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Bernie Fratto· Feb 8, 2026

Bernie Fratto predicted a close Super Bowl LX with the Patriots beating the Seahawks 23-20, rejecting the idea that Seattle would win in a blowout.

I had to score twenty three to twenty Patriots.

said on air or in an interview · Fox Sports Radio (podcast) · read the original →

One checkable claim, graded on its own against what actually happened.

The call scored 19.1 out of 100, against 16.7 for a naive guess at the same calls.

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Who this take is about

1 checkable claim in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • New England Patriots 23 — Seahawks 20

    My prediction in the Las Vegas Review Journal was twenty three to twenty... I had to score twenty three to twenty Patriots.

    Miss · 19Scored 19.05a naive guess scored 16.73+2.31 skill
    How this was scored
    score:
    29-13
    skill:
    2.31
    they picked:
    NE
    season:
    2025
    accuracy:
    19.05
    baseline:
    16.73
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual margin:
    16
    weeks left when called:
    0
    naive home margin:
    2.03
    predicted margin:
    3

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