Chris Brockman · Dec 8, 2025
Brockman argued the Texans will reach the AFC Championship Game, declared the Chiefs dynasty over, said the road to the Super Bowl in the NFC goes through Lambeau Field, that Josh Allen is still the most dangerous QB and the Bills will win a playoff game (with the AFC East runner-up as the 5 seed winning in Pittsburgh or Baltimore), that Carolina will win the NFC South, that Baltimore finishes under .500 with Lamar no longer a top-five QB, that the Colts should trade for Mac Jones, and that Marcus Freeman will be in the NFL next year.
“Josh Allen is still the most dangerous quarterback in the NFL, and the Bills are gonna win a playoff game.”
said on air, transcribed by us · Overreaction Monday (podcast) · read the original →
7 checkable claims from this
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Positional FinishesJosh AllenBuffalo BillsDec 8, 2025
Josh Allen to finish top 1 at his position, by passing yards
“Josh Allen is still the most dangerous quarterback in the NFL”
Miss · 17Scored 16.67a naive guess scored 75-74.67 skillHow this was scored
- skill:
- -74.67
- player:
- Josh Allen
- season:
- 2025
- zero at:
- 12
- accuracy:
- 16.67
- baseline:
- 75
- position:
- QB
- ranked by:
- passing yards
- difficulty:
- 1.28
- naive basis:
- where he finished last season
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- naive finish:
- 14
- actual finish:
- 11
- weeks left when called:
- 5
- predicted finish:
- 1
- Playoff PicksBuffalo BillsDec 8, 2025
Buffalo Bills to make the playoffs
“the Bills are gonna win a playoff game”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skillHow this was scored
- team:
- BUF
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2025
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 100
- naive said:
- true
- difficulty:
- 1.28
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- made playoffs:
- true
- weeks left when called:
- 5
- Seeding, Byes and Home FieldBuffalo BillsDec 8, 2025
Buffalo Bills to take the top seed
“I think that whoever doesn't win the AFC East is gonna be the five seed, and I think they absolutely go into Pittsburgh or Baltimore and win that playoff game.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Conference ChampionsHouston TexansDec 8, 2025
Houston Texans to reach the Super Bowl
“They're gonna be playing in the AFC championship game.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
Mac Jones to move to Indianapolis Colts
“They should trade for Mac Jones this offseason.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Division WinnersCarolina PanthersDec 8, 2025
Carolina Panthers to win the division
“The NFC South is their division to lose.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.
- Division WinnersGreen Bay PackersDec 8, 2025
Green Bay Packers to win the division
“The road to the Super Bowl and the NFC goes through Lambeau Field.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the season it describes has finished.