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Jamie Erdahl· Sep 5, 2025

She picked the Jaguars to beat the Panthers at home in Week 1 and indicated she has Jacksonville winning the AFC South.

I think the Jaguars will be my life raft.

said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast) · read the original →

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

2 checkable claims — 1 division winner and 1 game outcome pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

All 2 have settled, averaging 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

2 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Jacksonville Jaguars to win the division

    Unfortunately for you, you won't be able to pick the Jaguars anymore if... I have them as my AFC South winners.

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    200
    method:
    division winners read off the bracket: the bye teams and the wild-card hosts
    they picked:
    JAX
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    HOU
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's winner of the same division
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    won the division:
    yes

    Think this is wrong?

  • Jacksonville Jaguars to beat Carolina Panthers

    When the Carolina Panthers travel to Jacksonville, I believe with a new head coach and a seasoned quarterback and a unicorn on an island of survival, I think the Jaguars will be my life raft.

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    JAX
    score:
    10-26
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    JAX
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    JAX
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More division winners

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Discussed alongside these

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