Peter Schrager· Mar 13, 2025
Schrager picked Denver as the AFC team closing the gap on Kansas City after its free-agent additions, expects Russell Wilson to land in Pittsburgh, New York or Cleveland, believes Shedeur Sanders goes second or third overall and remains a first-round pick, and named Chase Brown and Sidney Brown as breakout players for the coming season.
“I'm all in on Denver this offseason, and I think the hype is going to be real in August.”
said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast) · read the original →
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4 checkable claims — 2 mock draft picks, 1 surprise team call and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
1 of 4 have settled so far, averaging 0.8 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Their call against what happened
overall pickTheir call against what actually happened.
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Who this take is about
4 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Mock Draft PicksShedeur SandersMar 13, 2025
Shedeur Sanders to be picked “first round pick” (picks 1–32)
“I still think Shador Sanders is going to be a first round pick”
Miss · 1Scored 0.78a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Shedeur Sanders
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 0.78
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 144
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0.78
- predicted pick:
- first round pick (picks 1–32)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
- Trade and Signing CallsRussell WilsonMar 13, 2025
Russell Wilson to move
“I would imagine Russell Wilson will end up with either Pittsburgh, New York or Cleveland as a veteran guy.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Mock Draft PicksShedeur SandersMar 13, 2025
Shedeur Sanders to be picked “the second or third pick in this draft”
“I still think he's very much in line to be the second or third pick in this draft.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Surprise Team CallsDenver BroncosMar 13, 2025
Denver Broncos to beat expectations
“they not only close to Gavin in the AFC West, they got better and might be challenging for the AFC as a whole this year... I think Denver could be a real viable candidate in the AFC this year.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Greg JenningsGame Outcome Picks · Denver BroncosHit · 100Jennings put the Cardinals up as his upset alert over Seattle, backed the Texans over Cincinnati and the Bears over Minnesota with chips, put two chips on Denver beating Jacksonville, and wrote a headline of the Packers beating the Jets; he also called the Bengals a playoff team and the Chiefs winners over Indianapolis.
- Lance SandersonScore Predictions · Denver BroncosHit · 88Sanderson thinks Denver cleans up its play on both sides of the ball and wins a close one.
- Bob MorrisScore Predictions · Denver BroncosHit · 90Morris expects cleaner tackling and offensive rhythm to give Denver a close win.
- Zack KelbermanScore Predictions · Denver BroncosHit · 86Kelberman picks a narrow Broncos home win, with Bo Nix doing just enough in the clutch.
- Keith CummingsScore Predictions · Denver BroncosHit · 90Cummings predicts Denver cleans things up and wins in overtime on a Wil Lutz field goal.
- Carl DumlerScore Predictions · Denver BroncosHit · 90Dumler sees the Broncos bouncing back behind the run game and the home crowd, winning on a late field goal.
More mock draft picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Lance ZierleinMock Draft Picks · Jeremiyah LoveHit · 100Zierlein laid out his final mock draft: Jeremiah Love at No. 3 to Arizona, Sonny Styles at No. 4 to Robert Saleh's team, and Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5. He also called Styles the only first-round linebacker in the class and said Ty Simpson is a lock to be a first-round pick, most likely to Arizona.
- Nick ShookMock Draft Picks · Max IheanachorHit · 88Shook walks through his full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three.
- Gregg RosenthalMock Draft Picks · K.C. ConcepcionClose · 68Rosenthal disagrees most with Casey Concepcion being left out of the first round, arguing he could go as high as the top 15 and certainly won't last past receiver-needy teams in the late twenties.
- Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks · R Mason ThomasClose · 59In discussing teams without first-round picks, Jeremiah projected specific Day 2 picks: Clemson WR Antonio Williams to the Falcons at 48, Texas Tech LB Jacob Rodriguez to the Colts in the second round, Oklahoma edge R Mason Thomas to the Packers at 52, and Auburn edge Keiroon Crawford to the Broncos at 62. He also expects Riley Leonard to open as the Colts' starting QB and Travis Hunter to play cornerback full time in Jacksonville.
- Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks · Carnell TateHit · 92Jeremiah says Denver, not Kansas City, will be the clear favorite in the AFC West this season; he also puts Carnell Tate sixth and Monroe Freeling twentieth on his prospect board, mocks Tate to Cleveland at No. 6, and expects Georgia receiver Branch to be a Day 2 pick after a strong pro day.
- Bucky BrooksMock Draft Picks · Carnell TateHit · 81In a mock draft covering the first 14 picks, Brooks made the odd-numbered selections: Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders at No. 1, a Miami offensive lineman to Arizona at No. 3, Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5, Ohio State's Arvell Reese to Washington at No. 7, Carnell Tate to Kansas City at No. 9, tight end Kenyon Sadiq to Miami at No. 11, and Spencer Fano to the Rams at No. 13.