Cynthia Frelund· Nov 14, 2025
Frielan picked the Ravens to cover eight at Cleveland, the Bears to win outright in Minnesota, and the Texans to cover seven against Tennessee; she also has Buffalo beating Tampa Bay by four and the Dolphins beating Washington.
“I think Baltimore is playing that well... it's Baltimore over Cleveland.”
said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
6 checkable claims — 6 game outcome picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 6 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 6 have settled, averaging 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
6 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Game Outcome PicksPittsburgh SteelersNov 14, 2025
Pittsburgh Steelers to beat Bengals
“So it's not one that I feel super strongly about, except that Pittsburgh will win this game. I feel good about that.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- PIT
- score:
- 12-34
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- PIT
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- PIT
- difficulty:
- 1.44
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 8
- Game Outcome PicksChicago BearsNov 14, 2025
Chicago Bears to beat Minnesota
“I think Chicago they're underdogs in Minnesota. The number is three... I have them winning... So I think the Bears win this one.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+144 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- CHI
- score:
- 19-17
- skill:
- 144
- they picked:
- CHI
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- MIN
- difficulty:
- 1.44
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 8
- Game Outcome PicksBaltimore RavensNov 14, 2025
Baltimore Ravens to beat Cleveland
“So I know that eight points is a lot, but I don't care... it's Baltimore over Cleveland. In Cleveland... I think the Ravens beat that.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+144 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- BAL
- score:
- 23-16
- skill:
- 144
- they picked:
- BAL
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- CLE
- difficulty:
- 1.44
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 8
- Game Outcome PicksHouston TexansNov 14, 2025
Houston Texans to beat Tennessee
“Seven points Houston over Tennessee.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+144 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- HOU
- score:
- 16-13
- skill:
- 144
- they picked:
- HOU
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- TEN
- difficulty:
- 1.44
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 8
- Game Outcome PicksMiami DolphinsNov 14, 2025
Miami Dolphins to beat Washington
“I do think the Dolphins win. I do agree with you that their defense is better”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- MIA
- score:
- 13-16
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- MIA
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- MIA
- difficulty:
- 1.44
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 8
- Game Outcome PicksBuffalo BillsNov 14, 2025
Buffalo Bills to beat Tampa Bay
“So that's why I have Buffalo winning, but I think Tampa Bay could easily keep it very close... I have a four point game”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- BUF
- score:
- 32-44
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- BUF
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive pick:
- BUF
- difficulty:
- 1.44
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 8
What others said about the same people
- Trevor RipleyScore Predictions · Chicago BearsMiss · 38Ripley picks the Bears to beat the Vikings at Soldier Field in Week 2, 30-19, arguing Minnesota's offense is hobbled by injuries while Chicago's offense edges an aggressive but star-thin Vikings defense.
- Colin CowherdGame Outcome Picks · Houston TexansMiss · 0Cowherd repeats his claim that Caleb Williams will be viewed as a top four or five quarterback by the end of the season, restates his preseason pick of the Ravens to win their division, and expects a angry Houston defense to beat Cincinnati on Sunday.
- Chris BroussardGame Outcome Picks · Chicago BearsMiss · 0Brew stood by the Lions as division winners and playoff team, picked the Texans over Cincinnati, the Bears over Minnesota, the Patriots to beat Pittsburgh with a solid Drake Maye game, flagged Jacksonville over Denver as his upset alert, and said he still feels good about the Ravens winning the AFC.
- Greg JenningsGame Outcome Picks · Houston TexansMiss · 0Jennings put the Cardinals up as his upset alert over Seattle, backed the Texans over Cincinnati and the Bears over Minnesota with chips, put two chips on Denver beating Jacksonville, and wrote a headline of the Packers beating the Jets; he also called the Bengals a playoff team and the Chiefs winners over Indianapolis.
- Danny ParkinsGame Outcome Picks · Chicago BearsMiss · 0Parkins picked the Giants to beat the Rams outright, backed Jacksonville over Denver, Cincinnati over Houston and Chicago over Minnesota in the chips segment, endorsed Buffalo as the AFC's Super Bowl representative, and predicted Deshaun Watson has started his last NFL game.
- Nick WrightGame Outcome Picks · Houston TexansMiss · 0Wright stuck by his preseason call of a 12-5 Bills team that wins its division, picked the Jaguars to beat Denver outright, leaned Texans over Cincinnati, still has Atlanta as his deep sleeper, counts New England among his 14 playoff teams, and recalled pegging Washington for a 5-12 or 6-11 year with a bottom-six defense.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Michael HanichGame Outcome Picks · Seattle SeahawksHit · 100Hanich argues the Week 2 road game at Arizona is not a true trap game, citing Seattle's long winning streak in the series, Mike Macdonald's preparation and injuries in the Cardinals' secondary, and rates his confidence in the Seahawks at 7. He also suggests safety Nick Emmanwori may miss a second straight game.
- Seth WalderGame Outcome Picks · Carolina PanthersHit · 100Picks the Panthers to beat the Falcons in Atlanta.
- Eric MoodyGame Outcome Picks · Carolina PanthersHit · 100Picks the Panthers to beat the Falcons in Atlanta.
- Pamela MaldonadoGame Outcome Picks · Carolina PanthersHit · 100Picks the Panthers to beat the Falcons in Atlanta.
- John MiddlekauffGame Outcome Picks · Philadelphia EaglesHit · 100In a Week 2 preview, Middlekauff argued Matt LaFleur is under enormous pressure in Green Bay, predicted blowout wins for the 49ers over Miami and the Eagles over Tennessee, and offered season win-total views on the Saints, Buccaneers, Texans and Jaguars while backing Dallas to win the NFC East.
- Nick WrightGame Outcome Picks · Carolina PanthersHit · 100Amid a slate of against-the-spread picks, Wright makes a few outright calls: Jacksonville beats Denver straight up, Carolina wins at Atlanta, and he reiterates that he picked Denver to make the playoffs despite his concerns after their Week 1 loss. He also expects Ladd McConkie to sit out the Chargers' game.