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Cody Kessler· Apr 22, 2025

Kessler predicts Tennessee takes Cam Ward first overall, Cleveland takes Travis Hunter second, and Pittsburgh drafts Jackson Dart at No. 21; he also thinks Jalen Milroe will still be on the board at pick 34 with no other first-round team taking a quarterback.

I think they draft Dart at twenty one, get their quarterback of the future for their franchise and move on.

said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast) · read the original →

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

4 checkable claims — 4 mock draft picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 7 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

3 of 4 have settled so far, averaging 94.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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1What happened

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Who this take is about

4 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Cam Ward to be picked at number 1

    They view him as the best available after Tennessee takes cam Ward with a number one pick.

    Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 100 against a shuffle’s 50+50 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    50
    player:
    Cam Ward
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    1
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    100

    Think this is wrong?

  • Jaxson Dart to be picked at number 21

    I think they draft Dart at twenty one, get their quarterback of the future for their franchise and move on.

    Hit · 84Scored 84.09 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 100 against a shuffle’s 50+50 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    50
    player:
    Jaxson Dart
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    84.09
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    25
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    84.09
    predicted pick:
    21
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    100

    Think this is wrong?

  • Travis Hunter to be picked at number 2

    it is now a surefire thing that the Cleveland Browns are going to draft Travis Hunter with that second overball pick

    Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 100 against a shuffle’s 50+50 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2025
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    skill:
    50
    player:
    Travis Hunter
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    2
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    100
    predicted pick:
    2
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    100

    Think this is wrong?

  • Jalen Milroe to be picked “still be there at thirty four”

    But I think he'll still be there at thirty four after twenty one with the Pittsburgh Steelers. No other team in the first round is going to draft a quarterback.

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

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