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Chris Brockman · Apr 28, 2025

Brockman argued the Giants should start Jaxson Dart from day one, predicted Shedeur Sanders would start the most games at quarterback for the Browns in 2025, said Caleb Williams would break the Bears' single-season passing yardage and touchdown records, forecast three of the top-five drafting teams making the playoffs, and picked Carolina to win the NFC South while Tampa Bay still makes the playoffs.

I think the Panthers are gonna win the NFC South.

said on air, transcribed by us · Overreaction Monday (podcast) · read the original →

6 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Jaxson Dart to be 1st on the depth chart

    the Giants, they should just go ahead and start Jackson dart day one

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.67+16.67 skill
    How this was scored
    club:
    NYG
    skill:
    16.67
    player:
    Jaxson Dart
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    91.67
    position:
    QB
    naive slot:
    2
    actual slot:
    1
    difficulty:
    2
    measured by:
    passing yards
    naive basis:
    no prior season — a rookie is assumed to start behind the incumbent
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted slot:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Caleb Williams to record 3,900 passing yards

    Caleb Williams is gonna break the Bears passing and touchdown records in 2025... 30 touchdowns and 3,900 yards.

    Hit · 98Scored 97.87a naive guess scored 31.73+132.28 skill
    How this was scored
    naive:
    2596.37
    skill:
    132.28
    what happened:
    3942
    player:
    Caleb Williams
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    97.87
    baseline:
    31.73
    predicted:
    3900
    statistic:
    passing_yards
    difficulty:
    2
    last season:
    3541
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    position average:
    1651.74
    zero at percent out:
    50

    Think this is wrong?

  • Tampa Bay Buccaneers to make the playoffs

    They still have a really good season. There's still a playoff team.

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    TB
    skill:
    0
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    naive said:
    true
    difficulty:
    2
    weeks in the season:
    18
    made playoffs:
    false
    weeks left when called:
    18

    Think this is wrong?

  • Caleb Williams to record 30 passing tds

    Caleb Williams is gonna break the Bears passing and touchdown records in 2025. That's a tall order, pal. 30 touchdowns and 3,900 yards.

    Hit · 80Scored 80a naive guess scored 24.61+110.78 skill
    How this was scored
    naive:
    16.82
    skill:
    110.78
    what happened:
    27
    player:
    Caleb Williams
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    80
    baseline:
    24.61
    predicted:
    30
    statistic:
    passing_tds
    difficulty:
    2
    last season:
    20
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    18
    position average:
    13.64
    zero at percent out:
    50

    Think this is wrong?

  • Shedeur Sanders to be 1st on the depth chart

    Shedeur is gonna end up starting the most games at quarterback for the Browns this year.

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.

    Think this is wrong?

  • Carolina Panthers to win the division

    I think the Panthers are gonna win the NFC South.

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.

    Think this is wrong?

We summarize what a pundit said and quote a short span of it for attribution — we never republish their article. If we have misread you, tell us and we will look at it.