Jamie Erdahl· Sep 4, 2025
Erdahl picked a Broncos-Vikings Super Bowl, with Denver as AFC champion and Minnesota winning the NFC North, the NFC, and the Super Bowl for the first time in franchise history.
“I think the Broncos and the Vikings will be playing in the Super Bowl.”
said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
4 checkable claims — 2 conference champions, 1 division winner and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 4 have settled, averaging 12.5 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
4 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Conference ChampionsMinnesota VikingsSep 4, 2025
Minnesota Vikings to reach the Super Bowl
“I have the Vikings winning the NFC North and the NFC”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- MIN
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- champions:
- NE,SEA
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- last season's conference champions
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- reached the Super Bowl:
- no
- lost the conference final:
- no
- Conference ChampionsDenver BroncosSep 4, 2025
Denver Broncos to reach the Super Bowl
“you will see the Denver Broncos as your AFC champions”
Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 0+100 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 100
- they picked:
- DEN
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 50
- baseline:
- 0
- champions:
- NE,SEA
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- last season's conference champions
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- reached the Super Bowl:
- no
- lost the conference final:
- yes
- Division WinnersMinnesota VikingsSep 4, 2025
Minnesota Vikings to win the division
“I have the Vikings winning the NFC North and the NFC”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- method:
- division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
- they picked:
- MIN
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- DET
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- last season's winner of the same division
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- won the division:
- no
- Super Bowl PicksMinnesota VikingsSep 4, 2025
Minnesota Vikings to win the Super Bowl
“the Minnesota Vikings, in their fifth Super Bowl appearance, will finally for the first time in the history of the organization win a Lombardy”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- MIN
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- champion:
- SEA
- runner up:
- NE
- the naive pick:
- PHI
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 18
What others said about the same people
- Greg JenningsGame Outcome Picks · Denver BroncosHit · 100Jennings put the Cardinals up as his upset alert over Seattle, backed the Texans over Cincinnati and the Bears over Minnesota with chips, put two chips on Denver beating Jacksonville, and wrote a headline of the Packers beating the Jets; he also called the Bengals a playoff team and the Chiefs winners over Indianapolis.
- Lance SandersonScore Predictions · Denver BroncosHit · 88Sanderson thinks Denver cleans up its play on both sides of the ball and wins a close one.
- Bob MorrisScore Predictions · Denver BroncosHit · 90Morris expects cleaner tackling and offensive rhythm to give Denver a close win.
- Zack KelbermanScore Predictions · Denver BroncosHit · 86Kelberman picks a narrow Broncos home win, with Bo Nix doing just enough in the clutch.
- Keith CummingsScore Predictions · Denver BroncosHit · 90Cummings predicts Denver cleans things up and wins in overtime on a Wil Lutz field goal.
- Carl DumlerScore Predictions · Denver BroncosHit · 90Dumler sees the Broncos bouncing back behind the run game and the home crowd, winning on a late field goal.
More conference champions
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Chris BrockmanConference Champions · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Brockman argues the Seahawks are at the start of a dynasty, predicting they will win multiple Super Bowls over the next five years, and that they are set up to return to the Super Bowl the following season in Los Angeles.
- Damonza ByrdConference Champions · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100The co-host picks the Seahawks to beat the Rams in the NFC Championship game, and says he believes New England will win in Denver even though he is taking the Broncos with the points.
- Nick WrightConference Champions · New England PatriotsHit · 100The host picks the Rams to beat the Seahawks in the NFC Championship game and believes the winner of that game wins the Super Bowl, i.e. that this is the Rams' year; he also picks New England to win in Denver despite taking the Broncos with the points, and says Stafford is winning MVP. He calls Sean McVay the second-best coach in the NFL.
- AJ HawkConference Champions · Los Angeles RamsClose · 50Hawk picked the Patriots to win in Denver despite liking Stidham and the Broncos defense, and in the NFC he stuck with the Rams, saying Stafford gets to the Super Bowl.
- Derek MurphyConference Champions · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Bone said after watching film that Seattle will handle the Rams in the NFC Championship Game, and that the Seahawks are going to the Super Bowl.
- Connor "Boston Connor" CampbellConference Champions · New England PatriotsHit · 100Connor expects a tight first half in Denver before New England pulls away in the second half and advances to the Super Bowl.