to win the division
Well, I do like the Eagles to pick the Eagles win the NFC East.
Philadelphia Eagles to take the top seed
they could be the number one seed or they could struggle and I'm leaning more towards number one seed
A.J. Brown to finish top 10 at his position, by receiving yards
it would surprise me if he's not a top 10 receiver in the league this year
Denver Broncos to make the playoffs
I have the Denver Broncos going eleven and six and making the playoffs.
Denver Broncos to finish with 11 wins
I have the Denver Broncos going eleven and six and making the playoffs.
Myles Garrett to record 25 sacks
I feel like 25 plus sacks is in play
Las Vegas Raiders to finish with 3 wins
The Raiders. Last place, three and fourteen.
Myles Garrett to win Defensive Player of the Year
I'm gonna go with Miles Garrett.
Seattle Seahawks to win the division
You could reveal the Seahawks... So I have the Seahawks being the forgotten champions and running it back.
San Francisco 49ers to make the playoffs
It gets interesting though at number three with the San Francisco forty niners Yeah. Because I have them Oh. Making the playoffs.
Arizona Cardinals to finish with 3 wins
Everybody's gonna have the Cardinals in last place. I am going three and fourteen.
Los Angeles Chargers to win the division
And then, of course, coming in at number one, the chargers.
Kansas City Chiefs to win
That week 15 game Yeah. I think the Chiefs beat the Patriots, and that determines which of those two make the playoffs.
Denver Broncos to win the division
Who won this division last year? The Broncos. Okay. Yeah. The Broncos. And they will probably do it again this year.
New Orleans Saints to beat expectations
We had Howie Long on yesterday. He said you guys were his sleep one of his sleeper teams in the NFC.
New England Patriots to finish with 9 wins
I think they're gonna be about nine and eight and just miss it.
Will Anderson Jr. to win Defensive Player of the Year
You've got a case for a man not named Miles Garrett... Will Anderson.
Seattle Seahawks to make the playoffs
I still gotta make in the playoffs, but I have them second second.
New England Patriots to make the playoffs
I am going ten and seven just making the playoffs.
Dallas Cowboys to make the playoffs
coming in at number two, they're gonna be in the playoffs. They're very good. It's the Dallas Cowboys.
Miami Dolphins to finish with 3 wins
only the Cardinals have a harder schedule this year than the Miami Dolphins. I think they're three and fourteen.