Justin Penik · Jan 15, 2025
Pennock ranks the eight remaining playoff quarterbacks by conference (Mahomes over Allen over Lamar in the AFC; Stafford, Goff, Daniels, Hurts in the NFC), names Lamar Jackson as MVP, and picks the Chiefs, Lions and Bills to win their divisional games — plus the Lions to beat the Eagles if they meet.
“I'm rooting for the Ravens, but I think I'm picking the Bills.”
said on air or in an interview · The Dan Patrick Show (podcast) · read the original →
7 checkable claims from this
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Top Player ListsJan 15, 2025
“automatically we're putting Mahomes, Allen and Lamar ahead of anybody in the NFC... I have Alan and Lamar, but it's very close, and I hate that. So you have you have that flipped.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 50-50 skillHow this was scored
- naive:
- a coin-flip ordering scores 50
- skill:
- -50
- placed:
- 2
- season:
- 2024
- players:
- 3
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 50
- by position:
- QB 2: 0
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- could not place:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Top Player ListsJan 15, 2025
“So you just went through my one through four. Yeah, Stafford, goff Daniels Hurts.”
Scored 30a naive guess scored 50-20 skillHow this was scored
- naive:
- a coin-flip ordering scores 50
- skill:
- -20
- placed:
- 4
- season:
- 2024
- players:
- 4
- accuracy:
- 30
- baseline:
- 50
- by position:
- QB 4: 30
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- could not place:
- 0
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Award PicksLamar JacksonBaltimore RavensJan 15, 2025
“Lamar Jackson, I think is the m v P.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- award:
- mvp
- naive:
- the naive pick was Lamar Jackson, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Lamar Jackson
- season:
- 2024
- winner:
- Josh Allen
- correct:
- false
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Game Outcome PicksDetroit LionsJan 15, 2025
“this may just come down to Jimmy's and Joe's I think the Lions players are just flat out better offensively and defensively than the Commanders”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- WAS
- score:
- 45-31
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- DET
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- naive pick:
- DET
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Game Outcome PicksBuffalo BillsJan 15, 2025
“I'm rooting for the Ravens, but I think I'm picking the Bills eight and oh at home.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Game Outcome PicksKansas City ChiefsJan 15, 2025
“But the Chiefs, I think, are going to control the game because that's what they do.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Game Outcome PicksDetroit LionsJan 15, 2025
“If it's Lions Eagles, knowing what you currently know... I think the Lions in Detroit respectfully destroy the Eagles.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.