Shannon Sharpe· Oct 10, 2025
Sharpe argued that through five weeks of the 2025 season Baker Mayfield has been the best-playing quarterback in the league, insisting no six quarterbacks are playing the position better than he is and that he belongs in the top five if not first.
“There are not seven six quarterbacks playing the quarterback position better than Baker Mayfield.”
said on air or in an interview · Nightcap (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
2 checkable claims — 1 game outcome pick and 1 positional finishe — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 2 have settled, averaging 62.5 out of 100, against 20.8 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Their call against what happened
positional finish1They said
10What happened
Their call against what actually happened.
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Who this take is about
2 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Positional FinishesBaker MayfieldOct 10, 2025
Baker Mayfield to finish top 1 at his position, by passing yards
“I'm not so sure that Baker Mayfield shouldn't be one... There are not six quarterbacks playing better than Baker Mayfield... they said, the first five weeks of this season, Baker Mayfield played better. Than everybody, and he has.”
Miss · 25Scored 25a naive guess scored 41.67-28.67 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- -28.67
- player:
- Baker Mayfield
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 25
- baseline:
- 41.67
- position:
- QB
- ranked by:
- passing yards
- difficulty:
- 1.72
- the naive guess:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 3
- actual finish:
- 10
- weeks left when called:
- 13
- predicted finish:
- 1
- Game Outcome PicksDenver BroncosOct 10, 2025
Denver Broncos to beat Jets
“have fun While you're over there Washington, Broncos beat up on them Jets.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+172 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- DEN
- score:
- 13-11
- skill:
- 172
- they picked:
- DEN
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- the naive pick:
- NYJ
- difficulty:
- 1.72
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 13
What others said about the same people
- Joel CorryTrade and Signing Calls · Baker MayfieldMiss · 0The unsigned CBS Sports analysis lays out the contract it believes Tampa Bay will have to give Mayfield at minimum: a two-year extension averaging $50 million per year with $110 million in guarantees and a no-trade clause.
- Jason McIntyreTrade and Signing Calls · Baker MayfieldMiss · 0Filling in for Colin Cowherd, McIntyre argued the 49ers' window is closed amid a brutal injury list and record travel, floated a Bijan Robinson trade to the Bears, predicted the Lions can win the NFC North, doubted Atlanta is even a playoff team, said Baker Mayfield's Tampa run ends after this season, and delivered a top-10 quarterback ranking.
- Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks · Keyron CrawfordHit · 81In discussing teams without first-round picks, Jeremiah projected specific Day 2 picks: Clemson WR Antonio Williams to the Falcons at 48, Texas Tech LB Jacob Rodriguez to the Colts in the second round, Oklahoma edge R Mason Thomas to the Packers at 52, and Auburn edge Keiroon Crawford to the Broncos at 62. He also expects Riley Leonard to open as the Colts' starting QB and Travis Hunter to play cornerback full time in Jacksonville.
- Scott BogmanMock Draft Picks · Romello HeightMiss · 18He gave David Bailey to Tennessee at 4, Sonny Styles to Washington at 7, Caleb Downs to Cincinnati at 10, Carnell Tate to the Rams at 13, Denzel Boston to the Jets at 16, Kayden McDonald to Carolina at 19, Vega Ioane to the Chargers at 22, Peter Woods to Chicago at 25, Emmanuel Pregnon to Houston at 28 and Romello Height to Denver at 31, and insisted both Bailey and Downs are top-10 locks.
- Colin CowherdTrade and Signing Calls · Mark AndrewsMiss · 0Cowherd made several NBA playoff predictions and NFL draft-related calls, including that Travis Hunter could be a top-four cornerback as a rookie, that Colston Loveland could be a Philadelphia target, and that the Raiders should/would take Ashton Jeanty at No. 6.
- Kyle CrabbsMock Draft Picks · Jonas SankerMiss · 28Crabbs projects all seven rounds of the 2025 NFL Draft, starting with Cam Ward going No. 1 overall to Tennessee, Travis Hunter second to Cleveland and Abdul Carter third to the Giants.
More game outcome picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Nick WrightGame Outcome Picks · Buffalo BillsHit · 100Nick Wright expects the Bills to beat the Lions comfortably in the Thursday night home opener, with Josh Allen shredding a depleted Detroit secondary, and he also picks a workmanlike Chiefs win over the Colts on Sunday night. He further predicts Tyreek Hill will end up on the Chiefs by around Halloween.
- Tyler SullivanGame Outcome Picks · Detroit LionsMiss · 0A CBS Sports column flags five Week 2 favorites on upset alert, effectively backing the underdogs — Lions at Bills, Bengals at Texans, Jets over Packers, Jaguars at Broncos and Saints at Ravens — to pull off wins.
- Richard ShermanGame Outcome Picks · Buffalo BillsHit · 100Sherman ran through the entire Week 2 slate with winners and several exact final scores, picking Seattle, San Francisco, Buffalo, Houston, Chicago, New England, Jacksonville, Dallas, Kansas City, the Rams, Green Bay, Baltimore, Philadelphia, Tampa Bay, Las Vegas and Carolina. He also called Fred Warner the league's best middle linebacker and floated Parker Washington as a top-five receiver.
- Colin CowherdGame Outcome Picks · Detroit LionsMiss · 0The co-host (identified only as "Mitchell") gave his own Week 2 picks: Seattle, the Niners in dominant fashion, his Lions over Buffalo, Cincinnati 31-27 at Houston, Chicago, Pittsburgh 24-21 as a road upset, Jacksonville by at least a touchdown, Dallas 26-22, and Kansas City handily.
- Joe MarinoGame Outcome Picks · Buffalo BillsHit · 100Marino predicts the Bills beat the Lions in the Thursday night home opener to go 2-0, and expects a shootout with Goff and Allen combining for over 600 passing yards (each with a good chance at 300+).
- Walter CherepinskyGame Outcome Picks · Buffalo BillsHit · 100In the Week 2 Thursday night game, he predicts the Bills beat the Lions 31-24, expecting Detroit's offense to bounce back but Buffalo to prevail, with Josh Allen thriving and James Cook struggling again.