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Tom Pelissero· Apr 22, 2025

Pellisero expects Cam Ward to go first overall to Tennessee and Travis Hunter second to Cleveland, and says the league consensus is that the third tier of quarterbacks — Quinn Ewers, Kyle McCord, Dillon Gabriel, Riley Leonard and Will Howard — will all be drafted between the third and fifth rounds.

We presume the cam Or goes number one to Tennessee. We think that Travis Hunter goes two to Cleveland.

said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast) · read the original →

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

7 checkable claims — 7 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 9 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

2 of 7 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
2They said
2What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

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Who this take is about

7 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Travis Hunter to be picked at number 2

    We think that Travis Hunter goes two to Cleveland.

    Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 100 against a shuffle’s 50+50 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    50
    player:
    Travis Hunter
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    2
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    2
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    100

    Think this is wrong?

  • Cam Ward to be picked at number 1

    We presume the cam Or goes number one to Tennessee.

    Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 100 against a shuffle’s 50+50 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    50
    player:
    Cam Ward
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    1
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    100

    Think this is wrong?

  • Kyle McCord to be picked “somewhere between the third and fifth rounds”

    It's Kyle mccorda played at Ohio State and then led the nation and pass at Syracuse... all those guys will go somewhere between the third and fifth rounds.

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Dillon Gabriel to be picked “somewhere between the third and fifth rounds”

    It's Dylan Gabriel from Oregon... all those guys will go somewhere between the third and fifth rounds.

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Quinn Ewers to be picked “somewhere between the third and fifth rounds”

    It's Quinn yours with the two college football playoffs at Texas... I believe, based on my conversations around the league, all those guys will go somewhere between the third and fifth rounds.

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Will Howard to be picked “somewhere between the third and fifth rounds”

    Will Howard from Ohio State. I believe, based on my conversations around the league, all those guys will go somewhere between the third and fifth rounds.

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Riley Leonard to be picked “somewhere between the third and fifth rounds”

    Riley Leonard from Notre Dame, and Will Howard from Ohio State. I believe... all those guys will go somewhere between the third and fifth rounds.

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

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