Loading…
Loading…
A limited sample — under 30 graded articles.
96.62% of their claims were specific enough to check. Most of what they said committed to something.
hits
misses
Takes in each band
Everyone writing under this banner, pooled into the numbers above. Counted by article, with a paginated series counting once — the same rule used for an individual, from the published methodology.
Teams and players where Pro Football Focus’s writers keep landing outside the room: at least twice, a call published under this banner sat beyond every other pundit who made a comparable one — higher or lower than all of them, in a room of at least five voices. The bar is the banner’s standing lean (+100 would be the most bullish voice in every room), and the accuracy covers just those out-on-a-limb calls, once they settle. Computed, never chosen.
Outside the room in 2 of 2 articles — always lower · the strays aren’t settled yet
Outside the room in 2 of 3 articles — always higher · the strays aren’t settled yet
676–700 of 1,021
61 / 1,021
graded
960 still pending
Outside the room in 2 of 2 articles (1 higher, 1 lower) · the strays aren’t settled yet
Josh Downs to outplay his draft cost (ADP: 11.03)
WR Josh Downs, Indianapolis Colts (ADP: 11.03) ... These are all players I rank at least 20 spots higher than their consensus ADP
David Montgomery to be 1st on the depth chart
With Nick Chubb gone, Woody Marks is Montgomery's primary competition for touches ... That leaves Montgomery with a clear path to his largest workload in years.
D'Andre Swift to outplay his draft cost (ADP: 5.11)
If you do find yourself looking for a running back in the dead zone, these are the players to target. ... D'Andre Swift, Chicago Bears (ADP: 5.11)
D'Andre Swift to be 1st on the depth chart
There is some risk that Monangai improves enough to take on a larger role, but Swift graded notably better as a runner, receiver and pass blocker last season, making a significant shift in playing time unlikely.
D'Andre Swift to finish top 24 at his position, by fantasy points
A slight decline is a reasonable expectation, leaving him as a low-end RB2.
David Montgomery to outplay his draft cost (ADP: 5.10)
David Montgomery, Houston Texans (ADP: 5.10) ... That leaves Montgomery with a clear path to his largest workload in years.
Keaton Mitchell to be 2nd on the depth chart
While Mitchell and Vidal appeared to be in a competition for the second running back spot, Mitchell appears to be in second.
Cedrick Wilson Jr. to make the roster
Both Wilson and Dortch stopped playing at the end of the first quarter, making it seem like their roster spots are secure.
Breece Hall to finish top ? at his position, by fantasy points
Hall enters the season as a high-end RB2 with a path to RB1 production if the Jets’ offense exceeds expectations.
AJ Barner to be 1st on the depth chart
AJ Barner won the starting tight end job last season and remains firmly atop the depth chart, leaving Arroyo in a backup role.
Pat Freiermuth to fall short of his draft cost
While Freiermuth could be a bye-week replacement, it’s unlikely he has a significant bounce-back this season.
Kaleb Johnson to make the roster
playing well behind both Travis Homer and Lew Nichols, making it seem very unlikely Johnson makes the 53-man roster
Antonio Williams to make the roster
There is still plenty of time for Williams to move up the depth chart, and he appears likely to make the roster, but his early-season playing time could be limited.
DeMario Douglas to be 3rd on the depth chart
This suggests that Douglas is the clear third wide receiver on the depth chart.
Keaton Mitchell to outplay his draft cost
Mitchell has been among my top sleepers because of his strong play with the Baltimore Ravens and his similarities to Mike McDaniel’s former running back, De’Von Achane.
Oscar Delp to be 2nd on the depth chart
This suggests Delp will be a direct backup to Johnson, while Fant will likely join Johnson in 12 personnel.
Nate Boerkircher to be 2nd on the depth chart
Nate Boerkircher and Tanner Koziol have already worked their way to second and third on the depth chart.
Jonah Coleman to be 3rd on the depth chart
Jonah Coleman is already third on the depth chart... it did provide evidence that Coleman is already ahead of both McLaughlin and Badie
Odell Beckham Jr. to be 6th on the depth chart
That suggests Beckham and Berrios are no higher than sixth on the depth chart at this point.
Marquise Brown to be 4th on the depth chart
Free-agent addition Hollywood Brown played on the first two drives before leaving ahead of the rest of the Eagles’ starters, providing further evidence that he is fourth on the wide receiver depth chart.
Javonte Williams to be 1st on the depth chart
Williams remains the unquestioned starter, but Blue appears to have established himself as his primary handcuff.
Braxton Berrios to be 6th on the depth chart
That suggests Beckham and Berrios are no higher than sixth on the depth chart at this point.
Jarquez Hunter to be 4th on the depth chart
2025 fourth-round running back Jarquez Hunter remains fourth on the depth chart, and he appears to be a distant fourth
Emari Demercado to be 4th on the depth chart
This would suggest that Demercado is a distant fourth on the depth chart.
Caleb Douglas to outplay his draft cost (late-round picks)
Both Douglas and Washington are worth late-round picks, as one of the two will likely lead Miami in targets this season.