Fran Duffy· Mar 3, 2026
Duffy expects Sonny Styles to be picked inside the top 10, believes short-armed Ruben Bain will still go inside the top 15 (possibly top 10 or top 5), thinks Styles will come off the board before Caleb Downs, ranks Avion Terrell as his top cornerback, and has Stukes graded as a second-round pick against industry consensus.
“He's he's gonna go in the top 15. Yeah. He might be going in the top 10.”
said on air, transcribed by us · DLLS Dallas Cowboys (podcast) · read the original →
5 checkable claims — 3 mock draft picks, 1 prospect vs prospect call and 1 top player list — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 3 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
4 of 5 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 50 for a naive guess at the same calls.
Their call against what happened
overall picktop 10 (picks 1–10)They said
7What happened
Their call against what actually happened.
Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →
Who this take is about
5 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Mock Draft PicksSonny StylesMar 3, 2026
Sonny Styles to be picked “top 10” (picks 1–10)
“what you're hearing from this week, how he's interviewing, is he's he's not making it out of the top 10”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Sonny Styles
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 7
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- top 10 (picks 1–10)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
- Prospect vs Prospect CallsSonny StylesMar 3, 2026
Sonny Styles to be drafted ahead of Caleb Downs
“I think honestly, I think Downs has a better shot at making to 12 than than, Styles.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50+50 skillHow this was scored
- claim:
- Sonny Styles drafted ahead of Caleb Downs
- draft:
- 2026
- skill:
- 50
- what happened:
- Sonny Styles went 7, Caleb Downs went 11
- player:
- Sonny Styles
- season:
- 2026
- correct:
- yes
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- compared to:
- Caleb Downs
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Mock Draft PicksRueben BainMar 3, 2026
Rueben Bain to be picked “top 15” (picks 1–15)
“we haven't seen a guy with that short of arms go in the top 100. Right. He's he's gonna go in the top 15. Yeah. He might be going in the top 10. He might go in the top five.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Rueben Bain
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 15
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- top 15 (picks 1–15)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
- Mock Draft PicksTreydan StukesMar 3, 2026
Treydan Stukes to be picked “second round” (picks 33–64)
“They don't have the balls to put Stukes in the second round like I do.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 50How this was scored
- draft:
- 2026
- naive:
- a shuffled mock scores 50
- player:
- Treydan Stukes
- season:
- 2026
- zero at:
- 32
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 50
- actual pick:
- 38
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- pick accuracy:
- 100
- predicted pick:
- second round (picks 33–64)
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- mock ordering score:
- only one pick — no order to score
- Top Player ListsMar 3, 2026
“Who's your number one? Terrell Terrell. Avion Terrell.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Philip HughesRoster Spot Calls · Sonny StylesHit · 100Hughes projects Washington's initial 53-man roster ahead of the final preseason game, naming every player he expects to make the team by position group, and slots Athan Kaliakmanis as the No. 3 quarterback behind Jayden Daniels and Marcus Mariota.
- Ross JacksonMock Draft Picks · Treydan StukesHit · 100In a pre-free agency seven-round Saints mock draft, Ross Jackson has New Orleans taking Ohio State safety Caleb Downs at No. 8, Missouri edge Zion Young at 42, Georgia WR Zachariah Branch at 73, Nebraska RB Emmett Johnson at 132, Alabama DT Tim Keenan III at 137, Iowa guard Beau Stevens at 148, Texas LB Trey Moore at 170 and Houston TE Tanner Cazio at 189. He also expects slot/star defenders like Bud Clark, Keonta Scott and Traytan Stukes to be second- or third-round picks, Malachi Lawrence to go around top 100, and Alontae Taylor to leave in free agency.
- Daniel JeremiahCombine Measurements · Rueben BainClose · 47Jeremiah previewed the combine with a series of draft projections: Ty Simpson ranked around 40th on his board with first-round upside, Garrett Nussmeier landing on Day 2 (more likely third round than second), Jeremiyah Love as a top-10 pick, Jeneian Price as a second-round pick, and Jermal McCoy potentially the first cornerback drafted.
- Matt MillerCombine Measurements · Rueben BainHit · 83Miller expects a consequential Chiefs offseason with Chris Jones potentially traded, predicts Kyler Murray gets traded, and offers draft-board opinions: Jeremiah Love as his top overall player, Makai Lemon as his top receiver ranked eighth overall with a ceiling around pick five, Keldrick Faulk around 20th on his board, plus combine expectations for Reuben Bain's and David Bailey's weights and Malik Muhammad's 40 time.
- Daniel JeremiahMock Draft Picks · Treydan StukesMiss · 31In a pre-combine media Q&A, Jeremiah lays out his draft board: he expects an edge rusher to go early (Jets at 2, Arizona at 3), ranks Ruben Bain third among the top edge trio, sees Ty Simpson as the second quarterback with a 30s-40s grade, places Fernando Mendoza above the 2023 class's top three, and predicts specific players' landing spots and rounds.
- Mike RennerCombine Measurements · Rueben BainClose · 64Renner names five favorites, calling Reuben Bain Jr. the best non-quarterback in the class, Caden Proctor a top-five prospect and potentially the best OT in the class, Omar Cooper Jr. a possible first-rounder, Jadarian Price a second-round pick and the class's second-best running back, and Josiah Trotter a top-50 selection.
More mock draft picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Rob RangMock Draft Picks · Jeremiah SmithMiss · 0Rang ranks the four headline prospects from the Texas-Ohio State game in the order he'd draft them (Jeremiah Smith, Arch Manning, Cam Coleman, Julian Sayin) and assigns each a draft grade: Smith and Manning as top-5 picks, Coleman top 10, and Sayin a third-rounder.
- Gregg RosenthalMock Draft Picks · Brandon DoughtyMiss · 3Rosenthal gave first reactions to Vegas win totals: overs on the Steelers, Broncos, Vikings, Buccaneers, 49ers and Cardinals, unders on the Falcons and Commanders, plus he expects Shedeur Sanders to start about 10-11 games and thinks the Cowboys' 9.5 is beatable.
- Peter BukowskiMock Draft Picks · Gennings DunkerHit · 100Bukowski breaks down Iowa offensive lineman Jennings Dunker as a Packers fit and puts a late second-/early third-round grade on him, noting that range overlaps where Green Bay picks.
- David HarrisonMock Draft Picks · Eli HeidenreichHit · 100Harrison delivers his only first-round mock draft for the 2026 NFL Draft, projecting all 32 first-round picks (including several trades) plus the rest of Washington's projected class, while noting it is an exercise in what could happen rather than a firm forecast.
- Brian PeacockMock Draft Picks · Bud ClarkHit · 96In his final 2026 mock draft for the 49ers, Peacock projects San Francisco taking WR Kevin Concepcion (KC) at pick 27, then after trading out of round two, edge rusher Kieron Crawford and safety Bud Clark in round three, OL Trey Zune and RB Jonah Coleman in round four, CB Charles Demings in round five and guard Caden Barnett in round six. He also thinks Omar Cooper comes off the board before Concepcion.
- David HarrisonMock Draft Picks · Riley NowakowskiMiss · 13In his final mock draft Monday, Harrison has the Commanders trading back twice and selecting eight players: safety Dylan Thieneman at 16, WR Denzel Boston at 33, RB Mike Washington Jr. at 83, C Jagger Burton at 132, CB Julian Neal at 147, QB Cade Klubnik at 187, DB Lorenzo Styles Jr. at 209 and TE Riley Nowakowski in the seventh round.