Colin Cowherd · Nov 21, 2025
Cowherd's Blazing Five picks: Packers over Vikings 28-20, Bears over Steelers 27-21, Chiefs over Colts 28-24 with the over 50.5, Seahawks over Titans 31-13, and Carolina covering +7 in a close 49ers home win. He also predicted Green Bay would begin playing its best football of the year starting this weekend, forecast a specific Shedeur Sanders stat line in his first start, and picked Oregon to control the game against USC.
“Packers win and cover. It's a lot. It's a division game, twenty eight to twenty”
said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →
5 checkable claims from this
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Score PredictionsChicago BearsNov 21, 2025
“I'm gonna take the Bears to win and the Bears to cover twenty seven twenty one”
Scored 92.86a naive guess scored 97.69-6.71 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 28-31
- skill:
- -6.71
- they picked:
- CHI
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 92.86
- baseline:
- 97.69
- difficulty:
- 1.39
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 7
- naive home margin:
- 2.03
- predicted margin:
- 6
- Score PredictionsKansas City ChiefsNov 21, 2025
“I think it's a close game. Kansas City wins twenty eight to twenty four.”
Scored 97.62a naive guess scored 97.69-0.09 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 20-23
- skill:
- -0.09
- they picked:
- KC
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 97.62
- baseline:
- 97.69
- difficulty:
- 1.39
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 7
- naive home margin:
- 2.03
- predicted margin:
- 4
- Game Outcome PicksSan Francisco 49ersNov 21, 2025
“I think San Francisco, probably at home, finds a way to win.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- SF
- score:
- 9-20
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- SF
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- naive pick:
- SF
- difficulty:
- 1.39
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 7
- Score PredictionsSeattle SeahawksNov 21, 2025
“Seattle wins and covers thirty one to thirteen.”
Scored 71.43a naive guess scored 40.54+42.93 skillHow this was scored
- score:
- 30-24
- skill:
- 42.93
- they picked:
- SEA
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 71.43
- baseline:
- 40.54
- difficulty:
- 1.39
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- actual margin:
- 6
- weeks left when called:
- 7
- naive home margin:
- 2.03
- predicted margin:
- 18
- Score PredictionsGreen Bay PackersNov 21, 2025
“I'm gonna take Green Bay as a home favorite to win and cover minus six and a half... Packers win and cover... twenty eight to twenty”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.