Colin Cowherd· Apr 17, 2025
Cowherd delivered his own top-15 draft board — what he would do as GM of each team — pairing prospects with picks 1 through 15, and separately argued Shedeur Sanders is a far better prospect than Daniel Jones and that Aaron Rodgers should retire.
“Number one is Tennessee. You gotta get cam Warden. It's an easy one.”
said on air or in an interview · The Herd with Colin Cowherd (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
21 checkable claims — 15 mock draft picks, 3 trade and signing calls, 2 depth chart calls and 1 playoff pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 32 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
20 of 21 have settled so far, averaging 77.6 out of 100, against 52.1 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Their call against what happened
overall pick8They said
8What happened
Their call against what actually happened.
Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →
Who this take is about
- Tetairoa McMillan
- Carolina Panthers
- Jalon Walker
- Chicago Bears
- Jameis Winston
- New York Giants
- Shedeur Sanders
- Cam Ward
- Tennessee Titans
- Armand Membou
- Indianapolis Colts
- Kelvin Banks Jr.
- Omarion Hampton
- Dallas Cowboys
- Tommy DeVito
- Shemar Stewart
- Atlanta Falcons
- Ashton Jeanty
- Las Vegas Raiders
- Will Campbell
- Miami Dolphins
- Will Johnson
- New Orleans Saints
- Tyler Warren
- New York Jets
- Mason Graham
- Jacksonville Jaguars
- Abdul Carter
- New England Patriots
- Travis Hunter
- Cleveland Browns
- Aaron Rodgers
21 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
Tetairoa McMillan to be picked at number 8
“Panthers get T Mac wide receiver Arizona... Panthers at eight. Take him.”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 71.07 against a shuffle’s 50+21.07 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 21.07
- player:
- Tetairoa McMillan
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 8
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- 8
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 71.07
- Mock Draft PicksJalon WalkerChicago BearsApr 17, 2025
Jalon Walker to be picked at number 10
“Number ten Bears, go get Edge Jaylon Walker... I like Walker to the Bears at ten”
Hit · 81Scored 80.52 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 71.07 against a shuffle’s 50+21.07 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 21.07
- player:
- Jalon Walker
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 80.52
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 15
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 80.52
- predicted pick:
- 10
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 71.07
Jameis Winston to move to New York Giants
“I think Jamis Winston and Tommy DeVito they'll cut him in camp.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 200
- player:
- Jameis Winston
- season:
- 2025
- claimed:
- NYG
- was with:
- CLE
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- ended up with:
- NYG
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Mock Draft PicksShedeur SandersNew York GiantsApr 17, 2025
Shedeur Sanders to be picked at number 3
“Number three may surprise you. I do now think the Giants are gonna take Shador Sanders.”
Miss · 0Scored 0.22 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 71.07 against a shuffle’s 50+21.07 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 21.07
- player:
- Shedeur Sanders
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 0.22
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 144
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 0.22
- predicted pick:
- 3
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 71.07
- Mock Draft PicksCam WardTennessee TitansApr 17, 2025
Cam Ward to be picked at number 1
“Number one is Tennessee. You gotta get cam Warden. It's an easy one.”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 71.07 against a shuffle’s 50+21.07 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 21.07
- player:
- Cam Ward
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 71.07
- Mock Draft PicksArmand MembouIndianapolis ColtsApr 17, 2025
Armand Membou to be picked at number 14
“Number fourteen the Colts... Armand Memboo from Missouri who tore it up offensive lineman.”
Close · 74Scored 73.84 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 71.07 against a shuffle’s 50+21.07 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 21.07
- player:
- Armand Membou
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 73.84
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 7
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 73.84
- predicted pick:
- 14
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 71.07
- Mock Draft PicksKelvin Banks Jr.Apr 17, 2025
Kelvin Banks Jr. to be picked at number 11
“number eleven, nine ers, I would go Calvin Banks.”
Hit · 92Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 71.07 against a shuffle’s 50+21.07 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 21.07
- player:
- Kelvin Banks Jr.
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 91.7
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 9
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 91.7
- predicted pick:
- 11
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 71.07
- Mock Draft PicksOmarion HamptonDallas CowboysApr 17, 2025
Omarion Hampton to be picked at number 12
“Number twelve Cowboys Amarion Hampton, running back North Carolina.”
Close · 65Scored 64.84 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 71.07 against a shuffle’s 50+21.07 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 21.07
- player:
- Omarion Hampton
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 64.84
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 22
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 64.84
- predicted pick:
- 12
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 71.07
Tommy DeVito to move to New York Giants
“I think Jamis Winston and Tommy DeVito they'll cut him in camp.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+200 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- 200
- player:
- Tommy DeVito
- season:
- 2025
- claimed:
- he leaves
- was with:
- NYG
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 2
- the naive guess:
- he stays where he is
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- ended up with:
- NE
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Mock Draft PicksShemar StewartAtlanta FalconsApr 17, 2025
Shemar Stewart to be picked at number 15
“And at fifteenth Atlanta Shamar Stewart edge rusher, Texas and m”
Hit · 92Scored 91.7 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 71.07 against a shuffle’s 50+21.07 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 21.07
- player:
- Shemar Stewart
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 91.7
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 17
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 91.7
- predicted pick:
- 15
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 71.07
- Mock Draft PicksAshton JeantyLas Vegas RaidersApr 17, 2025
Ashton Jeanty to be picked at number 6
“I think the Raiders go get Ashton Gent, the running back... Ashton Jenny playmaker at six.”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 71.07 against a shuffle’s 50+21.07 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 21.07
- player:
- Ashton Jeanty
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 6
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- 6
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 71.07
- Depth Chart CallsArmand MembouIndianapolis ColtsApr 17, 2025
Armand Membou to be 1st on the depth chart
“I think this will be the best player at fourteenth available and he'll start Day one.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+16.67 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- NYJ
- skill:
- 16.67
- player:
- Armand Membou
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 91.67
- position:
- T
- naive slot:
- 2
- actual slot:
- 1
- difficulty:
- 2
- measured by:
- offensive snaps
- the naive guess:
- no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Depth Chart CallsOmarion HamptonDallas CowboysApr 17, 2025
Omarion Hampton to be 1st on the depth chart
“I think this kid is electric starter day one”
Hit · 92Scored 91.67a naive guess scored 100-16.67 skillHow this was scored
- club:
- LAC
- skill:
- -16.67
- player:
- Omarion Hampton
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 91.67
- baseline:
- 100
- position:
- RB
- naive slot:
- 2
- actual slot:
- 2
- difficulty:
- 2
- measured by:
- rushing yards
- the naive guess:
- no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- predicted slot:
- 1
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Playoff PicksTennessee TitansApr 17, 2025
Tennessee Titans to make the playoffs
“I think he'll win games. I think he'll make him a playoff team.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 100-200 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- TEN
- skill:
- -200
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 100
- the naive guess said:
- no
- difficulty:
- 2
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made the playoffs:
- no
- weeks left when called:
- 18
- Mock Draft PicksWill CampbellMiami DolphinsApr 17, 2025
Will Campbell to be picked at number 13
“Number thirteen Dolphins, I'd go Will Campbell LSU.”
Close · 68Scored 67.71 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 82.86 against a shuffle’s 50+32.86 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 32.86
- player:
- Will Campbell
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 67.71
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 4
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 67.71
- predicted pick:
- 13
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 82.86
- Mock Draft PicksWill JohnsonNew Orleans SaintsApr 17, 2025
Will Johnson to be picked at number 9
“Number nine Saints Will Johnson.”
Miss · 19Scored 19.28 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 82.86 against a shuffle’s 50+32.86 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 32.86
- player:
- Will Johnson
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 19.28
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 47
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 19.28
- predicted pick:
- 9
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 82.86
- Mock Draft PicksTyler WarrenNew York JetsApr 17, 2025
Tyler Warren to be picked at number 7
“The Jets get Tyler Warren at number seven the tight end.”
Close · 74Scored 73.84 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 82.86 against a shuffle’s 50+32.86 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 32.86
- player:
- Tyler Warren
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 73.84
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 14
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 73.84
- predicted pick:
- 7
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 82.86
- Mock Draft PicksMason GrahamJacksonville JaguarsApr 17, 2025
Mason Graham to be picked at number 5
“Jaguars get Mason Graham... I think he goes number five.”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 82.86 against a shuffle’s 50+32.86 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 32.86
- player:
- Mason Graham
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 5
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- 5
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 82.86
- Mock Draft PicksAbdul CarterNew England PatriotsApr 17, 2025
Abdul Carter to be picked at number 4
“I think the Patriots are gonna get Abdul Carter. The edge.”
Hit · 96Scored 95.76 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 82.86 against a shuffle’s 50+32.86 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 32.86
- player:
- Abdul Carter
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 95.76
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 3
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 95.76
- predicted pick:
- 4
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 82.86
- Mock Draft PicksTravis HunterCleveland BrownsApr 17, 2025
Travis Hunter to be picked at number 2
“number two, Cleveland. I think they go and get Travis Hunter, the best overall athlete in the draft”
Hit · 100Scored 100 on this pickthis mock ordered the draft 82.86 against a shuffle’s 50+32.86 skillHow this was scored
- draft:
- 2025
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- skill:
- 32.86
- player:
- Travis Hunter
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 2
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- 2
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- 82.86
- Trade and Signing CallsAaron RodgersApr 17, 2025
Aaron Rodgers to move
“If I was him, I think I would retire.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Mike MoraitisTrade and Signing Calls · DaRon BlandMiss · 0Moraitis names five Cowboys he expects to be playing their final season opener in Dallas in 2026: George Pickens (likely tag-and-trade or departure), Malik Hooker, Luke Schoonmaker, DeMarvion Overshown and DaRon Bland.
- Tyler SullivanDepth Chart Calls · Deshaun WatsonHit · 100An unsigned CBS Sports preseason review grading all 32 teams, which along the way stakes out a number of depth-chart calls for Week 1 and beyond — including Deshaun Watson opening as Cleveland's starter, Fernando Mendoza taking over as Las Vegas' QB1 by season's end, and Minnesota's Murray-Wentz-McCarthy quarterback order.
- Ryan WilsonDepth Chart Calls · Deshaun WatsonHit · 100A CBS Sports piece states Deshaun Watson has won Cleveland's starting quarterback job for Week 1 with Shedeur Sanders next in line, while arguing Watson will not play like even an average NFL quarterback and that none of the Browns' current young passers should stop them from drafting a first-round quarterback next April.
- Bucky BrooksTrade and Signing Calls · Keenan AllenHit · 100Brooks predicted J.J. McCarthy won't be on the Vikings' roster (traded or released), said Kyler Murray wins the Vikings' QB competition, made a series of 2025 award picks, made 2026 Heisman/draft projections including Arch Manning as the front-runner for the No. 1 overall pick, and said none of Lamar Jackson, Josh Allen or Joe Burrow win a championship this season.
- Rafael ZamoranoDepth Chart Calls · Deshaun WatsonHit · 100Zamorano argues the Browns do not have a franchise quarterback and that it's unlikely Watson or Sanders is their long-term answer.
- John BreechDepth Chart Calls · Deshaun WatsonHit · 100The unsigned newsletter author says Deshaun Watson will start Week 1 at Jacksonville, notes he voted for Jaxson Dart as his breakout QB rather than Caleb Williams, and says newly signed Daniel Carlson is the favorite to win the Saints' kicking job.
More mock draft picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Lance ZierleinMock Draft Picks · Jeremiyah LoveHit · 100Zierlein laid out his final mock draft: Jeremiah Love at No. 3 to Arizona, Sonny Styles at No. 4 to Robert Saleh's team, and Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5. He also called Styles the only first-round linebacker in the class and said Ty Simpson is a lock to be a first-round pick, most likely to Arizona.
- Gregg RosenthalMock Draft Picks · K.C. ConcepcionClose · 68Rosenthal disagrees most with Casey Concepcion being left out of the first round, arguing he could go as high as the top 15 and certainly won't last past receiver-needy teams in the late twenties.
- Nick ShookMock Draft Picks · Emmanuel McNeil-WarrenMiss · 18Shook walks through his full first-round mock draft, assigning a prospect to every pick from No. 1 to No. 32, headlined by Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders, David Bailey to the Jets and Jeremiah Love to the Cardinals in the top three.
- Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks · Keyron CrawfordHit · 81In discussing teams without first-round picks, Jeremiah projected specific Day 2 picks: Clemson WR Antonio Williams to the Falcons at 48, Texas Tech LB Jacob Rodriguez to the Colts in the second round, Oklahoma edge R Mason Thomas to the Packers at 52, and Auburn edge Keiroon Crawford to the Broncos at 62. He also expects Riley Leonard to open as the Colts' starting QB and Travis Hunter to play cornerback full time in Jacksonville.
- Bucky BrooksMock Draft Picks · Carnell TateHit · 81In a mock draft covering the first 14 picks, Brooks made the odd-numbered selections: Fernando Mendoza to the Raiders at No. 1, a Miami offensive lineman to Arizona at No. 3, Caleb Downs to the Giants at No. 5, Ohio State's Arvell Reese to Washington at No. 7, Carnell Tate to Kansas City at No. 9, tight end Kenyon Sadiq to Miami at No. 11, and Spencer Fano to the Rams at No. 13.
- Jeff CavanaughMock Draft Picks · Lorenzo StylesMiss · 1Streaming from the NFL Combine, Jeff pegged safety Dylan Thienemann's draft range at roughly picks 20-35, said LSU safety AJ Halsey would cost a second- or third-round pick, and insisted Sonny Styles' brother would not be a top-50 selection despite a fast 40.