Jonas Knox · Sep 4, 2025

Knox picked division orders in the AFC: Bills over Patriots, Dolphins, Jets in the East; Bengals over Ravens, Steelers, Browns in the North; Texans over Jaguars, Colts, Titans in the South; and Chargers over Chiefs, Broncos, Raiders in the West.

“I've got the Chargers winning the AFC West, followed by the Kansas City Chiefs, the Broncos, and the Raiders.”

said on air or in an interview · 2 Pros and a Cup of Joe (podcast) · read the original →

8 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

Power RankingsSep 4, 2025
“I've got the Houston Texans finishing one, follow by the Jaguars, the Colts, and the Titans.”
Scored 90a naive guess scored 70+40 skill
How this was scored
skill:
40
method:
spearman
season:
2025
accuracy:
90
baseline:
70
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
teams ranked:
4
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Power RankingsSep 4, 2025
“I've got the Baltimore Ravens finishing second, and then I've got Pittsburgh finishing third, followed by the Cleveland Browns”
Scored 60a naive guess scored 90-60 skill
How this was scored
skill:
-60
method:
spearman
season:
2025
accuracy:
60
baseline:
90
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
teams ranked:
4
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Power RankingsSep 4, 2025
“I've got the Chargers winning the AFC West, followed by the Kansas City Chiefs, the Broncos, and the Raiders.”
Scored 70a naive guess scored 60+20 skill
How this was scored
skill:
20
method:
spearman
season:
2025
accuracy:
70
baseline:
60
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
teams ranked:
4
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Power RankingsSep 4, 2025
“I've got the Patriots finishing second in that division, followed by the Dolphins and the Jets bringing up the rear.”
Scored 90a naive guess scored 40+100 skill
How this was scored
skill:
100
method:
spearman
season:
2025
accuracy:
90
baseline:
40
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
teams ranked:
4
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Division Winners Los Angeles ChargersSep 4, 2025
“But I've got the Chargers winning the AFC West, followed by the Kansas City Chiefs, the Broncos, and the Raiders.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Division Winners Cincinnati BengalsSep 4, 2025
“In the AFC North, I've got the Bengals winning the division.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Division Winners Houston TexansSep 4, 2025
“Over in the AFC South, Lebar's favorite division, I've got the Houston Texans finishing one”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?
Division Winners Buffalo BillsSep 4, 2025
“In the AFC East, I've got the Buffalo Bills winning the division.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?