NFL fantasy bust calls

Garrett Wilson to fall short of his draft cost (a Top 50 option)

Garrett Wilson being drafted as a Top 50 option is way too rich for my blood.

Garrett WilsonNew York Jets

Jeremiyah Love to fall short of his draft cost (26th overall, RB13)

I said it before his high ankle sprain, and I'll say it again now: Jeremiyah Love is far too expensive (26th overall, RB13).

Jeremiyah LoveArizona Cardinals

Rashee Rice to fall short of his draft cost (WR12, 30th overall)

Rashee Rice is in the no-fly zone for me at WR12, 30th overall... I'm completely out on Rice.

Rashee RiceKansas City Chiefs

Malik Nabers to fall short of his draft cost (WR13)

I'm avoiding Malik Nabers at his current draft cost... Nabers is going off the board as WR13

Malik NabersNew York Giants

Ladd McConkey to fall short of his draft cost (the WR19 on average)

His 11.3 fantasy points per game were good for only WR34, and yet he's being drafted as the WR19 on average... Instead of clicking on McConkey in the middle of Round 4, I'd rather take Jaylen Waddle, David Montgomery, Tyler Warren, or D'Andre Swift.

Ladd McConkeyLos Angeles Chargers

Bucky Irving to fall short of his draft cost (46 overall)

I'm out on Bucky Irving at 46 overall, and Kenneth Gainwell is a much bigger part of that than I think the market is accounting for.

Bucky IrvingTampa Bay Buccaneers

Tee Higgins to fall short of his draft cost (WR16, 38th overall)

Higgins' ADP is lower this year than it has been in the past (WR16, 38th overall), but I'd still prefer Egbuka, McConkey, McMillan, and Waddle over him.

Tee HigginsCincinnati Bengals

Christian McCaffrey to fall short of his draft cost (at six)

I'm not taking Christian McCaffrey at six. No. I'm not taking him at five.

Christian McCaffrey

Harold Fannin Jr. to fall short of his draft cost (tight end eight)

Pretty out on Fannin. Given where he's going... Sleepers got him down at tight end eight

Harold Fannin Jr.Cleveland Browns

Alec Pierce to fall short of his draft cost (at ADP)

I'm not taking Alec Pierce under almost any circumstances at at ADP. Not in a redraft league, certainly.

Alec PierceIndianapolis Colts

Chuba Hubbard to fall short of his draft cost (RB32)

I'll be avoiding Hubbard in drafts this year, especially with him also dealing with a hamstring injury in camp now.

Chuba HubbardCarolina Panthers

Jordyn Tyson to fall short of his draft cost (WR40)

This automatically makes him a player that I'm avoiding unless he slips past his ADP.

Jordyn TysonNew Orleans Saints

Alec Pierce to fall short of his draft cost (WR37)

With the addition of Keenan Allen and Pierce's continued health struggles, I'm avoiding him in drafts this year.

Alec PierceIndianapolis Colts

Justin Herbert to fall short of his draft cost (QB8)

they want a discount Herbert’s QB8 cost does not offer

Justin HerbertLos Angeles Chargers

Caleb Williams to fall short of his draft cost (QB7)

At a QB7 price, you are paying for the ceiling of the 2025 finish. The projections think you will get something closer to a mid-pack QB1.

Caleb WilliamsChicago Bears

Tetairoa McMillan to fall short of his draft cost (WR17)

Now, he’s being drafted as the WR17. While his ADP is lower than his finish last season, a few things lead me to believe he’s perhaps closer to WR20.

Tetairoa McMillanCarolina Panthers

Courtland Sutton to fall short of his draft cost (WR33)

Further down the ADP list, Courtland Sutton is going as the WR33. Still, even in that spot, I don’t feel great about him.

Courtland SuttonDenver Broncos

Tyler Allgeier to fall short of his draft cost (ADP: 140 (RB44))

Tyler Allgeier (RB – ARI) | ADP: 140 (RB44) ... Fantrax drafters are effectively assuming that increased workload and a goal-line role are confirmed. They aren’t yet.

Tyler AllgeierArizona Cardinals

Brian Thomas Jr. to fall short of his draft cost (ADP: 66 (WR31))

Brian Thomas Jr. (WR – JAX) | ADP: 66 (WR31) ... that projection looks much more attractive at the consensus price than when Fantrax makes him an earlier selection.

Brian Thomas Jr.Jacksonville Jaguars

Kyler Murray to fall short of his draft cost (ADP: 118 (QB18))

Kyler Murray (QB – MIN) | ADP: 118 (QB18) ... taking him around 140th overall is far more appealing than spending a pick around 118 overall.

Kyler MurrayMinnesota Vikings

Oronde Gadsden II to fall short of his draft cost (ADP: 148 (TE16))

Oronde Gadsden II (TE – LAC) | ADP: 148 (TE16) ... the better approach is to wait and see rather than get tantalized by the potential.

Oronde Gadsden IILos Angeles Chargers

Brenton Strange to fall short of his draft cost (TE19)

At TE19, Strange doesn't cost a ton and can be picked near the end of your draft. Still, even if he does reach another level in his fourth NFL season, there are too many mouths to feed for him to fully flourish in fantasy.

Brenton StrangeJacksonville Jaguars

Mark Andrews to fall short of his draft cost (Real-Time ADP of TE14)

And yet, here we are in August, and Andrews has a Real-Time ADP of TE14. ... I'm just not seeing any advantage to clicking on Andrews.

Mark AndrewsBaltimore Ravens

Harold Fannin Jr. to fall short of his draft cost (TE7)

Of all the tight ends going inside the top 10 this year, I like Harold Fannin Jr. the least. ... Add it all up, and I'm not ecstatic about taking Fannin at his current TE7 price tag. That feels like his ceiling this season

Harold Fannin Jr.Cleveland Browns