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Jamie Erdahl· Sep 4, 2025

Predicted a Vikings–Broncos Super Bowl in San Francisco with Minnesota winning.

I believe the Vikings will come out victorious

said on air or in an interview · Move the Sticks (podcast) · read the original →

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

2 checkable claims — 1 conference champion and 1 super bowl pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 2 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 2 have settled, averaging 25 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

2 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Denver Broncos to reach the Super Bowl

    Bronco's out of the AFC, Vikings out of the NFC

    Close · 50Scored 50a naive guess scored 0+100 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    100
    they picked:
    DEN
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    50
    baseline:
    0
    champions:
    NE,SEA
    difficulty:
    2
    the naive guess:
    last season's conference champions
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    reached the Super Bowl:
    no
    lost the conference final:
    yes

    Think this is wrong?

  • Minnesota Vikings to win the Super Bowl

    Bronco's out of the AFC, Vikings out of the NFC... and I believe the Vikings will come out victorious

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    MIN
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    champion:
    SEA
    runner up:
    NE
    the naive pick:
    PHI
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More conference champions

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

Discussed alongside these

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