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Logan Lazarczyk· Sep 12, 2026

Lazarczyk argues the Raiders' Week 1 home opener against a gutted, tanking Dolphins team should be an easy win, saying Las Vegas has no excuse to lose.

All in all, the Raiders have no excuse to lose this game on Sunday.

published in writing · Sports Illustrated · read the original →

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 100 out of 100, against 100 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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The game in this take

1 checkable claim in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Las Vegas Raiders to win

    This Should Be a Cakewalk for Las Vegas ... All in all, the Raiders have no excuse to lose this game on Sunday.

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    LV
    score:
    13-27
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    LV
    season:
    2026
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    LV
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18

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