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Brady Quinn· Dec 26, 2025

Quinn picked the Texans to win outright at the Chargers, Seattle to cover and win at Carolina, Buffalo over Philadelphia, and San Francisco over Chicago, while also asserting Matt Stafford would clearly win MVP.

The text has been will win this one out right

said on air or in an interview · 2 Pros and a Cup of Joe (podcast) · read the original →

The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.

5 checkable claims — 4 game outcome picks and 1 award pick — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 5 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

All 5 have settled, averaging 80 out of 100, against 20 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

5 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • Seattle Seahawks to beat Carolina

    I'm gonna lay the seven points in Seattle here... I've seen Carolina up close. I feel like it's a bad matchup for them.

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+111 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    SEA
    score:
    27-10
    skill:
    111
    they picked:
    SEA
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    CAR
    difficulty:
    1.11
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    2

    Think this is wrong?

  • Matthew Stafford to win MVP

    I feel like the LA Rams right now, like and like Matt Stafford, I'm clearly gonna win the MVP. There's no debate to be had.

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+111 skill
    How this was scored
    award:
    mvp
    naive:
    the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before
    skill:
    111
    player:
    Matthew Stafford
    season:
    2025
    winner:
    Matthew Stafford
    correct:
    yes
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    difficulty:
    1.11
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    2

    Think this is wrong?

  • San Francisco 49ers to beat Chicago

    I don't see them beating this forty nine ers team... So I'm gonna lay the three points here in San fran

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    SF
    score:
    38-42
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    SF
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    100
    the naive pick:
    SF
    difficulty:
    1.11
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    2

    Think this is wrong?

  • Buffalo Bills to beat Eagles

    I just I don't feel confident enough in what the Eagles offense would be... So I'm gonna go with Buffalo lay the point a half here.

    Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    PHI
    score:
    13-12
    skill:
    0
    they picked:
    BUF
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    0
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    BUF
    difficulty:
    1.11
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    2

    Think this is wrong?

  • Houston Texans to beat Chargers

    I'm gonna go to Texans here. I think that begged up Chargers offensive line. They're gonna have some issues with that front for Houston... The text has been will win this one out right

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+111 skill
    How this was scored
    won:
    HOU
    score:
    20-16
    skill:
    111
    they picked:
    HOU
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    0
    the naive pick:
    LAC
    difficulty:
    1.11
    weeks in the season:
    18
    weeks left when called:
    2

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More game outcome picks

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

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