Kyle Crabbs · Apr 23, 2025

In his final 2025 NFL mock draft, Crabbs projects all 32 first-round picks, starting with Cam Ward to the Titans at No. 1 and Travis Hunter to the Browns at No. 2, and including projected trades involving the Bears/Jaguars and a Giants move back into the late first round for Jaxson Dart.

“The Titans have formally announced they'll stay at No. 1, meaning they've got their guy.”

published in writing · The 33rd Team · read the original →

32 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

Mock Draft PicksApr 23, 2025
“15. ATLANTA FALCONS Selection: IDL Walter Nolen, Mississippi”
Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.74 against a shuffle’s 50+35.74 skill
How this was scored
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
35.74
player:
Walter Nolen
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
95.76
baseline:
50
actual pick:
16
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
95.76
predicted pick:
15
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
85.74
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 23, 2025
“13. MIAMI DOLPHINS Selection: CB Jahdae Barron, Texas”
Scored 73.84 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.74 against a shuffle’s 50+35.74 skill
How this was scored
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
35.74
player:
Jahdae Barron
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
73.84
baseline:
50
actual pick:
20
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
73.84
predicted pick:
13
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
85.74
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 23, 2025
“20. DENVER BRONCOS Selection: HB TreVeyon Henderson, Ohio State”
Scored 45.85 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.74 against a shuffle’s 50+35.74 skill
How this was scored
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
35.74
player:
TreVeyon Henderson
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
45.85
baseline:
50
actual pick:
38
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
45.85
predicted pick:
20
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
85.74
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 23, 2025
“21. PITTSBURGH STEELERS Selection: QB Shedeur Sanders, Colorado”
Scored 0.49 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.74 against a shuffle’s 50+35.74 skill
How this was scored
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
35.74
player:
Shedeur Sanders
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
0.49
baseline:
50
actual pick:
144
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
0.49
predicted pick:
21
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
85.74
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 23, 2025
“25. HOUSTON TEXANS Selection: IOL Tyler Booker, Alabama”
Scored 56.94 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.74 against a shuffle’s 50+35.74 skill
How this was scored
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
35.74
player:
Tyler Booker
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
56.94
baseline:
50
actual pick:
12
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
56.94
predicted pick:
25
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
85.74
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 23, 2025
“26. LOS ANGELES RAMS Selection: TE Colston Loveland, Michigan”
Scored 50 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.74 against a shuffle’s 50+35.74 skill
How this was scored
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
35.74
player:
Colston Loveland
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
50
baseline:
50
actual pick:
10
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
50
predicted pick:
26
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
85.74
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 23, 2025
“32. Philadelphia Eagles Selection: CB Will Johnson, Michigan”
Scored 52.21 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.74 against a shuffle’s 50+35.74 skill
How this was scored
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
35.74
player:
Will Johnson
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
52.21
baseline:
50
actual pick:
47
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
52.21
predicted pick:
32
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
85.74
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 23, 2025
“7. NEW YORK JETS Selection: OT Armand Membou, Missouri”
Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.74 against a shuffle’s 50+35.74 skill
How this was scored
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
35.74
player:
Armand Membou
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
7
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
7
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
85.74
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 23, 2025
“8. CAROLINA PANTHERS Selection: EDGE Jalon Walker, Georgia”
Scored 73.84 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.74 against a shuffle’s 50+35.74 skill
How this was scored
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
35.74
player:
Jalon Walker
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
73.84
baseline:
50
actual pick:
15
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
73.84
predicted pick:
8
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
85.74
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 23, 2025
“10. Jacksonville Jaguars (Via Trade With Bears) Selection: WR Tetairoa McMillan, Arizona”
Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.74 against a shuffle’s 50+35.74 skill
How this was scored
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
35.74
player:
Tetairoa McMillan
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
91.7
baseline:
50
actual pick:
8
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
91.7
predicted pick:
10
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
85.74
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 23, 2025
“22. LOS ANGELES CHARGERS Selection: IDL Kenneth Grant, Michigan”
Scored 67.71 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.74 against a shuffle’s 50+35.74 skill
How this was scored
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
35.74
player:
Kenneth Grant
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
67.71
baseline:
50
actual pick:
13
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
67.71
predicted pick:
22
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
85.74
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 23, 2025
“24.New York Giants (Via Trade) Selection: QB Jaxson Dart, Ole Miss”
Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.74 against a shuffle’s 50+35.74 skill
How this was scored
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
35.74
player:
Jaxson Dart
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
95.76
baseline:
50
actual pick:
25
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
95.76
predicted pick:
24
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
85.74
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 23, 2025
“1. TENNESSEE TITANS Selection: QB Cam Ward, Miami”
Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.74 against a shuffle’s 50+35.74 skill
How this was scored
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
35.74
player:
Cam Ward
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
1
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
1
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
85.74
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 23, 2025
“17. CINCINNATI BENGALS Selection: EDGE Mike Green, Marshall”
Scored 16.21 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.74 against a shuffle’s 50+35.74 skill
How this was scored
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
35.74
player:
Mike Green
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
16.21
baseline:
50
actual pick:
59
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
16.21
predicted pick:
17
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
85.74
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 23, 2025
“19. TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS Selection: LB Jihaad Campbell, Alabama”
Scored 59.46 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.74 against a shuffle’s 50+35.74 skill
How this was scored
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
35.74
player:
Jihaad Campbell
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
59.46
baseline:
50
actual pick:
31
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
59.46
predicted pick:
19
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
85.74
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 23, 2025
“27. BALTIMORE RAVENS Selection: SAF Malaki Starks, Georgia”
Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.74 against a shuffle’s 50+35.74 skill
How this was scored
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
35.74
player:
Malaki Starks
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
27
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
27
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
85.74
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 23, 2025
“9. NEW ORLEANS SAINTS Selection: EDGE Mykel Williams, Georgia”
Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.74 against a shuffle’s 50+35.74 skill
How this was scored
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
35.74
player:
Mykel Williams
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
91.7
baseline:
50
actual pick:
11
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
91.7
predicted pick:
9
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
85.74
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 23, 2025
“6. LAS VEGAS RAIDERS Selection: OT Kelvin Banks Jr., Texas”
Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.74 against a shuffle’s 50+35.74 skill
How this was scored
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
35.74
player:
Kelvin Banks Jr.
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
87.81
baseline:
50
actual pick:
9
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
87.81
predicted pick:
6
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
85.74
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 23, 2025
“28. DETROIT LIONS Selection: Edge Donovan Ezeiruaku, Boston College”
Scored 50 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.74 against a shuffle’s 50+35.74 skill
How this was scored
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
35.74
player:
Donovan Ezeiruaku
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
50
baseline:
50
actual pick:
44
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
50
predicted pick:
28
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
85.74
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 23, 2025
“12. DALLAS COWBOYS Selection: WR Matthew Golden, Texas”
Scored 62.09 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.74 against a shuffle’s 50+35.74 skill
How this was scored
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
35.74
player:
Matthew Golden
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
62.09
baseline:
50
actual pick:
23
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
62.09
predicted pick:
12
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
85.74
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 23, 2025
“11. SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS Selection: IDL Mason Graham, Michigan”
Scored 77.11 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.74 against a shuffle’s 50+35.74 skill
How this was scored
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
35.74
player:
Mason Graham
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
77.11
baseline:
50
actual pick:
5
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
77.11
predicted pick:
11
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
85.74
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 23, 2025
“23. GREEN BAY PACKERS Selection: EDGE Shemar Stewart, Texas A&M”
Scored 77.11 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.74 against a shuffle’s 50+35.74 skill
How this was scored
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
35.74
player:
Shemar Stewart
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
77.11
baseline:
50
actual pick:
17
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
77.11
predicted pick:
23
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
85.74
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 23, 2025
“16. ARIZONA CARDINALS Selection: OT Josh Simmons, Ohio State”
Scored 50 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.74 against a shuffle’s 50+35.74 skill
How this was scored
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
35.74
player:
Josh Simmons
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
50
baseline:
50
actual pick:
32
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
50
predicted pick:
16
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
85.74
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 23, 2025
“4. NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS Selection: OL Will Campbell, LSU”
Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.74 against a shuffle’s 50+35.74 skill
How this was scored
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
35.74
player:
Will Campbell
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
4
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
4
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
85.74
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 23, 2025
“5. Chicago Bears (Via Trade With Jaguars) Selection: RB Ashton Jeanty, Boise State”
Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.74 against a shuffle’s 50+35.74 skill
How this was scored
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
35.74
player:
Ashton Jeanty
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
95.76
baseline:
50
actual pick:
6
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
95.76
predicted pick:
5
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
85.74
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 23, 2025
“18. SEATTLE SEAHAWKS Selection: IOL Grey Zabel, North Dakota State”
Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.74 against a shuffle’s 50+35.74 skill
How this was scored
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
35.74
player:
Grey Zabel
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
18
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
18
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
85.74
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 23, 2025
“29. WASHINGTON COMMANDERS Selection: RB Omarion Hampton, North Carolina”
Scored 73.84 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.74 against a shuffle’s 50+35.74 skill
How this was scored
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
35.74
player:
Omarion Hampton
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
73.84
baseline:
50
actual pick:
22
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
73.84
predicted pick:
29
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
85.74
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 23, 2025
“14. INDIANAPOLIS COLTS Selection: TE Tyler Warren, Penn State”
Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.74 against a shuffle’s 50+35.74 skill
How this was scored
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
35.74
player:
Tyler Warren
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
14
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
14
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
85.74
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 23, 2025
“31. KANSAS CITY CHIEFS Selection: EDGE James Pearce Jr., Tennessee”
Scored 80.52 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.74 against a shuffle’s 50+35.74 skill
How this was scored
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
35.74
player:
James Pearce Jr.
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
80.52
baseline:
50
actual pick:
26
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
80.52
predicted pick:
31
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
85.74
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 23, 2025
“2. CLEVELAND BROWNS Selection: CB/WR Travis Hunter, Colorado”
Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.74 against a shuffle’s 50+35.74 skill
How this was scored
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
35.74
player:
Travis Hunter
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
2
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
2
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
85.74
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 23, 2025
“3. NEW YORK GIANTS Selection: EDGE Abdul Carter, Penn State”
Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.74 against a shuffle’s 50+35.74 skill
How this was scored
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
35.74
player:
Abdul Carter
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
3
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
3
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
85.74
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft PicksApr 23, 2025
“30. BUFFALO BILLS Selection: IDL Derrick Harmon, Oregon”
Scored 67.71 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.74 against a shuffle’s 50+35.74 skill
How this was scored
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
35.74
player:
Derrick Harmon
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
67.71
baseline:
50
actual pick:
21
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
67.71
predicted pick:
30
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
85.74
Think this is wrong?