Fantasy Bust Calls
Scored under the published methodology, which sets out what counts as right, what a naive guess would have said, and why an earlier call is worth more than a late one.
- Takes logged
- 409
- Graded
- 38
- Average accuracy
- 57.9
- Pundits
- 47
9% settled
out of 100
have made one
How these calls land
Takes in each band
Settled or waiting
38 / 409
graded
371 still pending
Who is good at fantasy bust calls
- Simon Hunter100 accuracy · 1 graded+200.0
- Derek Brown81 accuracy · 12 graded+125.0
- Andrew Erickson75 accuracy · 4 graded+100.0
- Chris Welsh75 accuracy · 4 graded+100.0
- Joe Pisapia50 accuracy · 4 graded+0.0
- Pat Fitzmaurice45 accuracy · 7 graded-20.0
- Jake Ciely33 accuracy · 4 graded-66.7
- Sean Kerner0 accuracy · 1 graded-200.0
- Ryan Wormeli0 accuracy · 1 graded-200.0
provisionalRatings this early are samples, not reputations — the methodology sets out how many articles it takes before we call one settled.
By publisher
- The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast)58.7 · 38 graded
Every fantasy bust calls take
1–25 of 409
- PendingShaun IrelandFantasy Bust Calls
Drake London to fall short of his draft cost (inside the top 40 in the FantasyPros Flex rankings)
Drake London. Atlanta looks broken... I'm not trusting anyone except Bijan Robinson.
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 17, 2026 - PendingGuilherme GianniFantasy Bust Calls
Drake London to fall short of his draft cost (inside the top 40 in the FantasyPros Flex rankings)
the problems with their QB room can cost a lot for all receivers this season, and I don't see Carolina doing a bad game like over the Bears
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 17, 2026 - PendingSteve KrebsFantasy Bust Calls
Drake London to fall short of his draft cost (amongst the top-10 receivers and a top-25 player overall)
London is being drafted amongst the top-10 receivers and a top-25 player overall. It’s very difficult to envision the talented receiver returning that type of production
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026 - PendingSteve KrebsFantasy Bust Calls
Rashee Rice to fall short of his draft cost (inside the top 20 receivers)
Rice is being drafted before the likes of Ladd McConkey, Tetairoa McMillan, Emeka Egbuks, and Jameson Williams... leaving someone else choose to grab Rashee Rice inside the top 20 receivers.
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026 - PendingSteve KrebsFantasy Bust Calls
Malik Nabers to fall short of his draft cost (being drafted as a WR1)
Having said the young receiver being drafted as a WR1, and we can’t subscribe to that.
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026 - PendingFrank AmmiranteFantasy Bust Calls
Malik Nabers to fall short of his draft cost (as high as the second round)
There's a lot of injury optimism here, which has bumped Nabers up as high as the second round in drafts. That's too rich for me... I'm fully out on Nabers.
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026 - PendingFrank AmmiranteFantasy Bust Calls
Davante Adams to fall short of his draft cost (a fourth- or fifth-round pick)
I'm not willing to pay a fourth- or fifth-round pick for him.
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 8, 2026 - PendingFrank AmmiranteFantasy Bust Calls
De'Von Achane to fall short of his draft cost (Round 2)
Round 2 De'Von Achane (RB – MIA) Another talented running back who I'm avoiding is De'Von Achane.
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 7, 2026 - PendingFrank AmmiranteFantasy Bust Calls
George Kittle to fall short of his draft cost (Round 7)
Round 7 George Kittle (TE – SF) George Kittle looks ready to return, but he is a veteran player coming off a torn Achilles.
George KittleSan Francisco 49ers
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 7, 2026 - PendingFrank AmmiranteFantasy Bust Calls
Christian McCaffrey to fall short of his draft cost (Round 1)
Round 1 Christian McCaffrey (RB – SF) ... I'm not willing to use a first-round pick on a running back entering his age-30 season, coming off 400+ touches. Add in the lengthy injury history as well, and he's a clear fade.
Christian McCaffreySan Francisco 49ers
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 7, 2026 - PendingFrank AmmiranteFantasy Bust Calls
DJ Moore to fall short of his draft cost (Round 5)
Round 5 DJ Moore (WR – BUF) ... Moore looks like a declining veteran. ... I don't see much upside here.
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 7, 2026 - PendingFrank AmmiranteFantasy Bust Calls
Josh Allen to fall short of his draft cost (Round 3)
Round 3 Josh Allen (QB – BUF) I have Josh Allen ranked as my QB1 overall, but I'm unwilling to draft him in the third round.
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 7, 2026 - PendingFrank AmmiranteFantasy Bust Calls
Cam Skattebo to fall short of his draft cost (Round 4)
Round 4 Cam Skattebo (RB – NYG) ... Yes, Skattebo should lead the team in touches, but his draft cost is too high.
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 7, 2026 - PendingFrank AmmiranteFantasy Bust Calls
Mike Evans to fall short of his draft cost (Round 6)
Round 6 Mike Evans (WR – SF) Mike Evans could be a touchdown machine, but he is another aging player with significant injury concerns.
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 7, 2026 - PendingSteve KrebsFantasy Bust Calls
Davante Adams to fall short of his draft cost (ADP: 58.2)
Davante Adams is simply getting drafted entirely too early based on touchdowns recorded last season.
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 7, 2026 - PendingSteve KrebsFantasy Bust Calls
Rashee Rice to fall short of his draft cost (ADP: 37.3)
You're probably better off drafting Xavier Worthy at the end of your drafts, and leaving someone else choose to grab Rashee Rice inside the top 20 receivers.
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 7, 2026 - PendingSteve KrebsFantasy Bust Calls
Drake London to fall short of his draft cost (ADP: 23.4)
London is being drafted amongst the top-10 receivers and a top-25 player overall. It's very difficult to envision the talented receiver returning that type of production with all that's surrounding the starting quarterback.
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 7, 2026 - PendingSteve KrebsFantasy Bust Calls
DJ Moore to fall short of his draft cost (ADP: 51.8)
it stands to reason that being the 22nd wide receiver that is going off the board is a bit too high given the role, and target share/usage
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 7, 2026 - PendingSteve KrebsFantasy Bust Calls
Malik Nabers to fall short of his draft cost (ADP: 27)
Malik Nabers is being drafted as the 11th wide receiver off the board, as well as a top-30 pick... We will be boring and take the floor from these players rather than the upside and "could be" of Nabers.
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 7, 2026 Jake Ferguson to fall short of his draft cost (fringe TE1)
Ferguson is facing a major uphill battle to rise above TD-or-bust TE territory. He's being overvalued as a fringe TE1
Mark Andrews to fall short of his draft cost (top-15 consensus tight end)
But I'm afraid his decline will continue after he has failed to command the same type of volume over the last two seasons... Just say no.
Rashee Rice to fall short of his draft cost (ADP of WR12 (30th overall))
Now, Rice has an ADP of WR12 (30th overall). I'm fleeing at that price.
- PendingRyan ConwayFantasy Bust Calls
Jayden Daniels to fall short of his draft cost (redraft superflex Sleeper ADP of 19.1 and is going off the board as the QB5)
With that out of the way, I'm selling Daniels in 2025... Should he suffer through another injury-shortened season or see his production dip, it would represent an all-time low for his value... it may be wise to get out while Daniels’ value is still sky-high.
Jayden DanielsWashington Commanders
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 6, 2026 - PendingFantasyProsFantasy Bust Calls
Quinshon Judkins to fall short of his draft cost (RB2 draft price)
Judkins should receive plenty of touches, but Cleveland's limitations could suppress his efficiency and touchdown production, making him a potential volume trap.
Quinshon JudkinsCleveland Browns
Waiting on the season to settle this.said Sep 5, 2026 Jacory Croskey-Merritt to fall short of his draft cost (currently being selected as an RB3 in most formats)
Jacory Croskey-Merritt is currently being selected as an RB3 in most formats... My issue with Croskey-Merritt is his distinct lack of upside
By sport
NFL — fantasy bust calls (38 graded)
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