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Jake Riepma· Feb 26, 2026

Filling in on Locked On Lions, Jake Reitma dismisses ESPN's suggestion that Sam LaPorta could be traded, saying LaPorta stays in Detroit as part of the core four. He also breaks down the edge class ahead of the Lions' pick at No. 17, calling David Bailey the class's top edge prospect with Reuben Bain Jr. next, and picks the Pistons as the NBA's best team.

“So there you have it. Sam Laporta, I don't think he's going anywhere.”

said on air, transcribed by us · Locked On Lions (podcast) · read the original →

4 checkable claims — 2 position order calls, 1 team draft slot call and 1 trade and signing call — each graded on its own rather than as one all-or-nothing bet.

It names 4 players and teams, each linked to their own record.

3 of 4 have settled so far, averaging 100 out of 100, against 30.4 for a naive guess at the same calls.

Where this call stands in the room

Rueben Bain · 2025 season · positional finish

3 calls from 3 pundits between 1 positional finish and 3 positional finish. Jake Riepma said 2 positional finish. the room's median is 2 positional finish. what happened: 2 positional finish

Jake Riepma — 2 positional finishthe room — 3 calls from 3 punditsmedian 2 positional finishwhat happened — 2 positional finish

Every dot is a call somebody published on the same question, before the answer existed. The bar is what actually happened. Hover a dot for the name and number; click it to read that take.

Their call against what happened

positional finish
1They said
1What happened

Their call against what actually happened.

Where do you stand? Pick this and every open claim on Picks →

Who this take is about

4 checkable claims in this take

Each one is scored on its own against the published methodology. A pundit naming several outcomes is graded on each, not on all-or-nothing.

  • David Bailey to be 1st edge off the board

    “you got David Bailey who is far and away the the top prospect and then Reuben Bain junior right there out of Miami”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 13.13+86.87 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    naming one of the 26 at random averages 13.13
    skill:
    86.87
    player:
    David Bailey
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    credit halves every two places
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    13.13
    position:
    edge
    class size:
    26
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual order:
    1
    predicted order:
    1
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Rueben Bain to be 2nd edge off the board

    “you got David Bailey who is far and away the the top prospect and then Reuben Bain junior right there out of Miami”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 15.85+84.15 skill
    How this was scored
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    naming one of the 26 at random averages 15.85
    skill:
    84.15
    player:
    Rueben Bain
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    credit halves every two places
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    15.85
    position:
    edge
    class size:
    26
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    actual order:
    2
    predicted order:
    2
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Detroit Lions to pick at number 17

    “I really do think the lions can start to be in play at pick number 17 for the rest of that class”

    Hit · 100Scored 100a naive guess scored 62.09+37.91 skill
    How this was scored
    team:
    DET
    draft:
    2026
    naive:
    they picked 28 the year before
    skill:
    37.91
    season:
    2025
    zero at:
    32
    accuracy:
    100
    baseline:
    62.09
    actual pick:
    17
    difficulty:
    1
    weeks in the season:
    18
    predicted pick:
    17
    weeks left when called:
    0

    Think this is wrong?

  • Sam LaPorta to move to Detroit Lions

    “I think the odds of them trading him are extremely thin... Sam Laporta, I don't think he's going anywhere. I think he's a pivotal part of the lion's future.”

    Not settled yet. This is graded once the result is in.

    Think this is wrong?

What others said about the same people

More position order calls

The same kind of call, about other players and teams.

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