LaVar Arrington · Sep 4, 2025

Arrington gave AFC division finishing orders without records: Bengals over Baltimore, Pittsburgh and Cleveland; Buffalo winning the East by a long shot with Miami second, the Jets third and New England last; Houston winning the South ahead of Jacksonville, Tennessee and Indianapolis; and the Chargers winning the West over Kansas City, Denver and Las Vegas.

“I got the Texans winning it... I think that the Chargers will be number one and Case will be number two.”

said on air or in an interview · 2 Pros and a Cup of Joe (podcast) · read the original →

8 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

Power Rankings Kansas City ChiefsSep 4, 2025
“I think that the Chargers will be number one and Case will be number two... Outside of the lonely number four Las Vegas Raiders”
Scored 75a naive guess scored 75+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
method:
spearman
season:
2025
accuracy:
75
baseline:
75
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
teams ranked:
3
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Power RankingsSep 4, 2025
“I have New England at the bottom, all the way at the bottom... the New York Jets won't be far off from them... the runner up are the Fins. Yeah, the Miami Dolphins. I got the mat number two, and that means that Buffalo is going to win the AFC East”
Scored 40a naive guess scored 40+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
method:
spearman
season:
2025
accuracy:
40
baseline:
40
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
teams ranked:
4
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Power RankingsSep 4, 2025
“I got the Texans winning it... I put the Jags at too... But I got Tennessee at three and I got Indy at four.”
Scored 80a naive guess scored 70+20 skill
How this was scored
skill:
20
method:
spearman
season:
2025
accuracy:
80
baseline:
70
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
teams ranked:
4
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Power RankingsSep 4, 2025
“I got them one, Baltimore two, Pittsburgh rounding it out at three. And yes, the Cleveland Brown's kicking the can at four”
Scored 60a naive guess scored 90-60 skill
How this was scored
skill:
-60
method:
spearman
season:
2025
accuracy:
60
baseline:
90
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
teams ranked:
4
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Division Winners Buffalo BillsSep 4, 2025
“that means that Buffalo is going to win the AFC East, and I think it will be by a long shot”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Division Winners Cincinnati BengalsSep 4, 2025
“I do have Cincinnati a top of the AFC North.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Division Winners Los Angeles ChargersSep 4, 2025
“I think that the Chargers will be number one and Case will be number two.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Division Winners Houston TexansSep 4, 2025
“So I got the Texans winning it.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?