Brendan Donahue · Apr 18, 2023

Donahue's most recent mock draft projected first-round selections for the 2023 NFL Draft, including Bryce Young No. 1 to Carolina, C.J. Stroud No. 2 to Houston, a Cardinals trade down to No. 11 and a Titans trade up to No. 3 for Anthony Richardson.

“Another mock draft expert, Brendan Donahue, predicts the Titans will trade up to No. 3 overall to select Anthony Richardson (QB, Florida)”

published in writing · Sharp Football Analysis · read the original (as archived Apr 21, 2023) → · live page

33 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

Mock Draft PicksApr 18, 2023
“Brendan Donahue, has the Texans predicted to draft C.J. Stroud (QB, Ohio State) with the second pick”
Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 98.64 against a shuffle’s 50+48.64 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2023
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
48.64
player:
C.J. Stroud
season:
2023
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
2
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
2
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
98.64
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 18, 2023
“Brendan Donahue, predicts the Titans will trade up to No. 3 overall to select Anthony Richardson (QB, Florida)”
Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 98.64 against a shuffle’s 50+48.64 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2023
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
48.64
player:
Anthony Richardson
season:
2023
zero at:
32
accuracy:
95.76
baseline:
50
actual pick:
4
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
95.76
predicted pick:
3
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
98.64
Think this is wrong?
Team Draft Slot CallsApr 18, 2023
“predicts the Titans will trade up to No. 3 overall to select Anthony Richardson”
Scored 70.71a naive guess scored 73.84-6.26 skill
How this was scored
team:
TEN
draft:
2023
naive:
they picked 18 the year before
skill:
-6.26
season:
2023
zero at:
32
accuracy:
70.71
baseline:
73.84
actual pick:
11
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
predicted pick:
3
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Team Draft Slot CallsApr 18, 2023
“has the Cardinals predicted to draft Tyree Wilson (EDGE, Texas Tech) after trading down to the No. 11 pick”
Scored 80.52a naive guess scored 11.97+137.11 skill
How this was scored
team:
ARI
draft:
2023
naive:
they picked 55 the year before
skill:
137.11
season:
2023
zero at:
32
accuracy:
80.52
baseline:
11.97
actual pick:
6
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
predicted pick:
11
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 18, 2023
“has the Cardinals predicted to draft Tyree Wilson (EDGE, Texas Tech) after trading down to the No. 11 pick according to his most recent mock draft.”
Scored 84.09 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 98.64 against a shuffle’s 50+48.64 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2023
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
48.64
player:
Tyree Wilson
season:
2023
zero at:
32
accuracy:
84.09
baseline:
50
actual pick:
7
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
84.09
predicted pick:
11
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
98.64
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 18, 2023
“has the Seahawks predicted to draft Will Anderson (EDGE, Alabama) with the fifth pick”
Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 98.64 against a shuffle’s 50+48.64 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2023
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
48.64
player:
Will Anderson Jr.
season:
2023
zero at:
32
accuracy:
91.7
baseline:
50
actual pick:
3
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
91.7
predicted pick:
5
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
98.64
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 18, 2023
“Jordan Addison (WR, Boston College) with the 20th pick according to his most recent mock draft.”
Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 98.64 against a shuffle’s 50+48.64 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2023
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
48.64
player:
Jordan Addison
season:
2023
zero at:
32
accuracy:
87.81
baseline:
50
actual pick:
23
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
87.81
predicted pick:
20
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
98.64
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 18, 2023
“has the Lions predicted to draft Devon Witherspoon (CB, Illinois) with the sixth pick”
Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 98.64 against a shuffle’s 50+48.64 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2023
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
48.64
player:
Devon Witherspoon
season:
2023
zero at:
32
accuracy:
95.76
baseline:
50
actual pick:
5
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
95.76
predicted pick:
6
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
98.64
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 18, 2023
“Hendon Hooker (QB, Tennessee) with the 18th pick according to his most recent mock draft.”
Scored 11.46 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 98.64 against a shuffle’s 50+48.64 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2023
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
48.64
player:
Hendon Hooker
season:
2023
zero at:
32
accuracy:
11.46
baseline:
50
actual pick:
68
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
11.46
predicted pick:
18
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
98.64
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 18, 2023
“Jaxon Smith-Njigba (WR, Ohio State) with the 12th pick according to his most recent mock draft.”
Scored 70.71 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 98.64 against a shuffle’s 50+48.64 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2023
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
48.64
player:
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
season:
2023
zero at:
32
accuracy:
70.71
baseline:
50
actual pick:
20
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
70.71
predicted pick:
12
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
98.64
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 18, 2023
“has the Eagles predicted to draft Jalen Carter (DL, Georgia) with the No. 10 pick”
Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 98.64 against a shuffle’s 50+48.64 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2023
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
48.64
player:
Jalen Carter
season:
2023
zero at:
32
accuracy:
95.76
baseline:
50
actual pick:
9
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
95.76
predicted pick:
10
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
98.64
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 18, 2023
“Brendan Donahue, also has the Panthers predicted to draft Bryce Young (QB, Alabama) with their 1st round pick according to his most recent mock draft.”
Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 98.64 against a shuffle’s 50+48.64 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2023
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
48.64
player:
Bryce Young
season:
2023
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
1
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
1
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
98.64
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 18, 2023
“also has the Falcons predicted to draft Nolan Smith (EDGE, Alabama) with their first-round pick according to his most recent mock draft.”
Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 98.64 against a shuffle’s 50+48.64 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2023
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
48.64
player:
Nolan Smith
season:
2023
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
30
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
first-round pick (picks 1–32)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
98.64
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 18, 2023
“Kalee Ringo (DB, Georgia) with the No. 30 pick according to his most recent mock draft.”
Scored 3.88 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 98.64 against a shuffle’s 50+48.64 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2023
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
48.64
player:
Kelee Ringo
season:
2023
zero at:
32
accuracy:
3.88
baseline:
50
actual pick:
105
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
3.88
predicted pick:
30
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
98.64
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 18, 2023
“has the Vikings predicted to draft Zay Flowers (WR, Boston College) with their first-round pick according to his most recent mock draft.”
Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 98.64 against a shuffle’s 50+48.64 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2023
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
48.64
player:
Zay Flowers
season:
2023
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
22
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
first-round pick (picks 1–32)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
98.64
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 18, 2023
“has the Patriots predicted to draft Darnell Wright (OT, Tennessee) with their first-round pick according to his most recent mock draft.”
Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 98.64 against a shuffle’s 50+48.64 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2023
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
48.64
player:
Darnell Wright
season:
2023
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
10
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
first-round pick (picks 1–32)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
98.64
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 18, 2023
“has the Sants predicted to draft Adetomiwa Adebawore (DL, Northwestern) with their first-round pick according to his most recent mock draft.”
Scored 3.41 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 98.64 against a shuffle’s 50+48.64 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2023
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
48.64
player:
Adetomiwa Adebawore
season:
2023
zero at:
32
accuracy:
3.41
baseline:
50
actual pick:
110
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
3.41
predicted pick:
first-round pick (picks 1–32)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
98.64
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 18, 2023
“has the Steelers predicted to draft Joey Porter Jr. (CB, Penn State) with their first-round pick according to his most recent mock draft.”
Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 98.64 against a shuffle’s 50+48.64 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2023
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
48.64
player:
Joey Porter Jr.
season:
2023
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
32
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
first-round pick (picks 1–32)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
98.64
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 18, 2023
“has the Jaguars predicted to draft Michael Mayer (TE, Notre Dame) with their 1st round pick according to his most recent mock draft.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 18, 2023
“has the Colts predicted to draft Will Levis (QB, Kentucky) with their 1st round pick according to his most recent mock draft.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
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Mock Draft PicksApr 18, 2023
“has the Cowboys predicted to draft Bijan Robinson (RB, Texas) with their 1st round pick according to his most recent mock draft.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
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Mock Draft PicksApr 18, 2023
“also has the Bears predicted to draft Paris Johnson Jr. with their 1st round pick according to his most recent mock draft.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 18, 2023
“also has the Ravens predicted to draft Deonte Banks (CB, Maryland) with their 1st round pick according to his most recent mock draft.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
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Mock Draft PicksApr 18, 2023
“has the Bengals predicted to draft Brian Branch (DB, Alabama) with their 1st round pick according to his most recent mock draft.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
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Mock Draft PicksApr 18, 2023
“has the Packers predicted to draft Lukas Van Ness (EDGE, Iowa) with their 1st round pick according to his most recent mock draft.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
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Mock Draft PicksApr 18, 2023
“has the Giants predicted to draft Quentin Johnston (WR, TCU) with their 1st round pick according to his most recent mock draft.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
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Mock Draft PicksApr 18, 2023
“has the Raiders selecting Christian Gonzalez (CB, Oregon) with their 1st round pick according to his most recent mock draft.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
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Mock Draft PicksApr 18, 2023
“has the Bills predicted to draft Bryan Bresee (DL, Clemson) with their 1st round pick according to his most recent mock draft.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
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Mock Draft PicksApr 18, 2023
“has the Chiefs predicted to draft Anton Harrison (OT, Oklahoma) with their 1st round pick according to his most recent mock draft.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
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Mock Draft PicksApr 18, 2023
“also has the Commanders predicted to draft Broderick Jones (OT, Georgia) with their 1st round pick according to his most recent mock draft.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
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Mock Draft PicksApr 18, 2023
“has the Buccaneers predicted to draft Myles Murphy (EDGE, Clemson) with their 1st round pick according to his most recent mock draft.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
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Mock Draft PicksApr 18, 2023
“has the Jets predicted to draft Peter Skoronski (OL, Northwestern) with their 1st round pick according to his most recent mock draft.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
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Mock Draft PicksApr 18, 2023
“has the Chargers predicted to draft Dalton Kincaid (TE, Utah) with their 1st round pick according to his most recent mock draft.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?