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Kyle Crabbs· Apr 23, 2025

In his final 2025 NFL mock draft, Crabbs projects all 32 first-round picks, starting with Cam Ward to the Titans at No. 1 and Travis Hunter to the Browns at No. 2, and including projected trades involving the Bears/Jaguars and a Giants move back into the late first round for Jaxson Dart.

The Titans have formally announced they'll stay at No. 1, meaning they've got their guy.

published in writing · The 33rd Team · read the original →

32 checkable claims — 32 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 63 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 32 have settled, averaging 74.8 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
28They said
44What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

32 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Donovan Ezeiruaku to be picked at number 28

    28. DETROIT LIONS Selection: Edge Donovan Ezeiruaku, Boston College

    Close · 50Scored 50 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.74 against a shuffle’s 50+35.74 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    35.74
    player:
    Donovan Ezeiruaku
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    50
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    44
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    50
    predicted pick:
    28
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    85.74

    Think this is wrong?

  • Mike Green to be picked at number 17

    17. CINCINNATI BENGALS Selection: EDGE Mike Green, Marshall

    Miss · 16Scored 16.21 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.74 against a shuffle’s 50+35.74 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    35.74
    player:
    Mike Green
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    16.21
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    59
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    16.21
    predicted pick:
    17
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    85.74

    Think this is wrong?

  • Tyler Booker to be picked at number 25

    25. HOUSTON TEXANS Selection: IOL Tyler Booker, Alabama

    Close · 57Scored 56.94 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.74 against a shuffle’s 50+35.74 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    35.74
    player:
    Tyler Booker
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    56.94
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    12
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    56.94
    predicted pick:
    25
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    85.74

    Think this is wrong?

  • Jahdae Barron to be picked at number 13

    13. MIAMI DOLPHINS Selection: CB Jahdae Barron, Texas

    Close · 74Scored 73.84 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.74 against a shuffle’s 50+35.74 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    35.74
    player:
    Jahdae Barron
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    73.84
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    20
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    73.84
    predicted pick:
    13
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    85.74

    Think this is wrong?

  • Cam Ward to be picked at number 1

    1. TENNESSEE TITANS Selection: QB Cam Ward, Miami

    Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.74 against a shuffle’s 50+35.74 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    35.74
    player:
    Cam Ward
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    1
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    85.74

    Think this is wrong?

  • Jaxson Dart to be picked at number 24

    24.New York Giants (Via Trade) Selection: QB Jaxson Dart, Ole Miss

    Hit · 96Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.74 against a shuffle’s 50+35.74 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    35.74
    player:
    Jaxson Dart
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    95.76
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    25
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    95.76
    predicted pick:
    24
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    85.74

    Think this is wrong?

  • TreVeyon Henderson to be picked at number 20

    20. DENVER BRONCOS Selection: HB TreVeyon Henderson, Ohio State

    Close · 46Scored 45.85 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.74 against a shuffle’s 50+35.74 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    35.74
    player:
    TreVeyon Henderson
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    45.85
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    38
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    45.85
    predicted pick:
    20
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    85.74

    Think this is wrong?

  • Jihaad Campbell to be picked at number 19

    19. TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS Selection: LB Jihaad Campbell, Alabama

    Close · 59Scored 59.46 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.74 against a shuffle’s 50+35.74 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    35.74
    player:
    Jihaad Campbell
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    59.46
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    31
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    59.46
    predicted pick:
    19
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    85.74

    Think this is wrong?

  • Grey Zabel to be picked at number 18

    18. SEATTLE SEAHAWKS Selection: IOL Grey Zabel, North Dakota State

    Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.74 against a shuffle’s 50+35.74 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    35.74
    player:
    Grey Zabel
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    18
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    85.74

    Think this is wrong?

  • Tyler Warren to be picked at number 14

    14. INDIANAPOLIS COLTS Selection: TE Tyler Warren, Penn State

    Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.74 against a shuffle’s 50+35.74 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    35.74
    player:
    Tyler Warren
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    14
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    14
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    85.74

    Think this is wrong?

  • James Pearce Jr. to be picked at number 31

    31. KANSAS CITY CHIEFS Selection: EDGE James Pearce Jr., Tennessee

    Hit · 81Scored 80.52 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.74 against a shuffle’s 50+35.74 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    35.74
    player:
    James Pearce Jr.
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    80.52
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    26
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    80.52
    predicted pick:
    31
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    85.74

    Think this is wrong?

  • Armand Membou to be picked at number 7

    7. NEW YORK JETS Selection: OT Armand Membou, Missouri

    Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.74 against a shuffle’s 50+35.74 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    35.74
    player:
    Armand Membou
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    7
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    7
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    85.74

    Think this is wrong?

  • Josh Simmons to be picked at number 16

    16. ARIZONA CARDINALS Selection: OT Josh Simmons, Ohio State

    Close · 50Scored 50 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.74 against a shuffle’s 50+35.74 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    35.74
    player:
    Josh Simmons
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    50
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    32
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    50
    predicted pick:
    16
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    85.74

    Think this is wrong?

  • Mason Graham to be picked at number 11

    11. SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS Selection: IDL Mason Graham, Michigan

    Close · 77Scored 77.11 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.74 against a shuffle’s 50+35.74 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    35.74
    player:
    Mason Graham
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    77.11
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    5
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    77.11
    predicted pick:
    11
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    85.74

    Think this is wrong?

  • Ashton Jeanty to be picked at number 5

    5. Chicago Bears (Via Trade With Jaguars) Selection: RB Ashton Jeanty, Boise State

    Hit · 96Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.74 against a shuffle’s 50+35.74 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    35.74
    player:
    Ashton Jeanty
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    95.76
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    6
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    95.76
    predicted pick:
    5
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    85.74

    Think this is wrong?

  • Malaki Starks to be picked at number 27

    27. BALTIMORE RAVENS Selection: SAF Malaki Starks, Georgia

    Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.74 against a shuffle’s 50+35.74 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    35.74
    player:
    Malaki Starks
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    27
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    27
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    85.74

    Think this is wrong?

  • Colston Loveland to be picked at number 26

    26. LOS ANGELES RAMS Selection: TE Colston Loveland, Michigan

    Close · 50Scored 50 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.74 against a shuffle’s 50+35.74 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    35.74
    player:
    Colston Loveland
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    50
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    10
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    50
    predicted pick:
    26
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    85.74

    Think this is wrong?

  • Shedeur Sanders to be picked at number 21

    21. PITTSBURGH STEELERS Selection: QB Shedeur Sanders, Colorado

    Miss · 0Scored 0.49 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.74 against a shuffle’s 50+35.74 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    35.74
    player:
    Shedeur Sanders
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    0.49
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    144
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    0.49
    predicted pick:
    21
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    85.74

    Think this is wrong?

  • Derrick Harmon to be picked at number 30

    30. BUFFALO BILLS Selection: IDL Derrick Harmon, Oregon

    Close · 68Scored 67.71 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.74 against a shuffle’s 50+35.74 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    35.74
    player:
    Derrick Harmon
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    67.71
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    21
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    67.71
    predicted pick:
    30
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    85.74

    Think this is wrong?

  • Travis Hunter to be picked at number 2

    2. CLEVELAND BROWNS Selection: CB/WR Travis Hunter, Colorado

    Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.74 against a shuffle’s 50+35.74 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    35.74
    player:
    Travis Hunter
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    2
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    2
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    85.74

    Think this is wrong?

  • Omarion Hampton to be picked at number 29

    29. WASHINGTON COMMANDERS Selection: RB Omarion Hampton, North Carolina

    Close · 74Scored 73.84 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.74 against a shuffle’s 50+35.74 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    35.74
    player:
    Omarion Hampton
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    73.84
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    22
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    73.84
    predicted pick:
    29
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    85.74

    Think this is wrong?

  • Kelvin Banks Jr. to be picked at number 6

    6. LAS VEGAS RAIDERS Selection: OT Kelvin Banks Jr., Texas

    Hit · 88Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.74 against a shuffle’s 50+35.74 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    35.74
    player:
    Kelvin Banks Jr.
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    87.81
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    9
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    87.81
    predicted pick:
    6
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    85.74

    Think this is wrong?

  • Jalon Walker to be picked at number 8

    8. CAROLINA PANTHERS Selection: EDGE Jalon Walker, Georgia

    Close · 74Scored 73.84 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.74 against a shuffle’s 50+35.74 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    35.74
    player:
    Jalon Walker
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    73.84
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    15
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    73.84
    predicted pick:
    8
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    85.74

    Think this is wrong?

  • Mykel Williams to be picked at number 9

    9. NEW ORLEANS SAINTS Selection: EDGE Mykel Williams, Georgia

    Hit · 92Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.74 against a shuffle’s 50+35.74 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    35.74
    player:
    Mykel Williams
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    91.7
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    11
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    91.7
    predicted pick:
    9
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    85.74

    Think this is wrong?

  • Kenneth Grant to be picked at number 22

    22. LOS ANGELES CHARGERS Selection: IDL Kenneth Grant, Michigan

    Close · 68Scored 67.71 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.74 against a shuffle’s 50+35.74 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    35.74
    player:
    Kenneth Grant
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    67.71
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    13
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    67.71
    predicted pick:
    22
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    85.74

    Think this is wrong?

  • Will Campbell to be picked at number 4

    4. NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS Selection: OL Will Campbell, LSU

    Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.74 against a shuffle’s 50+35.74 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    35.74
    player:
    Will Campbell
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    4
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    4
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    85.74

    Think this is wrong?

  • Will Johnson to be picked at number 32

    32. Philadelphia Eagles Selection: CB Will Johnson, Michigan

    Close · 52Scored 52.21 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.74 against a shuffle’s 50+35.74 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    35.74
    player:
    Will Johnson
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    52.21
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    47
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    52.21
    predicted pick:
    32
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    85.74

    Think this is wrong?

  • Tetairoa McMillan to be picked at number 10

    10. Jacksonville Jaguars (Via Trade With Bears) Selection: WR Tetairoa McMillan, Arizona

    Hit · 92Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.74 against a shuffle’s 50+35.74 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    35.74
    player:
    Tetairoa McMillan
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    91.7
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    8
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    91.7
    predicted pick:
    10
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    85.74

    Think this is wrong?

  • Abdul Carter to be picked at number 3

    3. NEW YORK GIANTS Selection: EDGE Abdul Carter, Penn State

    Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.74 against a shuffle’s 50+35.74 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    35.74
    player:
    Abdul Carter
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    3
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    85.74

    Think this is wrong?

  • Matthew Golden to be picked at number 12

    12. DALLAS COWBOYS Selection: WR Matthew Golden, Texas

    Close · 62Scored 62.09 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.74 against a shuffle’s 50+35.74 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    35.74
    player:
    Matthew Golden
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    62.09
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    23
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    62.09
    predicted pick:
    12
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    85.74

    Think this is wrong?

  • Shemar Stewart to be picked at number 23

    23. GREEN BAY PACKERS Selection: EDGE Shemar Stewart, Texas A&M

    Close · 77Scored 77.11 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.74 against a shuffle’s 50+35.74 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    35.74
    player:
    Shemar Stewart
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    77.11
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    17
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    77.11
    predicted pick:
    23
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    85.74

    Think this is wrong?

  • Walter Nolen to be picked at number 15

    15. ATLANTA FALCONS Selection: IDL Walter Nolen, Mississippi

    Hit · 96Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 85.74 against a shuffle’s 50+35.74 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    35.74
    player:
    Walter Nolen
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    95.76
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    16
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    95.76
    predicted pick:
    15
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    85.74

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