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Colin Cowherd· Nov 21, 2025

Cowherd's Blazing Five picks: Packers over Vikings 28-20, Bears over Steelers 27-21, Chiefs over Colts 28-24 with the over 50.5, Seahawks over Titans 31-13, and Carolina covering +7 in a close 49ers home win. He also predicted Green Bay would begin playing its best football of the year starting this weekend, forecast a specific Shedeur Sanders stat line in his first start, and picked Oregon to control the game against USC.

“Packers win and cover. It's a lot. It's a division game, twenty eight to twenty”

said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

5 checkable claims — 4 score predictions and 1 game outcome pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 5 have settled, averaging 88.1 out of 100, against 80.1 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

5 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Green Bay Packers 28 — Vikings 20

    “I'm gonna take Green Bay as a home favorite to win and cover minus six and a half... Packers win and cover... twenty eight to twenty”

    Close · 79Scored 78.57a naive guess scored 64.35+19.76 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    6-23
    skill:
    19.76
    they picked:
    GB
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    78.57
    baseline:
    64.35
    difficulty:
    1.39
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    17
    weeks left when called:
    7
    naive home margin:
    2.03
    predicted margin:
    8

    Think this is wrong?

  • Chicago Bears 27 — Steelers 21

    “I'm gonna take the Bears to win and the Bears to cover twenty seven twenty one”

    Hit · 93Scored 92.86a naive guess scored 97.69-6.71 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    28-31
    skill:
    -6.71
    they picked:
    CHI
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    92.86
    baseline:
    97.69
    difficulty:
    1.39
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    7
    naive home margin:
    2.03
    predicted margin:
    6

    Think this is wrong?

  • Kansas City Chiefs 28 — Colts 24

    “I think it's a close game. Kansas City wins twenty eight to twenty four.”

    Hit · 98Scored 97.62a naive guess scored 97.69-0.09 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    20-23
    skill:
    -0.09
    they picked:
    KC
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    97.62
    baseline:
    97.69
    difficulty:
    1.39
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    7
    naive home margin:
    2.03
    predicted margin:
    4

    Think this is wrong?

  • San Francisco 49ers to beat Carolina

    “I think San Francisco, probably at home, finds a way to win.”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    SF
    score:
    9-20
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    SF
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    SF
    difficulty:
    1.39
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    7

    Think this is wrong?

  • Seattle Seahawks 31 — Tennessee 13

    “Seattle wins and covers thirty one to thirteen.”

    Close · 71Scored 71.43a naive guess scored 40.54+42.93 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    30-24
    skill:
    42.93
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    71.43
    baseline:
    40.54
    difficulty:
    1.39
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    6
    weeks left when called:
    7
    naive home margin:
    2.03
    predicted margin:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

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