Kyle Brandt · Sep 4, 2025

Predicted the Bills make the playoffs and beat the Steelers, Chiefs and Ravens en route to a 20-19 Super Bowl win over the Eagles on a last-second 47-yard field goal, with James Cook as Super Bowl MVP. He also picked the Eagles to win tonight's opener... actually his in-game score pick was the Bills-Eagles Super Bowl.

“Bills twenty, Eagles nineteen.”

said on air or in an interview · read the original →

8 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

Playoff PicksSep 4, 2025
“Bills are going to make the playoffs.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
BUF
skill:
0
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
naive said:
true
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
made playoffs:
true
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Award PicksSep 4, 2025
“You know who the Super Bowl MVP is going to be. It's not going to be Josh Allen. I thought it's going to be James Cook.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
award:
mvp
naive:
the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before
skill:
0
player:
James Cook
season:
2025
winner:
Matthew Stafford
correct:
false
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Super Bowl PicksSep 4, 2025
“The Buffalo Bills are going to win the Super Bowl this year.”
Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
skill:
0
they picked:
BUF
season:
2025
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
champion:
SEA
runner up:
NE
naive pick:
PHI
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome PicksSep 4, 2025
“In the wildcowd round, they are going to beat the Steelers.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
How this was scored
won:
BUF
score:
26-7
skill:
200
they picked:
BUF
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
0
naive pick:
PIT
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Score PredictionsSep 4, 2025
“Bills twenty, Eagles nineteen.”
Scored 50a naive guess scored 47.55+4.9 skill
How this was scored
score:
13-12
skill:
4.9
they picked:
BUF
season:
2025
accuracy:
50
baseline:
47.55
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
actual margin:
1
weeks left when called:
18
naive home margin:
2.03
predicted margin:
1
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome PicksSep 4, 2025
“In the divisional round, they are going to beat the Chiefs.”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
BUF
score:
21-28
skill:
0
they picked:
BUF
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
naive pick:
BUF
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Game Outcome PicksSep 4, 2025
“Then in the title game, they are going to beat Baltimore”
Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
won:
BUF
score:
40-41
skill:
0
they picked:
BUF
season:
2025
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
naive pick:
BUF
difficulty:
2
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
18
Think this is wrong?
Conference ChampionsSep 4, 2025
“in the Super Bowl against Philadelphia”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Think this is wrong?