Marcus Mosher · Dec 3, 2024
Mosher's Week 14 power rankings place Detroit first and Jacksonville last, and along the way he calls the Ravens and Broncos playoff-bound, the Seahawks heavy favorites in the NFC West, the Saints eliminated, and the Giants/Jaguars in contention for the No. 1 pick.
“Baltimore is a sure-fire playoff team, but it clearly isn't the same regular-season team we saw last year.”
published in writing · The 33rd Team · read the original →
6 checkable claims from this
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Power RankingsDec 3, 2024
“Here are our updated power rankings going into Week 14 of the 2024 season”
Scored 98.15a naive guess scored 67.38+39.39 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 39.39
- method:
- spearman
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 98.15
- baseline:
- 67.38
- difficulty:
- 1.28
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- teams ranked:
- 32
- weeks left when called:
- 5
- Playoff PicksDec 3, 2024
“Baltimore is a sure-fire playoff team, but it clearly isn't the same regular-season team we saw last year.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- BAL
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- naive said:
- true
- difficulty:
- 1.28
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made playoffs:
- true
- weeks left when called:
- 5
- Playoff PicksDec 3, 2024
“The Denver Broncos are a near-lock to make the postseason”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+128 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- DEN
- skill:
- 128
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- naive said:
- false
- difficulty:
- 1.28
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made playoffs:
- true
- weeks left when called:
- 5
- Division WinnersDec 3, 2024
“And with the defense starting to come along, they should be the heavy favorites to take the division now.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Roster Spot CallsDec 3, 2024
“They suffered another 20+ point loss and likely lost Christian McCaffrey (PCL) for the season.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Mock Draft PicksDec 3, 2024
“That means Jacksonville could pick at No. 1 for the third time in five seasons.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.