Rich Eisen · Nov 3, 2025
Eisen insisted the Colts will still win the AFC South and beat Atlanta in Berlin, picked the Lions to win the NFC North and represent the NFC in the Super Bowl with wins over Washington, the Giants and Green Bay on Thanksgiving, agreed Stafford will be an MVP finalist, and named the Colts, Patriots, Broncos, Chargers and Bills as AFC playoff teams.
“I'm just going to say the Lions will still win the NFC North.”
said on air, transcribed by us · Overreaction Monday (podcast) · read the original →
14 checkable claims from this
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Game Outcome PicksIndianapolis ColtsNov 3, 2025
Indianapolis Colts to win
“I think they win in Berlin. They're eight and two going into the buy”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- IND
- score:
- 25-31
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- IND
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- naive pick:
- IND
- difficulty:
- 1.56
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 10
- Game Outcome PicksDetroit LionsNov 3, 2025
Detroit Lions to win
“And I think Detroit wins against Washington. They're six and three”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+156 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- DET
- score:
- 44-22
- skill:
- 156
- they picked:
- DET
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- naive pick:
- WAS
- difficulty:
- 1.56
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 10
- Game Outcome PicksDetroit LionsNov 3, 2025
Detroit Lions to win
“The Giants coming in ... That said they should win that.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- won:
- DET
- score:
- 27-34
- skill:
- 0
- they picked:
- DET
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- naive pick:
- DET
- difficulty:
- 1.56
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 10
- Award PicksMatthew StaffordLos Angeles RamsNov 3, 2025
Matthew Stafford to win MVP finalist
“he's gonna be an MVP finalist. Oh, I I agree with you. ... Not an overreaction.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+156 skillHow this was scored
- award:
- mvp
- naive:
- the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 156
- player:
- Matthew Stafford
- season:
- 2025
- winner:
- Matthew Stafford
- correct:
- true
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1.56
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 10
- Playoff PicksIndianapolis ColtsNov 3, 2025
Indianapolis Colts to make the playoffs
“I think Colts, Patriots, Broncos make it.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-156 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- IND
- skill:
- -156
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- naive said:
- false
- difficulty:
- 1.56
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made playoffs:
- false
- weeks left when called:
- 10
- Playoff PicksNew England PatriotsNov 3, 2025
New England Patriots to make the playoffs
“I think Colts, Patriots, Broncos make it.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+156 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- NE
- skill:
- 156
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- naive said:
- false
- difficulty:
- 1.56
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made playoffs:
- true
- weeks left when called:
- 10
- Playoff PicksDenver BroncosNov 3, 2025
Denver Broncos to make the playoffs
“I think Colts, Patriots, Broncos make it.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- DEN
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- naive said:
- true
- difficulty:
- 1.56
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made playoffs:
- true
- weeks left when called:
- 10
- Playoff PicksLos Angeles ChargersNov 3, 2025
Los Angeles Chargers to make the playoffs
“I think the Chargers make it, and I think the Bills make it.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- LAC
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- naive said:
- true
- difficulty:
- 1.56
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made playoffs:
- true
- weeks left when called:
- 10
- Playoff PicksBuffalo BillsNov 3, 2025
Buffalo Bills to make the playoffs
“I think the Chargers make it, and I think the Bills make it.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- BUF
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- naive said:
- true
- difficulty:
- 1.56
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made playoffs:
- true
- weeks left when called:
- 10
- Game Outcome PicksDetroit LionsNov 3, 2025
Detroit Lions to win
“Which means Detroit wins on Thanksgiving against Green Bay.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Conference ChampionsDetroit LionsNov 3, 2025
Detroit Lions to reach the Super Bowl
“I also chose them to go to the Super Bowl and win the NFC”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Division WinnersDetroit LionsNov 3, 2025
Detroit Lions to win the division
“I'm just going to say the Lions will still win the NFC North.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Surprise Team CallsCarolina PanthersNov 3, 2025
Carolina Panthers to beat expectations
“Although, I did say the Panthers were my sleeper team of the NFC”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Division WinnersIndianapolis ColtsNov 3, 2025
Indianapolis Colts to win the division
“they're absolutely gonna win this division ... I still think they're the best team in the AFC South for sure.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.