Rich Hribar· Jul 8, 2024
Hribar's 2024 tight end tiers place Sam LaPorta as his overall TE1, followed by Travis Kelce, Mark Andrews and Trey McBride in Tier 1. He also notes McBride will remain a core piece of the Cardinals passing game but faces target competition from rookie Marvin Harrison Jr.
“I have LaPorta as TE1 overall based on where he is in terms of career arc paired with Detroit's favorable schedule of indoor games”
published in writing · Sharp Football Analysis · read the original (as archived Jul 9, 2024) → · live page
3 checkable claims — 1 depth chart call, 1 fantasy ranking and 1 positional finishe — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
All 3 have settled, averaging 56.7 out of 100, against 80.6 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
3 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Fantasy RankingsJul 8, 2024
“Tier 1 Fantasy Football TEs: Sam LaPorta, Travis Kelce, Mark Andrews, Trey McBride ... I have LaPorta as TE1 overall”
Miss · 20Scored 20a naive guess scored 50-60 skillHow this was scored
- naive:
- a coin-flip ordering scores 50
- skill:
- -60
- placed:
- 4
- season:
- 2024
- players:
- 4
- accuracy:
- 20
- baseline:
- 50
- by position:
- TE 4: 20
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- could not place:
- 0
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Depth Chart CallsSam LaPortaDetroit LionsJul 8, 2024
Sam LaPorta to be 2nd on the depth chart
“We know he is at worst second behind Amon-Ra St. Brown on the target tree in Detroit.”
Hit · 92Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 100-16.67 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- DET
- skill:
- -16.67
- player:
- Sam LaPorta
- season:
- 2024
- accuracy:
- 91.67
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- TE
- naive slot:
- 1
- actual slot:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 2
- measured by:
- receptions
- the naive guess:
- where he sat last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Positional FinishesSam LaPortaDetroit LionsJul 8, 2024
Sam LaPorta to finish top 1 at his position, by receiving yards
“I have LaPorta as TE1 overall based on where he is in terms of career arc paired with Detroit's favorable schedule of indoor games”
Close · 58Scored 58.33a naive guess scored 91.67-66.67 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- -66.67
- player:
- Sam LaPorta
- season:
- 2024
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 58.33
- baseline:
- 91.67
- position:
- TE
- ranked by:
- receiving yards
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 5
- actual finish:
- 6
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- predicted finish:
- 1
What others said about the same people
- Steve MenschMock Draft Picks · Caleb LomuClose · 62Making the even-numbered picks in the mock, he sent Arvell Reese to the Jets at No. 2, Spencer Fano to the Giants at 5, Jordan Tyson to the Saints at 8, a Tennessee cornerback to Miami at 11, Keldric Faulk to Baltimore at 14, Akheem Mesidor to Dallas at 20, Kenyon Sadiq to Philadelphia at 23, Caleb Banks to Buffalo at 26, Ty Simpson to the Rams at 29 and Chris Johnson to Seattle at 32, plus Caleb Lomu to Detroit at 17.
- Chris RoseTrade and Signing Calls · Chase YoungMiss · 0Hosting a mock free-agency draft, Rose predicted destinations for Nick Bolton, Carlton Davis, Russell Wilson, Malcolm Koonce, Stefon Diggs, Byron Murphy, Chase Young and Jacoby Brissett, plus Justin Fields returning to Pittsburgh, Ronnie Stanley leaving Baltimore, and the Browns trading up to No. 1 to take Cam Ward.
- Richard ShermanSeason Win Totals · Detroit LionsHit · 100Sherman picks the Chiefs to beat the Bills in the AFC Championship Game despite Buffalo's turnover dominance, and picks the Commanders to upset the Eagles in Philadelphia in the NFC Championship Game. He also expects Saquon Barkley to win Offensive Player of the Year, though he hedges that voters may give it to Lamar or Josh Allen.
- Tyler SullivanGame Outcome Picks · Detroit LionsMiss · 0A CBS Sports column flags five Week 2 favorites on upset alert, effectively backing the underdogs — Lions at Bills, Bengals at Texans, Jets over Packers, Jaguars at Broncos and Saints at Ravens — to pull off wins.
- Tony FuscoScore Predictions · Detroit LionsMiss · 0In his satirical Week 2 NFL predictions, Tony Fusco called exact final scores in five games: Lions over Bills, Panthers over Falcons, Bears over Vikings, Patriots over Steelers, and Eagles over Titans. He also predicted Atlanta would trick Tua into missing the game entirely.
- Colin CowherdGame Outcome Picks · Detroit LionsMiss · 0The co-host (identified only as "Mitchell") gave his own Week 2 picks: Seattle, the Niners in dominant fashion, his Lions over Buffalo, Cincinnati 31-27 at Houston, Chicago, Pittsburgh 24-21 as a road upset, Jacksonville by at least a touchdown, Dallas 26-22, and Kansas City handily.
More depth chart calls
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Tyler SullivanDepth Chart Calls · Deshaun WatsonHit · 100An unsigned CBS Sports preseason review grading all 32 teams, which along the way stakes out a number of depth-chart calls for Week 1 and beyond — including Deshaun Watson opening as Cleveland's starter, Fernando Mendoza taking over as Las Vegas' QB1 by season's end, and Minnesota's Murray-Wentz-McCarthy quarterback order.
- Ryan WilsonDepth Chart Calls · Deshaun WatsonHit · 100A CBS Sports piece states Deshaun Watson has won Cleveland's starting quarterback job for Week 1 with Shedeur Sanders next in line, while arguing Watson will not play like even an average NFL quarterback and that none of the Browns' current young passers should stop them from drafting a first-round quarterback next April.
- Rafael ZamoranoDepth Chart Calls · Deshaun WatsonHit · 100Zamorano argues the Browns do not have a franchise quarterback and that it's unlikely Watson or Sanders is their long-term answer.
- John BreechDepth Chart Calls · Deshaun WatsonHit · 100The unsigned newsletter author says Deshaun Watson will start Week 1 at Jacksonville, notes he voted for Jaxson Dart as his breakout QB rather than Caleb Williams, and says newly signed Daniel Carlson is the favorite to win the Saints' kicking job.
- Mark ChichesterDepth Chart Calls · Deshaun WatsonHit · 100Unsigned PFF piece reporting/asserting that Deshaun Watson will be Cleveland's Week 1 starting quarterback against Jacksonville, with Shedeur Sanders behind him on the depth chart.
- Zachary PerelesDepth Chart Calls · Deshaun WatsonHit · 100The unsigned recap argues Sanders clearly outplayed Watson and, even if Sanders isn't named the Week 1 starter, predicts both quarterbacks will see significant playing time in 2026.