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Peter Schrager· Apr 14, 2026

Schrager's mock draft has the Cardinals taking Arvell Reese at No. 3 overall.

He had the cardinals taking Arvo Reese.

said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Cardinals (podcast) · read the original →

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

The call scored 91.7 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Where this call stands in the room

Arvell Reese · 2026 season · overall pick

8 calls from 8 pundits between 3 overall pick and 5 overall pick. Peter Schrager said 3 overall pick. the room's median is 3 overall pick. what happened: 5 overall pick

Peter Schrager3 overall pickthe room — 8 calls from 8 punditsmedian 3 overall pickwhat happened — 5 overall pick

Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question, before the answer existed. The bar is what actually happened. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.

Their call against what happened

overall pick
3They said
5What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

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Who this take is about

1 checkable claim in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Arvell Reese to be picked at number 3

    First checkpoint when Peter Schrager's first mock draft comes out. ... He had the cardinals taking Arvo Reese. ... They have two wildly different choices for the cardinals at three

    Hit · 92Scored 91.7a naive guess scored 50
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    a shuffled mock scores 50
    player:
    Arvell Reese
    season:
    2026
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    91.7
    baseline:
    50
    actual pick:
    5
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    pick accuracy:
    91.7
    predicted pick:
    3
    weeks left when called:
    0
    mock ordering score:
    only one pick — no order to score

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What others said about the same people

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