Mel Kiper· Feb 25, 2025
As relayed by Dan Patrick, Kiper's mock draft has the Titans taking Abdul Carter, Browns taking Cam Ward, Giants taking Travis Hunter, Patriots taking Will Campbell, Jaguars taking Mason Graham, Raiders taking Ashton Jeanty, Jets taking Shedeur Sanders, and Saints taking Tyler Warren.
“The Titans Abdull Carter, Penn State linebacker or edge. The Browns take cam Ward, Giants take Travis Hunter”
said on air or in an interview · The Dan Patrick Show (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
8 checkable claims — 8 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 16 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 8 have settled, averaging 83 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Their call against what happened
overall pick3They said
2What happened
Their call against what actually happened.
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Who this take is about
8 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Mock Draft PicksTravis HunterNew York GiantsFeb 25, 2025
Travis Hunter to be picked at number 3
“Giants take Travis Hunter”
Hit · 96Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 95.24 against a shuffle’s 50+45.24 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 45.24
- player:
- Travis Hunter
- season:
- 2024
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 95.76
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 2
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 95.76
- predicted pick:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 95.24
- Mock Draft PicksCam WardCleveland BrownsFeb 25, 2025
Cam Ward to be picked at number 2
“The Browns take cam Ward”
Hit · 96Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 95.24 against a shuffle’s 50+45.24 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 45.24
- player:
- Cam Ward
- season:
- 2024
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 95.76
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 95.76
- predicted pick:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 95.24
- Mock Draft PicksAbdul CarterTennessee TitansFeb 25, 2025
Abdul Carter to be picked at number 1
“The Titans Abdull Carter, Penn State linebacker or edge.”
Hit · 92Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 95.24 against a shuffle’s 50+45.24 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 45.24
- player:
- Abdul Carter
- season:
- 2024
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 91.7
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 3
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 91.7
- predicted pick:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 95.24
- Mock Draft PicksAshton JeantyLas Vegas RaidersFeb 25, 2025
Ashton Jeanty to be picked at number 6
“The Raiders get Ashton Genty”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 95.24 against a shuffle’s 50+45.24 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 45.24
- player:
- Ashton Jeanty
- season:
- 2024
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 6
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- 6
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 95.24
- Mock Draft PicksTyler WarrenNew Orleans SaintsFeb 25, 2025
Tyler Warren to be picked at number 9
“Saints take Tyler Warren, the great tight end out of Penn State.”
Hit · 81Scored 80.52 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 95.24 against a shuffle’s 50+45.24 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 45.24
- player:
- Tyler Warren
- season:
- 2024
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 80.52
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 14
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 80.52
- predicted pick:
- 9
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 95.24
- Mock Draft PicksShedeur SandersNew York JetsFeb 25, 2025
Shedeur Sanders to be picked at number 7
“The Jets take Shador Sanders.”
Miss · 0Scored 0.26 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 95.24 against a shuffle’s 50+45.24 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 45.24
- player:
- Shedeur Sanders
- season:
- 2024
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 0.26
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 144
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0.26
- predicted pick:
- 7
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 95.24
Will Campbell to be picked at number 4
“Patriots take Will Campbell offensive tackle”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 95.24 against a shuffle’s 50+45.24 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 45.24
- player:
- Will Campbell
- season:
- 2024
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 4
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- 4
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 95.24
- Mock Draft PicksMason GrahamJacksonville JaguarsFeb 25, 2025
Mason Graham to be picked at number 5
“The Bags take Mason Graham defensive tackle out of Michigan.”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 95.24 against a shuffle’s 50+45.24 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 45.24
- player:
- Mason Graham
- season:
- 2024
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 5
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- 5
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 95.24
What others said about the same people
- John ShipleyRoster Spot Calls · Jalen McLeodMiss · 0Shipley projects a full 16-player (plus one international/exemption spot) Jaguars practice squad for 2026, naming specific players at each position he expects to land there.
- Tyler SullivanDepth Chart Calls · Deshaun WatsonHit · 100An unsigned CBS Sports preseason review grading all 32 teams, which along the way stakes out a number of depth-chart calls for Week 1 and beyond — including Deshaun Watson opening as Cleveland's starter, Fernando Mendoza taking over as Las Vegas' QB1 by season's end, and Minnesota's Murray-Wentz-McCarthy quarterback order.
- Ryan WilsonDepth Chart Calls · Deshaun WatsonHit · 100A CBS Sports piece states Deshaun Watson has won Cleveland's starting quarterback job for Week 1 with Shedeur Sanders next in line, while arguing Watson will not play like even an average NFL quarterback and that none of the Browns' current young passers should stop them from drafting a first-round quarterback next April.
- Rafael ZamoranoDepth Chart Calls · Deshaun WatsonHit · 100Zamorano argues the Browns do not have a franchise quarterback and that it's unlikely Watson or Sanders is their long-term answer.
- John BreechDepth Chart Calls · Deshaun WatsonHit · 100The unsigned newsletter author says Deshaun Watson will start Week 1 at Jacksonville, notes he voted for Jaxson Dart as his breakout QB rather than Caleb Williams, and says newly signed Daniel Carlson is the favorite to win the Saints' kicking job.
- Mark ChichesterDepth Chart Calls · Deshaun WatsonHit · 100Unsigned PFF piece reporting/asserting that Deshaun Watson will be Cleveland's Week 1 starting quarterback against Jacksonville, with Shedeur Sanders behind him on the depth chart.
More mock draft picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Lance ZierleinMock Draft Picks · Jeremiyah LoveHit · 100Zierlein laid out his final mock draft: Jeremiah Love at No. 3 to Arizona, Sonny Styles at No. 4 to Robert Saleh's team, and Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5. He also called Styles the only first-round linebacker in the class and said Ty Simpson is a lock to be a first-round pick, most likely to Arizona.
- Gregg RosenthalMock Draft Picks · K.C. ConcepcionClose · 68Rosenthal disagrees most with Casey Concepcion being left out of the first round, arguing he could go as high as the top 15 and certainly won't last past receiver-needy teams in the late twenties.
- Nick ShookMock Draft Picks · Dillon ThienemanClose · 57Shook walks through his full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three.
- Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks · Keyron CrawfordHit · 81In discussing teams without first-round picks, Jeremiah projected specific Day 2 picks: Clemson WR Antonio Williams to the Falcons at 48, Texas Tech LB Jacob Rodriguez to the Colts in the second round, Oklahoma edge R Mason Thomas to the Packers at 52, and Auburn edge Keiroon Crawford to the Broncos at 62. He also expects Riley Leonard to open as the Colts' starting QB and Travis Hunter to play cornerback full time in Jacksonville.
- Bucky BrooksMock Draft Picks · Carnell TateHit · 81In a mock draft covering the first 14 picks, Brooks made the odd-numbered selections: Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders at No. 1, a Miami offensive lineman to Arizona at No. 3, Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5, Ohio State's Arvell Reese to Washington at No. 7, Carnell Tate to Kansas City at No. 9, tight end Kenyon Sadiq to Miami at No. 11, and Spencer Fano to the Rams at No. 13.
- Jeff CavanaughMock Draft Picks · Lorenzo StylesMiss · 1Streaming from the NFL Combine, Jeff pegged safety Dylan Thienemann's draft range at roughly picks 20-35, said LSU safety AJ Halsey would cost a second- or third-round pick, and insisted Sonny Styles' brother would not be a top-50 selection despite a fast 40.