Trevor Sikkema· Mar 3, 2026

Sikkema laid out his first post-combine mock draft, with Fernando Mendoza first overall, Arvell Reese to the Jets at two, Sonny Styles going in the top five, Jeremiah Love to the Saints at eight, and first-round landing spots for Dylan Thieneman, Avion Terrell, Ty Simpson, Vega Ohanae and Kenyan Sadiq.

“I think Jeremiah Love is locked himself into a top 10 overall selection.”

said on air, transcribed by us · The Rich Eisen Show (podcast) · read the original →

14 checkable claims — 13 mock draft picks and 1 position order call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 23 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

12 of 14 have settled so far, averaging 72.2 out of 100, against 46.6 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Their call against what happened

overall pick

4They said

7What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

14 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

Mock Draft Picks Sonny Styles Tennessee TitansMar 3, 2026
Sonny Styles to be picked at number 4
“and look at the fourth spot, Sonny Styles to the Tennessee titans... I have a hard time thinking he gets out of the top five now.”
Hit · 88Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 83.33 against a shuffle’s 50+33.33 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
33.33
player:
Sonny Styles
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
87.81
baseline:
50
actual pick:
7
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
87.81
predicted pick:
4
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
83.33
Think this is wrong?
Position Order Calls Carnell TateMar 3, 2026
Carnell Tate to be 1st wide receiver off the board
“when it comes to Carnell Tate, I still think that he would be a worthy selection as a top 10 overall pick and potentially the number one wide receiver in this class”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 9.48+90.52 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
naming one of the 36 at random averages 9.48
skill:
90.52
player:
Carnell Tate
season:
2026
zero at:
credit halves every two places
accuracy:
100
baseline:
9.48
position:
wide receiver
class size:
36
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
actual order:
1
predicted order:
1
weeks left when called:
0
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft Picks Carnell Tate New York GiantsMar 3, 2026
Carnell Tate to be picked at number 5
“You have Karnell Tate, fifth to the Giants.”
Hit · 96Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 83.33 against a shuffle’s 50+33.33 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
33.33
player:
Carnell Tate
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
95.76
baseline:
50
actual pick:
4
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
95.76
predicted pick:
5
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
83.33
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft Picks Kenyon Sadiq San Francisco 49ersMar 3, 2026
Kenyon Sadiq to be picked “back end of the first round to the 49ers” (picks 1–32)
“but Saddique to the niners, why is that because you think, obviously... you add him”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 83.33 against a shuffle’s 50+33.33 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
33.33
player:
Kenyon Sadiq
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
16
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
back end of the first round to the 49ers (picks 1–32)
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
83.33
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft Picks Fernando MendozaMar 3, 2026
Fernando Mendoza to be picked at number 1
“Your mock draft coming out of the combine, has Fernando Mendoza one”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 83.33 against a shuffle’s 50+33.33 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
33.33
player:
Fernando Mendoza
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
50
actual pick:
1
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
100
predicted pick:
1
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
83.33
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft Picks Arvell Reese New York JetsMar 3, 2026
Arvell Reese to be picked at number 2
“has Fernando Mendoza one, Arvell Reese two... Why do you think the Jets choose Arvel Rees over everybody else not named Fernando Mendoza?”
Hit · 88Scored 87.81 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 83.33 against a shuffle’s 50+33.33 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
33.33
player:
Arvell Reese
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
87.81
baseline:
50
actual pick:
5
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
87.81
predicted pick:
2
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
83.33
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft Picks Leka Uhatafe Los Angeles ChargersMar 3, 2026
Leka Uhatafe to be picked at number 22
“And then at 22 overall... with the chargers at 22, I look at four players in particular. One of them is Vega Ohanae.”
Miss · 0Scored 0 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 83.33 against a shuffle’s 50+33.33 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
33.33
player:
Leka Uhatafe
season:
2026
zero at:
undrafted
outcome:
went undrafted in 2026; later signed with JAX
accuracy:
0
baseline:
50
actual pick:
undrafted
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
0
predicted pick:
22
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
83.33
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft Picks Ty Simpson Pittsburgh SteelersMar 3, 2026
Ty Simpson to be picked at number 21
“You have the Steelers going for Ty Simpson twenty first overall... I kind of had him go at that point because I think he's going to be a mid to first round pick”
Close · 71Scored 70.71 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 83.33 against a shuffle’s 50+33.33 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
33.33
player:
Ty Simpson
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
70.71
baseline:
50
actual pick:
13
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
70.71
predicted pick:
21
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
83.33
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft Picks Jeremiyah Love New Orleans SaintsMar 3, 2026
Jeremiyah Love to be picked at number 8
“Let's talk Jeremiah Love. You have him landing eight to the Saints... I think Jeremiah Love is locked himself into a top 10 overall selection.”
Hit · 81Scored 80.52 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 83.33 against a shuffle’s 50+33.33 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
33.33
player:
Jeremiyah Love
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
80.52
baseline:
50
actual pick:
3
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
80.52
predicted pick:
8
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
83.33
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft Picks Monroe Freeling Cleveland BrownsMar 3, 2026
Monroe Freeling to be picked at number 6
“the Giants could still potentially get the players that you have in your mock draft, and Tate and Monroe Freeling for the Giants and Browns respectively”
Close · 57Scored 56.94 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 83.33 against a shuffle’s 50+33.33 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
33.33
player:
Monroe Freeling
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
56.94
baseline:
50
actual pick:
19
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
56.94
predicted pick:
6
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
83.33
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft Picks Avieon Terrell Dallas CowboysMar 3, 2026
Avieon Terrell to be picked at number 20
“But Avion Terrell, he's too good of a football player... I'd consider them at number 20”
Miss · 30Scored 29.73 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 83.33 against a shuffle’s 50+33.33 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
33.33
player:
Avieon Terrell
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
29.73
baseline:
50
actual pick:
48
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
29.73
predicted pick:
20
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
83.33
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft Picks Dillon Thieneman Dallas CowboysMar 3, 2026
Dillon Thieneman to be picked at number 12
“going up to number 12 with Dylan Thieneman... I think that he is well worth that twelfth overall pick for Dallas”
Close · 57Scored 56.94 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 83.33 against a shuffle’s 50+33.33 skill
How this was scored
draft:
2026
naive:
a shuffled mock scores 50
skill:
33.33
player:
Dillon Thieneman
season:
2026
zero at:
32
accuracy:
56.94
baseline:
50
actual pick:
25
difficulty:
1
weeks in the season:
18
pick accuracy:
56.94
predicted pick:
12
weeks left when called:
0
mock ordering score:
83.33
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft Picks David Bailey Miami DolphinsMar 3, 2026
David Bailey to be picked “the Dolphins' first pick of the Jeff Haffley era”
“you have the Dolphins winding up with David Bailey for for, the first pick there for the Jeff Haffley era”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?
Mock Draft Picks Caleb BanksMar 3, 2026
Caleb Banks to be picked “doesn't get to pick 22”
“I think they'd take Caleb Banks if he gets to 22, but I don't think he gets to 22.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
Think this is wrong?

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