Gregg Rosenthal· Feb 3, 2025
Rosenthal laid out his end-of-season award ballot — Lamar Jackson for MVP, Zack Baun for Defensive Player of the Year, Saquon Barkley for Offensive Player of the Year, Jayden Daniels for Offensive Rookie of the Year, JK Dobbins for Comeback Player, Dan Campbell for Coach of the Year and Jeff Stoutland for Assistant Coach of the Year — while also predicting that Myles Garrett could take DPOY, Joe Burrow will likely win Comeback Player, and Vic Fangio may win Assistant Coach of the Year.
“I'm going Zach Bond Defensive Player of the Year, Patrick number two, and Trey Hendrickson three.”
said on air or in an interview · Around the NFL (podcast) · read the original →
The page this came from has changed since we captured it on Aug 5, 2026. The quote and evidence above are from our capture, not from what the page says today.
9 checkable claims — 6 award picks and 3 coach award picks — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.
It names 12 players and teams, each linked to their own record.
7 of 9 have settled so far, averaging 42.9 out of 100, against 0 for a naive guess at the same calls.
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Who this take is about
9 checkable claims in this take
Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.
- Coach Award PicksFeb 3, 2025
Dan Campbell to win Coach of the Year
“I still stuck with my original one two, which was Dan Campbell Andy Reid”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- award:
- coach_of_the_year
- coach:
- Dan Campbell
- naive:
- the naive pick was Kevin Stefanski, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 0
- season:
- 2024
- winner:
- Kevin O'Connell
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Award PicksSaquon BarkleyPhiladelphia EaglesFeb 3, 2025
Saquon Barkley to win Offensive Player of the Year
“Offensive Player of the Year... I went Saquon Chase in Burrow.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skillHow this was scored
- award:
- offensive_player_of_the_year
- naive:
- the naive pick was Christian McCaffrey, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 100
- player:
- Saquon Barkley
- season:
- 2024
- winner:
- Saquon Barkley
- correct:
- yes
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Award PicksLamar JacksonBaltimore RavensFeb 3, 2025
Lamar Jackson to win MVP
“I wrote down Lamar Allen Saquon... So I will go Lamar Allen Saquon one, two, three.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- award:
- mvp
- naive:
- the naive pick was Lamar Jackson, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Lamar Jackson
- season:
- 2024
- winner:
- Josh Allen
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
Jayden Daniels to win Offensive Rookie of the Year
“offensive Rookie of the Year, this is the name I was teasing before Jayden Daniels number one.”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skillHow this was scored
- award:
- offensive_rookie_of_the_year
- naive:
- the naive pick was C.J. Stroud, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 100
- player:
- Jayden Daniels
- season:
- 2024
- winner:
- Jayden Daniels
- correct:
- yes
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Award PicksJ.K. DobbinsLos Angeles ChargersFeb 3, 2025
J.K. Dobbins to win Comeback Player of the Year
“I'm gonna give it to JK. Dobbins and I'll go Donald second and Tomar Hamlin third.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- award:
- comeback_player_of_the_year
- naive:
- the naive pick was Joe Flacco, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- J.K. Dobbins
- season:
- 2024
- winner:
- Joe Burrow
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Award PicksJoe BurrowCincinnati BengalsFeb 3, 2025
Joe Burrow to win Comeback Player of the Year
“Comeback Player of the Year. Burrow's probably gonna win it”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 0+100 skillHow this was scored
- award:
- comeback_player_of_the_year
- naive:
- the naive pick was Joe Flacco, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 100
- player:
- Joe Burrow
- season:
- 2024
- winner:
- Joe Burrow
- correct:
- yes
- accuracy:
- 100
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Award PicksMyles GarrettCleveland BrownsFeb 3, 2025
Myles Garrett to win Defensive Player of the Year
“He is still playing as a Defensive Player of the Year level. I think he might win the award this week.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skillHow this was scored
- award:
- defensive_player_of_the_year
- naive:
- the naive pick was Myles Garrett, who won it the year before
- skill:
- 0
- player:
- Myles Garrett
- season:
- 2024
- winner:
- Pat Surtain II
- correct:
- no
- accuracy:
- 0
- baseline:
- 0
- difficulty:
- 1
- weeks in the season:
- 18
- weeks left when called:
- 0
- Coach Award PicksFeb 3, 2025
Jeff Stotlin to win Assistant Coach of the Year
“So I'm giving my Assistant Coach of the Year to Jeff Stotlin.”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
- Coach Award PicksFeb 3, 2025
Vic Fangio to win Assistant Coach of the Year
“Yeah, I think he might win the award, and that will be really funny to see the taped video that he sends into NFL Honors”
Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.
What others said about the same people
- Tyler SullivanDepth Chart Calls · Deshaun WatsonHit · 100An unsigned CBS Sports preseason review grading all 32 teams, which along the way stakes out a number of depth-chart calls for Week 1 and beyond — including Deshaun Watson opening as Cleveland's starter, Fernando Mendoza taking over as Las Vegas' QB1 by season's end, and Minnesota's Murray-Wentz-McCarthy quarterback order.
- Ryan WilsonDepth Chart Calls · Deshaun WatsonHit · 100A CBS Sports piece states Deshaun Watson has won Cleveland's starting quarterback job for Week 1 with Shedeur Sanders next in line, while arguing Watson will not play like even an average NFL quarterback and that none of the Browns' current young passers should stop them from drafting a first-round quarterback next April.
- Rafael ZamoranoDepth Chart Calls · Deshaun WatsonHit · 100Zamorano argues the Browns do not have a franchise quarterback and that it's unlikely Watson or Sanders is their long-term answer.
- John BreechDepth Chart Calls · Deshaun WatsonHit · 100The unsigned newsletter author says Deshaun Watson will start Week 1 at Jacksonville, notes he voted for Jaxson Dart as his breakout QB rather than Caleb Williams, and says newly signed Daniel Carlson is the favorite to win the Saints' kicking job.
- Mark ChichesterDepth Chart Calls · Deshaun WatsonHit · 100Unsigned PFF piece reporting/asserting that Deshaun Watson will be Cleveland's Week 1 starting quarterback against Jacksonville, with Shedeur Sanders behind him on the depth chart.
- Zachary PerelesDepth Chart Calls · Deshaun WatsonHit · 100The unsigned recap argues Sanders clearly outplayed Watson and, even if Sanders isn't named the Week 1 starter, predicts both quarterbacks will see significant playing time in 2026.
More award picks
The same kind of call, about other players and teams.
- Jourdan RodrigueAward Picks · Penei SewellMiss · 0Rodrigue picked Patrick Mahomes for MVP, Jared Verse for Defensive Player of the Year, Ja'Marr Chase for Offensive Player of the Year, Mike Vrabel for Coach of the Year, TreVeyon Henderson for Offensive Rookie of the Year and Abdul Carter for Defensive Rookie of the Year, with Jesse Minter for Assistant Coach of the Year and Penei Sewell for Protector of the Year.
- Brandon SneideAward Picks · Drake MayeMiss · 0Snyder picks the Seahawks to beat the Patriots 31-23 in Super Bowl 60, believing Seattle pulls away late, and says Drake Maye will finish second in MVP voting behind Matthew Stafford.
- Nick WrightAward Picks · Rashid ShaheedMiss · 0Nick picked Seattle to win the Super Bowl 27-17, citing Seattle's defense, coaching against young quarterbacks and schedule strength, and named Rasheed Shaheed as his dark horse Super Bowl MVP.
- Chris BroussardAward Picks · Cooper KuppMiss · 0Broussard picked New England to beat Seattle 24-21, with Drake May winning Super Bowl MVP, and named Cooper Kupp as his dark horse MVP.
- Eric ManginiAward Picks · Drake MayeMiss · 0Mangini picked the Patriots 23-20 with Drake May as Super Bowl MVP, and earlier named Kayshon Boutte ("Kaeshawn Booty") as his dark horse MVP.
- Danny ParkinsAward Picks · Jaxon Smith-NjigbaMiss · 0Parkins picked Seattle to win 27-16 with Jaxon Smith-Njigba as Super Bowl MVP.