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Brady Quinn· Sep 4, 2025

Quinn laid out a full playoff bracket with Tampa Bay and Kansas City earning byes, and picked the Chiefs to beat the Packers in the Super Bowl in Santa Clara.

But I've got the Chiefs getting back on top of the NFL

said on air or in an interview · 2 Pros and a Cup of Joe (podcast) · read the original →

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

30 checkable claims — 14 playoff picks, 10 game outcome picks, 3 seeding, byes and home field, 2 conference champions and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 14 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 30 have settled, averaging 40 out of 100, against 39.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

30 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Buffalo Bills to beat Los Angeles Chargers

    Then I've got the Buffalo Bills hosting the Los Angeles Chargers. The Bills hold the home field advantage they advance

    Close · 67Scored 66.67a naive guess scored 22.92+87.5 skill
    How this was scored
    note:
    these two never played, so the pick is graded on the parts of it that happened
    skill:
    87.5
    they picked:
    BUF
    season:
    2025
    ceiling:
    66.67
    accuracy:
    66.67
    baseline:
    22.92
    opponent:
    LAC
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    14 of 32 clubs reached the postseason, 8 won a game there
    weeks in the season:
    18
    right opponent:
    no
    weeks left when called:
    18
    picked won aplayoff game:
    yes
    picked reached the playoffs:
    yes
    opponent reached the playoffs:
    yes

    Think this is wrong?

  • Green Bay Packers to beat Tampa Bay Bucks

    the Tampa Bay Bucks coming off that buy hosting the Green Bay Packers... it's the Green Bay Packers who will find their way through

    Miss · 33Scored 33.33a naive guess scored 22.92+20.82 skill
    How this was scored
    note:
    these two never played, so the pick is graded on the parts of it that happened
    skill:
    20.82
    they picked:
    GB
    season:
    2025
    ceiling:
    66.67
    accuracy:
    33.33
    baseline:
    22.92
    opponent:
    TB
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    14 of 32 clubs reached the postseason, 8 won a game there
    weeks in the season:
    18
    right opponent:
    no
    weeks left when called:
    18
    picked won aplayoff game:
    no
    picked reached the playoffs:
    yes
    opponent reached the playoffs:
    no

    Think this is wrong?

  • Kansas City Chiefs to reach the Super Bowl

    the Kansas City Chiefs taking on the Green Bay Packers in Santa Clara

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    KC
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    champions:
    NE,SEA
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's conference champions
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    reached the Super Bowl:
    no
    lost the conference final:
    no

    Think this is wrong?

  • Kansas City Chiefs to beat Cincinnati Bengals

    the number one seeded Chiefs hosting the Cincinnati Bengals, and I've got the Chiefs advancing

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 22.92-45.84 skill
    How this was scored
    note:
    these two never played, so the pick is graded on the parts of it that happened
    skill:
    -45.84
    they picked:
    KC
    season:
    2025
    ceiling:
    66.67
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    22.92
    opponent:
    CIN
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    14 of 32 clubs reached the postseason, 8 won a game there
    weeks in the season:
    18
    right opponent:
    no
    weeks left when called:
    18
    picked won aplayoff game:
    no
    picked reached the playoffs:
    no
    opponent reached the playoffs:
    no

    Think this is wrong?

  • Green Bay Packers to reach the Super Bowl

    it's the Packers led by Micah Parsons Jordan Love finding the way to the super Bowl

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    GB
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    champions:
    NE,SEA
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's conference champions
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    reached the Super Bowl:
    no
    lost the conference final:
    no

    Think this is wrong?

  • Kansas City Chiefs to take the top seed

    On the AFC side, it's Kansas City... Championship Weekend, the number one seeded Chiefs hosting the Cincinnati Bengals

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    KC
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    checked as:
    the number one seed is the bye, which the bracket names exactly
    actual tier:
    missed the playoffs
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    where they finished last season (bye)
    weeks in the season:
    18
    claimed seed:
    1
    claimed tier:
    bye
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Baltimore Ravens to beat Jacksonville Jaguars

    I've got the Jacksonville bill Jaguars hosting the Baltimore Ravens. I've got the Ravens winning that one.

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 22.92-45.84 skill
    How this was scored
    note:
    these two never played, so the pick is graded on the parts of it that happened
    skill:
    -45.84
    they picked:
    BAL
    season:
    2025
    ceiling:
    66.67
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    22.92
    opponent:
    JAX
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    14 of 32 clubs reached the postseason, 8 won a game there
    weeks in the season:
    18
    right opponent:
    no
    weeks left when called:
    18
    picked won aplayoff game:
    no
    picked reached the playoffs:
    no
    opponent reached the playoffs:
    yes

    Think this is wrong?

  • Philadelphia Eagles to take the top seed

    I've got the Eagles being able to hold the home field advantage winning as the number two seed

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    PHI
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    checked as:
    seeds 2–4 host a wild-card game — the bracket cannot separate them further
    actual tier:
    host
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    where they finished last season (host)
    weeks in the season:
    18
    claimed seed:
    2
    claimed tier:
    host
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers to take the top seed

    Tampa Bay from the NFC, they get the buy.

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    TB
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    checked as:
    the number one seed is the bye, which the bracket names exactly
    actual tier:
    missed the playoffs
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    where they finished last season (host)
    weeks in the season:
    18
    claimed seed:
    1
    claimed tier:
    bye
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Kansas City Chiefs to make the playoffs

    On the AFC side, it's Kansas City

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    KC
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive guess said:
    yes
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    no
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers to make the playoffs

    Tampa Bay from the NFC, they get the buy

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    TB
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive guess said:
    yes
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    no
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Washington Commanders to make the playoffs

    and the Eagles take down the Washington Commandos

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    WAS
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive guess said:
    yes
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    no
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Philadelphia Eagles to make the playoffs

    and the Eagles take down the Washington Commandos

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    PHI
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive guess said:
    yes
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    yes
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Atlanta Falcons to make the playoffs

    the forty nine Ers take down the Atlanta Falcons

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    ATL
    skill:
    -200
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive guess said:
    no
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    no
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • San Francisco 49ers to make the playoffs

    the forty nine Ers take down the Atlanta Falcons

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    SF
    skill:
    200
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive guess said:
    no
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    yes
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Green Bay Packers to make the playoffs

    the Green Bay Packers, they take down the LA Rams

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    GB
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive guess said:
    yes
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    yes
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • New England Patriots to make the playoffs

    and the Bengals beating the New England Patriots the seventh seed to advance

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    NE
    skill:
    200
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive guess said:
    no
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    yes
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Cincinnati Bengals to make the playoffs

    and the Bengals beating the New England Patriots the seventh seed to advance

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    CIN
    skill:
    -200
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive guess said:
    no
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    no
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Los Angeles Rams to make the playoffs

    the Green Bay Packers, they take down the LA Rams

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    LAR
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive guess said:
    yes
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    yes
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Los Angeles Chargers to make the playoffs

    Then I've got the Buffalo Bills hosting the Los Angeles Chargers

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    LAC
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive guess said:
    yes
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    yes
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Buffalo Bills to make the playoffs

    Then I've got the Buffalo Bills hosting the Los Angeles Chargers

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    BUF
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive guess said:
    yes
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    yes
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Baltimore Ravens to make the playoffs

    I've got the Jacksonville bill Jaguars hosting the Baltimore Ravens

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    BAL
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive guess said:
    yes
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    no
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Jacksonville Jaguars to make the playoffs

    I've got the Jacksonville bill Jaguars hosting the Baltimore Ravens

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    JAX
    skill:
    200
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive guess said:
    no
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made the playoffs:
    yes
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Kansas City Chiefs to win the Super Bowl

    But I've got the Chiefs getting back on top of the NFL

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    KC
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    champion:
    SEA
    runner up:
    NE
    the naive pick:
    PHI
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Green Bay Packers to beat Philadelphia Eagles

    the Eagles hosting the Green Bay Packers... But it's the Packers led by Micah Parsons Jordan Love finding the way to the super Bowl

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    PHI
    score:
    10-7
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    GB
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    GB
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Cincinnati Bengals to beat New England Patriots

    and the Bengals beating the New England Patriots the seventh seed to advance

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    NE
    score:
    26-20
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    CIN
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    CIN
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Philadelphia Eagles to beat San Francisco forty nine Ers

    the Eagles hosting the San Francisco forty nine Ers. I've got the Eagles being able to hold the home field advantage winning

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    SF
    score:
    23-19
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    PHI
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    PHI
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Kansas City Chiefs to beat Baltimore Ravens

    And then on the other side, I've got Kansas City beating the Baltimore Ravens.

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    KC
    score:
    20-37
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    KC
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    KC
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Cincinnati Bengals to beat Buffalo Bills

    We've got the Bengals advancing to take on the Buffalo bill and I have the Bengals advancing to the AFC Championship Game

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    BUF
    score:
    34-39
    skill:
    -200
    they picked:
    CIN
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    BUF
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • San Francisco 49ers to beat Atlanta Falcons

    the forty nine Ers take down the Atlanta Falcons

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    SF
    score:
    10-20
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    SF
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    SF
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More playoff picks

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