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Gregg Rosenthal· Sep 25, 2026

Outside of his spread picks, Rosenthal referenced his season-long pick of the Texans to win the Super Bowl and said he expects Houston to beat the Colts on Sunday.

“The next time you see Nick Shook and I, he will be recapping that big Texans win against the Colts.”

said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast) · read the original →

2 checkable claims — 1 game outcome pick and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

1 of 2 have settled so far, averaging 0 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

The game in this take

2 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Houston Texans to beat Colts

    “The next time you see Nick Shook and I, he will be recapping that big Texans win against the Colts. I'm sorry, Colts.”

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-189 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    IND
    score:
    17-19
    skill:
    -189
    they picked:
    HOU
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    IND
    difficulty:
    1.89
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    16

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  • Houston Texans to win the Super Bowl

    “Between my Texans Super Bowl pick and my son rooting for the Texans, it's mostly my son.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

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