Chris Brockman · Oct 6, 2025

Chris Brockman said Baker Mayfield will finish no lower than third in MVP voting, named Kyle Shanahan the coach of the year front-runner, and predicted both the Giants and Jets will pick in the top five of next year's draft.

“Baker Mayfield will finish no lower than third in the MVP this season.”

said on air, transcribed by us · Overreaction Monday (podcast) · read the original →

4 checkable claims from this

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

Team Draft Slot Calls New York GiantsOct 6, 2025
New York Giants to pick “top five” (picks 1–5)
“Both the Giants and the Jets will be picking in the top five next [April]”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 100+0 skill
How this was scored
team:
NYG
draft:
2026
naive:
they picked 3 the year before
skill:
0
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
100
actual pick:
5
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
predicted pick:
top five (picks 1–5)
weeks left when called:
14
Think this is wrong?
Team Draft Slot Calls New York JetsOct 6, 2025
New York Jets to pick “top five” (picks 1–5)
“Both the Giants and the Jets will be picking in the top five next [April]”
Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 91.7+14.77 skill
How this was scored
team:
NYJ
draft:
2026
naive:
they picked 7 the year before
skill:
14.77
season:
2025
zero at:
32
accuracy:
100
baseline:
91.7
actual pick:
2
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
predicted pick:
top five (picks 1–5)
weeks left when called:
14
Think this is wrong?
Award Picks Baker Mayfield Tampa Bay BuccaneersOct 6, 2025
Baker Mayfield to win MVP
“I think he's actually probably the MVP right now through five weeks, but Baker Mayfield will finish no lower than third in the MVP this season.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
award:
mvp
naive:
the naive pick was Josh Allen, who won it the year before
skill:
0
player:
Baker Mayfield
season:
2025
winner:
Matthew Stafford
correct:
false
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
14
Think this is wrong?
Coach Award PicksOct 6, 2025
Kyle Shanahan to win Coach of the Year
“Kyle Shanahan is coach of the year front runner right now.”
Miss · 0Scored 0a naive guess scored 0+0 skill
How this was scored
award:
coach_of_the_year
coach:
Kyle Shanahan
naive:
the naive pick was Kevin O'Connell, who won it the year before
skill:
0
season:
2025
winner:
Mike Vrabel
correct:
false
accuracy:
0
baseline:
0
difficulty:
1.78
weeks in the season:
18
weeks left when called:
14
Think this is wrong?