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Manti Te'o· Sep 4, 2025

Picked a Rams–Ravens Super Bowl with Baltimore winning, and Lamar Jackson taking both season MVP and Super Bowl MVP. He also picked Jalen Carter as Defensive Player of the Year.

I had first of a matchup was the Rams versus the Ravens, and then I had not only the MVP of the season, but the Super Bowl MVP, Lamar Jackson and the Baltimore Ravens

said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast) · read the original →

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

5 checkable claims — 3 award picks, 1 conference champion and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 5 have settled, averaging 10 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

5 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Los Angeles Rams to reach the Super Bowl

    first of a matchup was the Rams versus the Ravens

    Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 0+100 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    100
    they picked:
    LAR
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    50
    baseline:
    0
    champions:
    NE,SEA
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's conference champions
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    reached the Super Bowl:
    no
    lost the conference final:
    yes

    Think this is wrong?

  • Lamar Jackson to win Super Bowl MVP

    not only the MVP of the season, but the Super Bowl MVP, Lamar Jackson

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    award:
    mvp
    naive:
    the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Lamar Jackson
    season:
    2025
    winner:
    Matthew Stafford
    correct:
    no
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Lamar Jackson to win MVP

    I had not only the MVP of the season, but the Super Bowl MVP, Lamar Jackson

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    award:
    mvp
    naive:
    the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Lamar Jackson
    season:
    2025
    winner:
    Matthew Stafford
    correct:
    no
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Baltimore Ravens to win the Super Bowl

    a matchup was the Rams versus the Ravens... Lamar Jackson and the Baltimore Ravens, after twelve long years, get another super Bowl.

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    BAL
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    champion:
    SEA
    runner up:
    NE
    the naive pick:
    PHI
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Jalen Carter to win Defensive Player of the Year

    I know you talked about Zach Bond being your prediction for defensive player of the Year, but I actually picked a teammate of yours, Jalen Carter.

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    award:
    defensive_player_of_the_year
    naive:
    the naive pick was Pat Surtain II, who won it the year before
    skill:
    0
    player:
    Jalen Carter
    season:
    2025
    winner:
    Myles Garrett
    correct:
    no
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More award picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

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