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Jamie Erdahl· May 7, 2025

Erdahl went against the group and picked Pittsburgh to win a playoff game before Dallas.

I think it is going to be Pittsburgh.

said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast) · read the original →

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 33.3 out of 100, against 22.9 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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1 checkable claim in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Pittsburgh Steelers to beat Cowboys

    I'm a haha, I think it is going to be Pittsburgh. I will zeg, really, I will seg.

    Miss · 33Scored 33.33a naive guess scored 22.92+20.82 skill
    How this was scored
    note:
    these two never played, so the pick is graded on the parts of it that happened
    skill:
    20.82
    they picked:
    PIT
    season:
    2025
    ceiling:
    66.67
    accuracy:
    33.33
    baseline:
    22.92
    opponent:
    DAL
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    14 of 32 clubs reached the postseason, 8 won a game there
    weeks in the season:
    18
    right opponent:
    no
    weeks left when called:
    18
    picked won aplayoff game:
    no
    picked reached the playoffs:
    yes
    opponent reached the playoffs:
    no

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